Thursday, August 18, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Joseph Musgrove vs. Dylan Bundy
The Houston Astros visit Oriole Park on Thursday to play the Baltimore Orioles. The probable starters are Joseph Musgrove for the Astros and Dylan Bundy for the Orioles. The opening line for this matchup has Houston at +119 and Baltimore at -129. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Astros have a 51-61-7 over/under record and a 52-67-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 44% of the time. The Orioles are 62-56-0 against the run line and have a 52-63-3 over/under record. They cover the spread 53% of the time.
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The Astros head into this matchup with a 61-58 record, including 27-31 on the road. Starting pitcher Joseph Musgrove has a 1-0 record with an earned run average of 1.47 and a WHIP of 0.76. He has 21 strikeouts over his 18.1 innings pitched and he has given up 12 hits so far this season. He has allowed 5.9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 1.88. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.29 and they have given up 344 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .232 against the bullpen while being struck out 431 times and walking 90 times this season. As a team, Houston has allowed 8.89 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.63 batters per nine. They are 8th in the league in team earned run average at 3.88. The Astros pitchers have collectively given up 1,070 base hits and 466 earned runs. They have allowed 128 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Houston as a pitching staff has walked 316 batters and struck out 1,039. They walk 2.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.28 and their FIP as a unit is 3.71.
As a team, Houston is batting .246, good for 24th in the league while putting together a .255 average away from home. The Astros hold a .415 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .321 which is good for 19th in baseball. They rank 21st in baseball with 8.45 hits per game. Jose Altuve comes into this game hitting .365 and his on-base percentage is at .429. He has 170 hits this season along with 86 runs scored and 74 runs batted in. He's struck out 50 times and has walked 50 times. George Springer is hitting .258 and he has an on-base percentage of .358. He has totaled 122 hits so far while scoring 85 runs and he's driven in 68. He has walked 65 times and has struck out 124 times. The Astros have 1,006 hits, including 219 doubles and 144 home runs. They've stolen 83 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 33 times. Houston has walked 423 times this season and they've struck out 1,088 times as a unit. They've left 830 men on base and have a team OPS of .736. They score 4.45 runs per contest and have scored a total of 530 runs so far this year.
Baltimore comes into this matchup with a 39-18 home record and a 66-52 overall mark. With an earned run average of 2.93, Dylan Bundy has a 6-3 record and a 1.22 WHIP. He has 68 strikeouts over the 70.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 66 hits. He has allowed 8.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.84. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.16 and they have given up 348 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .233 against the Orioles bullpen while being struck out 365 times and walking 162 times this season. As a team, Baltimore has allowed 8.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.7 batters per nine. They are 16th in the league in team earned run average at 4.19. The Orioles pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,021 base knocks and 486 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 130 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Baltimore as a staff has walked 413 hitters and struck out 893. They give up a walk 3.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.37 while their FIP as a staff is 4.32.
As a team, they are batting .262, good for 10th in the league while putting together a .269 average at home. The Orioles hold a .445 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .322 which is good for 15th in baseball. They rank 8th in baseball with 8.97 hits per contest. Manny Machado comes into this matchup batting .305 and he has an OBP of .362. He has 140 hits this year along with 81 runs scored and 69 RBI. He's struck out 83 times and has walked on 41 occasions. Adam Jones is hitting .274 and he has an OBP of .319. He has collected 126 hits so far while he's scored 70 runs and drove in 70. He has earned a walk 30 times and has punched out 86 times. The Orioles as a unit have 1,058 base hits, including 205 doubles and 176 homers. They have 14 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 9 times. Baltimore as a team has walked 344 times this year and they have struck out 979 times. They've had 779 men left on base and have an OPS of .767. They score 4.68 runs per game and have totaled 552 runs so far this season.
Houston Astros Betting Trends
The Houston Astros are 51-61-7 against the over/under so far this season
The Houston Astros are 52-67-0 against the run line so far this season
Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends
The Baltimore Orioles are 52-63-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Baltimore Orioles are 62-56-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
08/13/16 LF Preston Tucker Shoulder 15-day DL (8/11)
08/07/16 LF Colby Rasmus Ear 15-day DL (8/5)
08/03/16 P Lance McCullers Elbow 15-day DL (8/2)
07/29/16 3B Luis Valbuena Hamstring 15-day DL (7/27)
08/16/16 P Chris Tillman Shoulder "?" for next scheduled start
08/13/16 P Darren O'Day Shoulder 15-day DL (8/12)
07/22/16 RF Joey Rickard Thumb 15-day DL (7/21)
07/01/16 P T.J. McFarland Knee 15-day DL (6/29)
06/21/16 P Brian Duensing Elbow 15-day DL (6/20)
Tony's Pick: Take the Astros
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