Saturday, July 30, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Mike Fiers vs. Justin Verlander
The Houston Astros visit Comerica Park on Saturday to play the Detroit Tigers. The probable starters are Mike Fiers for the Astros and Justin Verlander for the Tigers. The opening line for this matchup has Houston at +132 and Detroit at -142. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Astros have a 44-51-6 over/under record and a 45-56-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 45% of the time. The Tigers are 59-43-0 against the run line and have a 52-45-5 over/under record. They cover the spread 58% of the time.
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The Astros head into this matchup with a 55-46 record, including 23-25 on the road. Starting pitcher Mike Fiers has a 7-4 record with an earned run average of 4.69 and a WHIP of 1.38. He has 71 strikeouts over his 103.2 innings pitched and he has given up 119 hits so far this season. He has allowed 10.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.77. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 2.98 and they have given up 283 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .228 against the bullpen while being struck out 357 times and walking 77 times this season. As a team, Houston has allowed 8.81 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.41 batters per nine. They are 7th in the league in team earned run average at 3.74. The Astros pitchers have collectively given up 900 base hits and 381 earned runs. They have allowed 98 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Houston as a pitching staff has walked 280 batters and struck out 860. They walk 2.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.28 and their FIP as a unit is 3.65.
As a team, Houston is batting .246, good for 22nd in the league while putting together a .253 average away from home. The Astros hold a .423 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .324 which is good for 13th in baseball. They rank 21st in baseball with 8.4 hits per game. Carlos Correa comes into this game hitting .268 and his on-base percentage is at .368. He has 98 hits this season along with 51 runs scored and 65 runs batted in. He's struck out 94 times and has walked 54 times. Jose Altuve is hitting .357 and he has an on-base percentage of .423. He has totaled 142 hits so far while scoring 75 runs and he's driven in 60. He has walked 44 times and has struck out 43 times. The Astros have 848 hits, including 179 doubles and 131 home runs. They've stolen 78 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 29 times. Houston has walked 376 times this season and they've struck out 927 times as a unit. They've left 697 men on base and have a team OPS of .747. They score 4.55 runs per contest and have scored a total of 460 runs so far this year.
Detroit comes into this matchup with a 26-19 home record and a 54-48 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.64, Justin Verlander has a 10-6 record and a 1.08 WHIP. He has 144 strikeouts over the 138.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 111 hits. He has allowed 7.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.65. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.34 and they have given up 326 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .264 against the Tigers bullpen while being struck out 269 times and walking 105 times this season. As a team, Detroit has allowed 9.28 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.42 batters per nine. They are 24th in the league in team earned run average at 4.43. The Tigers pitchers as a team have surrendered 930 base knocks and 443 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 106 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Detroit as a staff has walked 298 hitters and struck out 744. They give up a walk 3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.36 while their FIP as a staff is 4.12.
As a team, they are batting .266, good for 6th in the league while putting together a .275 average at home. The Tigers hold a .434 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .327 which is good for 11th in baseball. They rank 6th in baseball with 9.17 hits per contest. Ian Kinsler comes into this matchup batting .289 and he has an OBP of .343. He has 119 hits this year along with 81 runs scored and 57 RBI. He's struck out 79 times and has walked on 27 occasions. Nick Castellanos is hitting .292 and he has an OBP of .332. He has collected 110 hits so far while he's scored 49 runs and drove in 55. He has earned a walk 23 times and has punched out 98 times. The Tigers as a unit have 935 base hits, including 155 doubles and 132 homers. They have 43 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 17 times. Detroit as a team has walked 305 times this year and they have struck out 841 times. They've had 698 men left on base and have an OPS of .761. They score 4.66 runs per game and have totaled 475 runs so far this season.
Houston Astros Betting Trends
The Houston Astros are 44-51-6 against the over/under so far this season
The Houston Astros are 45-56-0 against the run line so far this season
Detroit Tigers Betting Trends
The Detroit Tigers are 52-45-5 against the over/under so far this season
The Detroit Tigers are 59-43-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
07/29/16 P Doug Fister Personal expected to go on the paternity leave list
07/28/16 3B Luis Valbuena Hamstring is downgraded to doubtful Friday vs. Detroit Tigers
07/27/16 CF Carlos Gomez Hamstring injured last game, "?" Friday vs Detroit Tigers
07/28/16 P Francisco Rodriguez Personal expected to be available Friday vs. Houston Astros
07/27/16 CF Cameron Maybin Back "?" Friday vs Houston Astros
07/06/16 P Daniel Norris Oblique 15-day DL (7/5)
07/04/16 P Jordan Zimmerman Neck 15-day DL (6/01)
06/21/16 P Drew VerHagen Shoulder 60-day DL (5/23), out for season
06/17/16 RF J.D. Martinez Elbow 15-day DL (6/17)
04/04/16 P Jeff Ferrell Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Angel Nesbitt Ankle 15-day DL (3/25)
Josh's Pick: Take the Astros
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