Sunday, July 31, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Dallas Keuchel vs. Mike Pelfrey
The Houston Astros head to Comerica Park on Sunday to take on the Detroit Tigers. The probable pitchers are Dallas Keuchel for the Astros and Mike Pelfrey for the Tigers. The Astros have a 45-51-6 over/under mark and a 45-57-0 run line record, meaning they cover 44% of the time. The Tigers are 60-43-0 against the run line and have a 53-45-5 over/under record. They cover the spread 58% of the time.
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The Astros head into this game with a 55-47 record, and they are 23-26 on the road. Starting pitcher Dallas Keuchel has a 6-10 record with an ERA of 4.57 and a WHIP of 1.33. He has 115 strikeouts during his 134 innings pitched and he has given up 138 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 9.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.82. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 3.09 and they have allowed 289 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .228 against the pen while they've been struck out 361 times and walked 78 times this year. As a unit, Houston has given up 8.89 base hits per nine innings while striking out 8.39 hitters per nine. They are 8th in the Majors in team earned run average at 3.84. The Astros pitchers have collectively given up 916 base hits and 395 earned runs. They have allowed 101 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Houston as a pitching staff has walked 281 batters and struck out 865. They walk 2.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.29 and their FIP as a unit is 3.67.
As a team, Houston is hitting .246, good for 23rd in the league while putting together a .251 average on the road. The Astros have a .423 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .324 which is good for 15th in the league. They rank 21st in baseball with 8.38 hits per contest. Carlos Correa comes into this game hitting .268 and his on-base percentage is at .367. He has 99 hits this season along with 52 runs scored and 66 runs batted in. He's struck out 94 times and has walked 54 times. Jose Altuve is hitting .356 and he has an on-base percentage of .421. He has totaled 143 hits so far while scoring 76 runs and he's driven in 62. He has walked 44 times and has struck out 43 times. The Astros have 855 hits, including 180 doubles and 133 home runs. They've stolen 78 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 29 times. Houston has walked 379 times this season and they've struck out 935 times as a unit. They've left 702 men on base and have a team OPS of .746. They score 4.57 runs per contest and have scored a total of 466 runs so far this year.
Detroit comes into this game with a 27-19 home mark and a 55-48 overall record. With an ERA of 4.98, Mike Pelfrey has a 3-9 record and a 1.75 WHIP. He has 48 strikeouts over the 110.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 148 hits. He has allowed 12.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.27. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.31 and they have given up 329 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .263 against the Tigers bullpen while being struck out 271 times and walking 107 times this season. As a team, Detroit has allowed 9.26 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.43 batters per nine. They are 24th in the league in team earned run average at 4.42. The Tigers pitchers as a team have surrendered 937 base knocks and 446 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 108 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Detroit as a staff has walked 301 hitters and struck out 752. They give up a walk 3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.36 while their FIP as a staff is 4.13.
As a team, they are batting .267, good for 5th in the league while putting together a .278 average at home. The Tigers hold a .437 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .328 which is good for 11th in baseball. They rank 5th in baseball with 9.23 hits per contest. Ian Kinsler comes into this matchup batting .291 and he has an OBP of .344. He has 121 hits this year along with 83 runs scored and 57 RBI. He's struck out 79 times and has walked on 27 occasions. Nick Castellanos is hitting .294 and he has an OBP of .335. He has collected 112 hits so far while he's scored 51 runs and drove in 57. He has earned a walk 24 times and has punched out 99 times. The Tigers as a unit have 951 base hits, including 156 doubles and 135 homers. They have 43 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 17 times. Detroit as a team has walked 306 times this year and they have struck out 846 times. They've had 701 men left on base and have an OPS of .765. They score 4.75 runs per game and have totaled 489 runs so far this season.
Houston Astros Betting Trends
The Houston Astros are 45-51-6 against the over/under so far this season
The Houston Astros are 45-57-0 against the run line so far this season
Detroit Tigers Betting Trends
The Detroit Tigers are 53-45-5 against the over/under so far this season
The Detroit Tigers are 60-43-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
07/29/16 CF Carlos Gomez Hamstring expected to miss Saturday vs Detroit Tigers
07/29/16 P Doug Fister Personal expected to go on the paternity leave list
07/29/16 3B Luis Valbuena Hamstring 15-day DL (7/27)
07/29/16 CF Cameron Maybin Back "?" Saturday vs. Houston Astros
07/06/16 P Daniel Norris Oblique 15-day DL (7/5)
07/04/16 P Jordan Zimmerman Neck 15-day DL (6/01)
06/21/16 P Drew VerHagen Shoulder 60-day DL (5/23), out for season
06/17/16 RF J.D. Martinez Elbow 15-day DL (6/17)
04/04/16 P Jeff Ferrell Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Angel Nesbitt Ankle 15-day DL (3/25)
Josh's Pick: Take the Tigers
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