Monday, September 5, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Mike Fiers vs. Josh Tomlin
The Houston Astros head to Progressive Field on Monday to take on the Cleveland Indians. The probable pitchers are Mike Fiers for the Astros and Josh Tomlin for the Indians. The opening line for this game has Houston at +115 and Cleveland at -125. The over/under is 9. The Astros have a 61-66-8 over/under mark and a 60-75-0 run line record, meaning they cover 44% of the time. The Indians are 66-68-0 against the run line and have a 66-58-10 over/under record. They cover the spread 49% of the time.
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The Astros head into this game with a 71-64 record, and they are 32-35 on the road. Starting pitcher Mike Fiers has a 9-6 record with an ERA of 4.31 and a WHIP of 1.33. He has 112 strikeouts during his 144 innings pitched and he has given up 158 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 9.9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.52. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 3.51 and they have allowed 392 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .232 against the pen while they've been struck out 493 times and walked 107 times this year. As a unit, Houston has given up 9.03 base hits per nine innings while striking out 8.57 hitters per nine. They are 10th in the Majors in team earned run average at 4.01. The Astros pitchers have collectively given up 1,227 base hits and 545 earned runs. They have allowed 158 home runs this season and they allow 1.2 homers per nine innings as a staff. Houston as a pitching staff has walked 352 batters and struck out 1,165. They walk 2.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.29 and their FIP as a unit is 3.86.
As a team, Houston is hitting .247, good for 24th in the league while putting together a .257 average on the road. The Astros have a .421 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .321 which is good for 17th in the league. They rank 24th in baseball with 8.45 hits per contest. Jose Altuve comes into this game hitting .348 and his on-base percentage is at .409. He has 185 hits this season along with 95 runs scored and 89 runs batted in. He's struck out 61 times and has walked 53 times. George Springer is hitting .254 and he has an on-base percentage of .357. He has totaled 136 hits so far while scoring 99 runs and he's driven in 73. He has walked 76 times and has struck out 142 times. The Astros have 1,141 hits, including 248 doubles and 169 home runs. They've stolen 88 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 36 times. Houston has walked 480 times this season and they've struck out 1,221 times as a unit. They've left 924 men on base and have a team OPS of .742. They score 4.58 runs per contest and have scored a total of 618 runs so far this year.
Cleveland comes into this game with a 44-23 home mark and a 78-56 overall record. With an ERA of 4.89, Josh Tomlin has a 11-8 record and a 1.26 WHIP. He has 108 strikeouts over the 147.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 166 hits. He has allowed 10.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.24. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.40 and they have given up 350 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .231 against the Indians bullpen while being struck out 394 times and walking 155 times this season. As a team, Cleveland has allowed 8.22 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.62 batters per nine. They are 5th in the league in team earned run average at 3.79. The Indians pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,102 base knocks and 508 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 156 home runs this year and they give up 1.2 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Cleveland as a staff has walked 390 hitters and struck out 1,155. They give up a walk 2.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.24 while their FIP as a staff is 3.95.
As a team, they are batting .265, good for 5th in the league while putting together a .294 average at home. The Indians hold a .439 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .328 which is good for 7th in baseball. They rank 6th in baseball with 9.11 hits per contest. Francisco Lindor comes into this matchup batting .319 and he has an OBP of .363. He has 167 hits this year along with 86 runs scored and 66 RBI. He's struck out 76 times and has walked on 39 occasions. Jason Kipnis is hitting .285 and he has an OBP of .347. He has collected 146 hits so far while he's scored 80 runs and drove in 74. He has earned a walk 50 times and has punched out 120 times. The Indians as a unit have 1,221 base hits, including 253 doubles and 166 homers. They have 106 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 27 times. Cleveland as a team has walked 421 times this year and they have struck out 1,051 times. They've had 880 men left on base and have an OPS of .767. They score 4.93 runs per game and have totaled 660 runs so far this season.
Houston Astros Betting Trends
The Houston Astros are 61-66-8 against the over/under so far this season
The Houston Astros are 60-75-0 against the run line so far this season
Cleveland Indians Betting Trends
The Cleveland Indians are 66-58-10 against the over/under so far this season
The Cleveland Indians are 66-68-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
09/03/16 2B Jose Altuve Calf injured last game, "?" Sunday vs. Texas Rangers
09/03/16 1B Marwin Gonzalez Hamstring "?" Sunday vs. Texas Rangers
08/13/16 LF Preston Tucker Shoulder 15-day DL (8/11)
08/03/16 P Lance McCullers Elbow 15-day DL (8/2)
07/29/16 3B Luis Valbuena Hamstring 15-day DL (7/27)
08/31/16 C Yan Gomes Shoulder 60-day DL (7/18)
07/18/16 P Tommy Hunter Back 15-day DL (7/10)
07/07/16 P Zach McAllister Hip 15-day DL (7/6)
06/01/16 LF Marlon Byrd Suspension out for season
05/14/16 LF Michael Brantley Shoulder 60-day DL (5/10); out for season
Guy's Pick: Take the Indians
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