Thursday, May 12, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Dallas Keuchel vs. David Price
The Houston Astros visit Fenway Park on Thursday to play the Boston Red Sox. The probable starters are Dallas Keuchel for the Astros and David Price for the Red Sox. The opening line for this matchup has Houston at +130 and Boston at -140. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Astros have a 17-13-4 over/under record and a 13-21-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 38% of the time. The Red Sox are 20-13-0 against the run line and have a 17-15-1 over/under record. They cover the spread 61% of the time.
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The Astros head into this matchup with a 13-21 record, including 4-11 on the road. Starting pitcher Dallas Keuchel has a 2-4 record with an earned run average of 4.70 and a WHIP of 1.52. He has 38 strikeouts over his 44 innings pitched and he has given up 48 hits so far this season. He has allowed 9.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.55. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.19 and they have given up 95 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .231 against the bullpen while being struck out 111 times and walking 24 times this season. As a team, Houston has allowed 9.38 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.64 batters per nine. They are 23rd in the league in team earned run average at 4.45. The Astros pitchers have collectively given up 312 base hits and 148 earned runs. They have allowed 41 home runs this season and they allow 1.2 homers per nine innings as a staff. Houston as a pitching staff has walked 88 batters and struck out 254. They walk 2.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.34 and their FIP as a unit is 4.10.
As a team, Houston is batting .232, good for 27th in the league while putting together a .216 average away from home. The Astros hold a .414 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .316 which is good for 15th in baseball. They rank 27th in baseball with 7.56 hits per game. Jose Altuve comes into this game hitting .321 and his on-base percentage is at .404. He has 42 hits this season along with 31 runs scored and 22 runs batted in. He's struck out 18 times and has walked 16 times. Carlos Correa is hitting .275 and he has an on-base percentage of .383. He has totaled 33 hits so far while scoring 18 runs and he's driven in 16. He has walked 20 times and has struck out 33 times. The Astros have 257 hits, including 73 doubles and 41 home runs. They've stolen 28 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 11 times. Houston has walked 132 times this season and they've struck out 327 times as a unit. They've left 220 men on base and have a team OPS of .730. They score 4.09 runs per contest and have scored a total of 139 runs so far this year.
Boston comes into this matchup with a 10-7 home record and a 20-13 overall mark. With an earned run average of 6.75, David Price has a 4-1 record and a 1.38 WHIP. He has 53 strikeouts over the 41.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 45 hits. He has allowed 9.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 2.95. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.57 and they have given up 88 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .223 against the Red Sox bullpen while being struck out 117 times and walking 48 times this season. As a team, Boston has allowed 8.15 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.12 batters per nine. They are 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.24. The Red Sox pitchers as a team have surrendered 267 base knocks and 139 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 30 home runs this year and they give up 0.9 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Boston as a staff has walked 124 hitters and struck out 299. They give up a walk 3.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.33 while their FIP as a staff is 3.82.
As a team, they are batting .288, good for 1st in the league while putting together a .295 average at home. The Red Sox hold a .470 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .349 which is good for 3rd in baseball. They rank 1st in baseball with 10.18 hits per contest. Xander Bogaerts comes into this matchup batting .318 and he has an OBP of .377. He has 42 hits this year along with 25 runs scored and 15 RBI. He's struck out 23 times and has walked on 12 occasions. Dustin Pedroia is hitting .307 and he has an OBP of .349. He has collected 43 hits so far while he's scored 23 runs and drove in 18. He has earned a walk 9 times and has punched out 24 times. The Red Sox as a unit have 336 base hits, including 81 doubles and 37 homers. They have 25 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 2 times. Boston as a team has walked 104 times this year and they have struck out 256 times. They've had 231 men left on base and have an OPS of .820. They score 5.55 runs per game and have totaled 183 runs so far this season.
Houston Astros Betting Trends
The Houston Astros are 17-13-4 against the over/under so far this season
The Houston Astros are 13-21-0 against the run line so far this season
Boston Red Sox Betting Trends
The Boston Red Sox are 17-15-1 against the over/under so far this season
The Boston Red Sox are 20-13-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
04/04/16 P Lance McCuller Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/02/16 C Max Stassi Wrist 15-day DL (3/29)
Boston Red Sox
05/03/16 3B Pablo Sandoval Shoulder 60-day DL (4/11); out for season
04/19/16 P Joe Kelly Shoulder 15-day DL (4/19)
04/04/16 P Brandon Workman Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Eduardo Rodrigue Knee 15-day DL (4/2)
Tony's Pick: Take the Astros
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