Tuesday, September 6, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Dallas Keuchel vs. Corey Kluber
The Houston Astros visit Progressive Field on Tuesday to play the Cleveland Indians. The probable starters are Dallas Keuchel for the Astros and Corey Kluber for the Indians. The opening line for this matchup has Houston at +160 and Cleveland at -170. The over/under was set at 8. The Astros have a 62-66-8 over/under record and a 61-75-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 45% of the time. The Indians are 66-69-0 against the run line and have a 67-58-10 over/under record. They cover the spread 49% of the time.
The Astros head into this matchup with a 72-64 record, including 33-35 on the road. Starting pitcher Dallas Keuchel has a 9-12 record with an earned run average of 4.55 and a WHIP of 1.29. He has 144 strikeouts over his 168 innings pitched and he has given up 168 hits so far this season. He has allowed 9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.87. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.49 and they have given up 396 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .232 against the bullpen while being struck out 500 times and walking 108 times this season. As a team, Houston has allowed 9.04 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.58 batters per nine. They are 11th in the league in team earned run average at 4.03. The Astros pitchers have collectively given up 1,238 base hits and 551 earned runs. They have allowed 159 home runs this season and they allow 1.2 homers per nine innings as a staff. Houston as a pitching staff has walked 355 batters and struck out 1,175. They walk 2.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.29 and their FIP as a unit is 3.86.
As a team, Houston is batting .247, good for 24th in the league while putting together a .257 average away from home. The Astros hold a .421 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .322 which is good for 17th in baseball. They rank 24th in baseball with 8.47 hits per game. Jose Altuve comes into this game hitting .346 and his on-base percentage is at .409. He has 185 hits this season along with 95 runs scored and 90 runs batted in. He's struck out 61 times and has walked 55 times. George Springer is hitting .256 and he has an on-base percentage of .359. He has totaled 138 hits so far while scoring 101 runs and he's driven in 75. He has walked 77 times and has struck out 144 times. The Astros have 1,152 hits, including 249 doubles and 171 home runs. They've stolen 89 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 36 times. Houston has walked 485 times this season and they've struck out 1,232 times as a unit. They've left 934 men on base and have a team OPS of .743. They score 4.6 runs per contest and have scored a total of 625 runs so far this year.
Cleveland comes into this matchup with a 45-23 home record and a 79-56 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.09, Corey Kluber has a 15-8 record and a 1.05 WHIP. He has 189 strikeouts over the 183.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 146 hits. He has allowed 7.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.16. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.44 and they have given up 355 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .231 against the Indians bullpen while being struck out 397 times and walking 155 times this season. As a team, Cleveland has allowed 8.24 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.66 batters per nine. They are 5th in the league in team earned run average at 3.79. The Indians pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,113 base knocks and 512 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 157 home runs this year and they give up 1.2 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Cleveland as a staff has walked 392 hitters and struck out 1,169. They give up a walk 2.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.24 while their FIP as a staff is 3.93.
As a team, they are batting .266, good for 6th in the league while putting together a .294 average at home. The Indians hold a .438 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .329 which is good for 6th in baseball. They rank 6th in baseball with 9.12 hits per contest. Francisco Lindor comes into this matchup batting .317 and he has an OBP of .361. He has 167 hits this year along with 86 runs scored and 66 RBI. He's struck out 76 times and has walked on 40 occasions. Jason Kipnis is hitting .284 and he has an OBP of .347. He has collected 147 hits so far while he's scored 80 runs and drove in 76. He has earned a walk 51 times and has punched out 123 times. The Indians as a unit have 1,231 base hits, including 255 doubles and 166 homers. They have 108 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 27 times. Cleveland as a team has walked 428 times this year and they have struck out 1,058 times. They've had 890 men left on base and have an OPS of .767. They score 4.93 runs per game and have totaled 666 runs so far this season.
Houston Astros Betting Trends
The Houston Astros are 62-66-8 against the over/under so far this season
The Houston Astros are 61-75-0 against the run line so far this season
Cleveland Indians Betting Trends
The Cleveland Indians are 67-58-10 against the over/under so far this season
The Cleveland Indians are 66-69-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
08/13/16 LF Preston Tucker Shoulder 15-day DL (8/11)
08/03/16 P Lance McCullers Elbow 15-day DL (8/2)
07/29/16 3B Luis Valbuena Hamstring 15-day DL (7/27)
08/31/16 C Yan Gomes Shoulder 60-day DL (7/18)
07/18/16 P Tommy Hunter Back 15-day DL (7/10)
07/07/16 P Zach McAllister Hip 15-day DL (7/6)
06/01/16 LF Marlon Byrd Suspension out for season
05/14/16 LF Michael Brantley Shoulder 60-day DL (5/10); out for season
Guy's Pick: Take the Astros
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