Sunday, August 21, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Dallas Keuchel vs. Yovani Gallardo
The Houston Astros head to Oriole Park on Sunday to take on the Baltimore Orioles. The probable pitchers are Dallas Keuchel for the Astros and Yovani Gallardo for the Orioles. The opening line for this game has Houston at -121 and Baltimore at +111. The over/under is 9.5. The Astros have a 54-61-7 over/under mark and a 53-69-0 run line record, meaning they cover 43% of the time. The Orioles are 63-58-0 against the run line and have a 55-63-3 over/under record. They cover the spread 52% of the time.
The Astros head into this game with a 62-60 record, and they are 28-32 on the road. Starting pitcher Dallas Keuchel has a 7-12 record with an ERA of 4.76 and a WHIP of 1.31. He has 133 strikeouts during his 153 innings pitched and he has given up 154 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 9.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.88. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 3.40 and they have allowed 357 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .233 against the pen while they've been struck out 446 times and walked 94 times this year. As a unit, Houston has given up 9.01 base hits per nine innings while striking out 8.62 hitters per nine. They are 10th in the Majors in team earned run average at 4.01. The Astros pitchers have collectively given up 1,110 base hits and 494 earned runs. They have allowed 141 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Houston as a pitching staff has walked 323 batters and struck out 1,063. They walk 2.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.29 and their FIP as a unit is 3.83.
As a team, Houston is hitting .247, good for 25th in the league while putting together a .258 average on the road. The Astros have a .418 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .321 which is good for 20th in the league. They rank 21st in baseball with 8.5 hits per contest. Jose Altuve comes into this game hitting .365 and his on-base percentage is at .427. He has 175 hits this season along with 88 runs scored and 80 runs batted in. He's struck out 54 times and has walked 50 times. George Springer is hitting .262 and he has an on-base percentage of .361. He has totaled 127 hits so far while scoring 89 runs and he's driven in 70. He has walked 66 times and has struck out 124 times. The Astros have 1,037 hits, including 227 doubles and 150 home runs. They've stolen 84 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 34 times. Houston has walked 432 times this season and they've struck out 1,121 times as a unit. They've left 848 men on base and have a team OPS of .739. They score 4.52 runs per contest and have scored a total of 552 runs so far this year.
Baltimore comes into this game with a 40-20 home mark and a 67-54 overall record. With an ERA of 5.18, Yovani Gallardo has a 4-4 record and a 1.61 WHIP. He has 59 strikeouts over the 83.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 88 hits. He has allowed 9.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.14. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.34 and they have given up 364 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .236 against the Orioles bullpen while being struck out 377 times and walking 167 times this season. As a team, Baltimore has allowed 8.92 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.75 batters per nine. They are 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.32. The Orioles pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,059 base knocks and 513 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 138 home runs this year and they give up 1.2 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Baltimore as a staff has walked 421 hitters and struck out 920. They give up a walk 3.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.39 while their FIP as a staff is 4.38.
As a team, they are batting .263, good for 8th in the league while putting together a .272 average at home. The Orioles hold a .452 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .322 which is good for 16th in baseball. They rank 7th in baseball with 9.02 hits per contest. Manny Machado comes into this matchup batting .303 and he has an OBP of .359. He has 143 hits this year along with 84 runs scored and 74 RBI. He's struck out 88 times and has walked on 41 occasions. Adam Jones is hitting .274 and he has an OBP of .317. He has collected 129 hits so far while he's scored 72 runs and drove in 72. He has earned a walk 30 times and has punched out 87 times. The Orioles as a unit have 1,090 base hits, including 208 doubles and 188 homers. They have 14 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 9 times. Baltimore as a team has walked 347 times this year and they have struck out 996 times. They've had 792 men left on base and have an OPS of .774. They score 4.74 runs per game and have totaled 574 runs so far this season.
Houston Astros Betting Trends
The Houston Astros are 54-61-7 against the over/under so far this season
The Houston Astros are 53-69-0 against the run line so far this season
Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends
The Baltimore Orioles are 55-63-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Baltimore Orioles are 63-58-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
08/13/16 LF Preston Tucker Shoulder 15-day DL (8/11)
08/07/16 LF Colby Rasmus Ear 15-day DL (8/5)
08/03/16 P Lance McCullers Elbow 15-day DL (8/2)
07/29/16 3B Luis Valbuena Hamstring 15-day DL (7/27)
08/19/16 P Dylan Bundy Ankle "?" for next scheduled start
08/13/16 P Darren O'Day Shoulder 15-day DL (8/12)
07/22/16 RF Joey Rickard Thumb 15-day DL (7/21)
07/01/16 P T.J. McFarland Knee 15-day DL (6/29)
06/21/16 P Brian Duensing Elbow 15-day DL (6/20)
Guy's Pick: Take the Orioles
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