Sunday, May 15, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Chris Devenski vs. Sean O'Sullivan
The Houston Astros visit Fenway Park on Sunday to play the Boston Red Sox. The probable starters are Chris Devenski for the Astros and Sean O'Sullivan for the Red Sox. The opening line for this matchup has Houston at +110 and Boston at -120. The over/under was set at 10.5. The Astros have a 19-13-5 over/under record and a 15-22-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 41% of the time. The Red Sox are 22-14-0 against the run line and have a 20-15-1 over/under record. They cover the spread 61% of the time.
The Astros head into this matchup with a 15-22 record, including 5-12 on the road. Starting pitcher Chris Devenski has a 0-2 record with an earned run average of 1.72 and a WHIP of 1.09. He has 27 strikeouts over his 31.1 innings pitched and he has given up 27 hits so far this season. He has allowed 7.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.54. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.89 and they have given up 111 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .234 against the bullpen while being struck out 128 times and walking 26 times this season. As a team, Houston has allowed 9.51 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.64 batters per nine. They are 23rd in the league in team earned run average at 4.50. The Astros pitchers have collectively given up 351 base hits and 166 earned runs. They have allowed 45 home runs this season and they allow 1.2 homers per nine innings as a staff. Houston as a pitching staff has walked 96 batters and struck out 282. They walk 2.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.35 and their FIP as a unit is 4.05.
As a team, Houston is batting .232, good for 26th in the league while putting together a .224 average away from home. The Astros hold a .408 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .317 which is good for 14th in baseball. They rank 24th in baseball with 7.76 hits per game. Jose Altuve comes into this game hitting .338 and his on-base percentage is at .423. He has 49 hits this season along with 34 runs scored and 23 runs batted in. He's struck out 19 times and has walked 19 times. Carlos Correa is hitting .269 and he has an on-base percentage of .380. He has totaled 36 hits so far while scoring 19 runs and he's driven in 17. He has walked 23 times and has struck out 37 times. The Astros have 287 hits, including 79 doubles and 44 home runs. They've stolen 31 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 11 times. Houston has walked 149 times this season and they've struck out 368 times as a unit. They've left 253 men on base and have a team OPS of .725. They score 4.11 runs per contest and have scored a total of 152 runs so far this year.
Boston comes into this matchup with a 12-8 home record and a 22-14 overall mark. With an earned run average of 6.43, Sean O'Sullivan has a 1-0 record and a 2.00 WHIP. He has 4 strikeouts over the 7 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 14 hits. He has allowed 18 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 1.94. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.43 and they have given up 95 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .221 against the Red Sox bullpen while being struck out 128 times and walking 51 times this season. As a team, Boston has allowed 8.25 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.22 batters per nine. They are 18th in the league in team earned run average at 4.19. The Red Sox pitchers as a team have surrendered 295 base knocks and 150 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 31 home runs this year and they give up 0.9 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Boston as a staff has walked 132 hitters and struck out 330. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.2 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.33 while their FIP as a staff is 3.68.
As a team, they are batting .296, good for 1st in the league while putting together a .307 average at home. The Red Sox hold a .485 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .356 which is good for 3rd in baseball. They rank 1st in baseball with 10.5 hits per contest. Xander Bogaerts comes into this matchup batting .333 and he has an OBP of .385. He has 49 hits this year along with 27 runs scored and 18 RBI. He's struck out 28 times and has walked on 12 occasions. Dustin Pedroia is hitting .303 and he has an OBP of .350. He has collected 46 hits so far while he's scored 27 runs and drove in 20. He has earned a walk 11 times and has punched out 26 times. The Red Sox as a unit have 378 base hits, including 93 doubles and 43 homers. They have 27 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 2 times. Boston as a team has walked 115 times this year and they have struck out 280 times. They've had 253 men left on base and have an OPS of .841. They score 5.92 runs per game and have totaled 213 runs so far this season.
Houston Astros Betting Trends
The Houston Astros are 19-13-5 against the over/under so far this season
The Houston Astros are 15-22-0 against the run line so far this season
Boston Red Sox Betting Trends
The Boston Red Sox are 20-15-1 against the over/under so far this season
The Boston Red Sox are 22-14-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
No key injuries to report
Boston Red Sox
05/03/16 3B Pablo Sandoval Shoulder 60-day DL (4/11); out for season
04/19/16 P Joe Kelly Shoulder 15-day DL (4/19)
04/04/16 P Brandon Workman Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Eduardo Rodrigue Knee 15-day DL (4/2)
Guy's Pick: Take the Red Sox
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