Friday, May 13, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Lance McCullers vs. Steven Wright
The Houston Astros visit Fenway Park on Friday to play the Boston Red Sox. The probable starters are Lance McCullers for the Astros and Steven Wright for the Red Sox. The opening line for this matchup has Houston at +131 and Boston at -141. The over/under was set at 9. The Astros have a 17-13-5 over/under record and a 14-21-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 40% of the time. The Red Sox are 21-13-0 against the run line and have a 18-15-1 over/under record. They cover the spread 62% of the time.
The Astros head into this matchup with a 14-21 record, including 4-11 on the road. Starting pitcher Lance McCullers is making his season debut for Houston. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.95 and they have given up 103 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .231 against the bullpen while being struck out 119 times and walking 25 times this season. As a team, Houston has allowed 9.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.56 batters per nine. They are 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.31. The Astros pitchers have collectively given up 326 base hits and 151 earned runs. They have allowed 42 home runs this season and they allow 1.2 homers per nine innings as a staff. Houston as a pitching staff has walked 89 batters and struck out 265. They walk 2.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.32 and their FIP as a unit is 4.02.
As a team, Houston is batting .229, good for 27th in the league while putting together a .216 average away from home. The Astros hold a .411 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .317 which is good for 16th in baseball. They rank 26th in baseball with 7.63 hits per game. Jose Altuve comes into this game hitting .321 and his on-base percentage is at .409. He has 44 hits this season along with 32 runs scored and 22 runs batted in. He's struck out 18 times and has walked 18 times. Carlos Correa is hitting .276 and he has an on-base percentage of .383. He has totaled 35 hits so far while scoring 19 runs and he's driven in 17. He has walked 21 times and has struck out 33 times. The Astros have 267 hits, including 75 doubles and 43 home runs. They've stolen 29 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 11 times. Houston has walked 144 times this season and they've struck out 345 times as a unit. They've left 237 men on base and have a team OPS of .727. They score 4.11 runs per contest and have scored a total of 144 runs so far this year.
Boston comes into this matchup with a 11-7 home record and a 21-13 overall mark. With an earned run average of 1.52, Steven Wright has a 3-3 record and a 0.99 WHIP. He has 38 strikeouts over the 41.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 25 hits. He has allowed 5.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.25. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.49 and they have given up 90 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .223 against the Red Sox bullpen while being struck out 120 times and walking 49 times this season. As a team, Boston has allowed 8.14 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.09 batters per nine. They are 18th in the league in team earned run average at 4.20. The Red Sox pitchers as a team have surrendered 275 base knocks and 142 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 30 home runs this year and they give up 0.9 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Boston as a staff has walked 127 hitters and struck out 307. They give up a walk 3.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.32 while their FIP as a staff is 3.78.
As a team, they are batting .293, good for 1st in the league while putting together a .303 average at home. The Red Sox hold a .480 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .354 which is good for 3rd in baseball. They rank 1st in baseball with 10.38 hits per contest. Xander Bogaerts comes into this matchup batting .328 and he has an OBP of .384. He has 45 hits this year along with 26 runs scored and 15 RBI. He's struck out 25 times and has walked on 12 occasions. Dustin Pedroia is hitting .306 and he has an OBP of .351. He has collected 44 hits so far while he's scored 26 runs and drove in 20. He has earned a walk 10 times and has punched out 24 times. The Red Sox as a unit have 353 base hits, including 86 doubles and 40 homers. They have 27 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 2 times. Boston as a team has walked 108 times this year and they have struck out 263 times. They've had 240 men left on base and have an OPS of .834. They score 5.76 runs per game and have totaled 196 runs so far this season.
Houston Astros Betting Trends
The Houston Astros are 17-13-5 against the over/under so far this season
The Houston Astros are 14-21-0 against the run line so far this season
Boston Red Sox Betting Trends
The Boston Red Sox are 18-15-1 against the over/under so far this season
The Boston Red Sox are 21-13-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
04/04/16 P Lance McCuller Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
Boston Red Sox
05/03/16 3B Pablo Sandoval Shoulder 60-day DL (4/11); out for season
04/19/16 P Joe Kelly Shoulder 15-day DL (4/19)
04/04/16 P Brandon Workman Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Eduardo Rodrigue Knee 15-day DL (4/2)
Guy's Pick: Take the Red Sox
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