Wednesday, September 7, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Doug Fister vs. Carlos Carrasco
The Houston Astros head to Progressive Field on Wednesday to take on the Cleveland Indians. The probable pitchers are Doug Fister for the Astros and Carlos Carrasco for the Indians. The opening line for this game has Houston at +146 and Cleveland at -156. The over/under is 8.5. The Astros have a 62-67-8 over/under mark and a 62-75-0 run line record, meaning they cover 45% of the time. The Indians are 66-70-0 against the run line and have a 67-59-10 over/under record. They cover the spread 49% of the time.
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The Astros head into this game with a 73-64 record, and they are 34-35 on the road. Starting pitcher Doug Fister has a 12-10 record with an ERA of 3.91 and a WHIP of 1.33. He has 102 strikeouts during his 161 innings pitched and he has given up 162 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 9.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.54. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 3.46 and they have allowed 396 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .231 against the pen while they've been struck out 505 times and walked 109 times this year. As a unit, Houston has given up 9.03 base hits per nine innings while striking out 8.58 hitters per nine. They are 9th in the Majors in team earned run average at 4.01. The Astros pitchers have collectively given up 1,245 base hits and 553 earned runs. They have allowed 160 home runs this season and they allow 1.2 homers per nine innings as a staff. Houston as a pitching staff has walked 358 batters and struck out 1,184. They walk 2.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.29 and their FIP as a unit is 3.86.
As a team, Houston is hitting .247, good for 24th in the league while putting together a .258 average on the road. The Astros have a .421 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .323 which is good for 16th in the league. They rank 24th in baseball with 8.49 hits per contest. Jose Altuve comes into this game hitting .346 and his on-base percentage is at .409. He has 187 hits this season along with 96 runs scored and 91 runs batted in. He's struck out 63 times and has walked 55 times. George Springer is hitting .256 and he has an on-base percentage of .361. He has totaled 139 hits so far while scoring 103 runs and he's driven in 75. He has walked 79 times and has struck out 146 times. The Astros have 1,163 hits, including 251 doubles and 172 home runs. They've stolen 91 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 37 times. Houston has walked 492 times this season and they've struck out 1,246 times as a unit. They've left 945 men on base and have a team OPS of .744. They score 4.61 runs per contest and have scored a total of 631 runs so far this year.
Cleveland comes into this game with a 45-24 home mark and a 79-57 overall record. With an ERA of 3.06, Carlos Carrasco has a 10-7 record and a 1.09 WHIP. He has 143 strikeouts over the 135.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 116 hits. He has allowed 7.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.64. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.44 and they have given up 364 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .233 against the Indians bullpen while being struck out 408 times and walking 160 times this season. As a team, Cleveland has allowed 8.26 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.7 batters per nine. They are 6th in the league in team earned run average at 3.79. The Indians pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,124 base knocks and 516 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 158 home runs this year and they give up 1.2 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Cleveland as a staff has walked 399 hitters and struck out 1,183. They give up a walk 2.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.24 while their FIP as a staff is 3.93.
As a team, they are batting .265, good for 6th in the league while putting together a .293 average at home. The Indians hold a .437 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .329 which is good for 6th in baseball. They rank 6th in baseball with 9.1 hits per contest. Francisco Lindor comes into this matchup batting .319 and he has an OBP of .364. He has 169 hits this year along with 87 runs scored and 66 RBI. He's struck out 76 times and has walked on 41 occasions. Jason Kipnis is hitting .284 and he has an OBP of .347. He has collected 148 hits so far while he's scored 80 runs and drove in 76. He has earned a walk 51 times and has punched out 124 times. The Indians as a unit have 1,238 base hits, including 256 doubles and 167 homers. They have 108 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 27 times. Cleveland as a team has walked 431 times this year and they have struck out 1,067 times. They've had 897 men left on base and have an OPS of .766. They score 4.91 runs per game and have totaled 668 runs so far this season.
Houston Astros Betting Trends
The Houston Astros are 62-67-8 against the over/under so far this season
The Houston Astros are 62-75-0 against the run line so far this season
Cleveland Indians Betting Trends
The Cleveland Indians are 67-59-10 against the over/under so far this season
The Cleveland Indians are 66-70-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
09/06/16 P Dallas Keuchel Shoulder out indefinitely
08/13/16 LF Preston Tucker Shoulder 15-day DL (8/11)
08/03/16 P Lance McCullers Elbow 15-day DL (8/2)
07/29/16 3B Luis Valbuena Hamstring 15-day DL (7/27)
08/31/16 C Yan Gomes Shoulder 60-day DL (7/18)
07/18/16 P Tommy Hunter Back 15-day DL (7/10)
07/07/16 P Zach McAllister Hip 15-day DL (7/6)
06/01/16 LF Marlon Byrd Suspension out for season
05/14/16 LF Michael Brantley Shoulder 60-day DL (5/10); out for season
Guy's Pick: Take the Indians
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