Sunday, October 2, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Joseph Musgrove vs. Jered Weaver
The Houston Astros visit Angel Stadium on Sunday to play the Los Angeles Angels. The probable starters are Joseph Musgrove for the Astros and Jered Weaver for the Angels. The Astros have a 72-80-8 over/under record and a 71-89-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 44% of the time. The Angels are 77-83-0 against the run line and have a 70-83-7 over/under record. They cover the spread 48% of the time.
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The Astros head into this matchup with a 83-77 record, including 40-39 on the road. Starting pitcher Joseph Musgrove has a 4-4 record with an earned run average of 4.06 and a WHIP of 1.21. He has 55 strikeouts over his 62 innings pitched and he has given up 59 hits so far this season. He has allowed 8.6 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.18. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.53 and they have given up 470 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .227 against the bullpen while being struck out 611 times and walking 149 times this season. As a team, Houston has allowed 8.86 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.59 batters per nine. They are 11th in the league in team earned run average at 4.07. The Astros pitchers have collectively given up 1,428 base hits and 655 earned runs. They have allowed 180 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Houston as a pitching staff has walked 445 batters and struck out 1,385. They walk 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.29 and their FIP as a unit is 3.85.
As a team, Houston is batting .246, good for 24th in the league while putting together a .255 average away from home. The Astros hold a .418 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .319 which is good for 19th in baseball. They rank 23rd in baseball with 8.44 hits per game. George Springer comes into this game hitting .262 and his on-base percentage is at .360. He has 167 hits this season along with 116 runs scored and 82 runs batted in. He's struck out 177 times and has walked 88 times. Jose Altuve is hitting .337 and he has an on-base percentage of .396. He has totaled 213 hits so far while scoring 107 runs and he's driven in 96. He has walked 59 times and has struck out 69 times. The Astros have 1,350 hits, including 287 doubles and 198 home runs. They've stolen 99 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 44 times. Houston has walked 548 times this season and they've struck out 1,439 times as a unit. They've left 1,069 men on base and have a team OPS of .737. They score 4.5 runs per contest and have scored a total of 720 runs so far this year.
Los Angeles comes into this matchup with a 39-40 home record and a 73-87 overall mark. With an earned run average of 5.06, Jered Weaver has a 12-12 record and a 1.46 WHIP. He has 103 strikeouts over the 178 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 209 hits. He has allowed 10.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.62. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.79 and they have given up 528 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .255 against the Angels bullpen while being struck out 431 times and walking 186 times this season. As a team, Los Angeles has allowed 7.78 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.35 batters per nine. They are 4th in the league in team earned run average at 3.69. The Angels pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,463 base knocks and 672 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 208 home runs this year and they give up 1.3 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Los Angeles as a staff has walked 492 hitters and struck out 1,123. They give up a walk 3.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.2 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.39 while their FIP as a staff is 4.64.
As a team, they are batting .251, good for 22nd in the league while putting together a .253 average at home. The Angels hold a .412 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .321 which is good for 17th in baseball. They rank 21st in baseball with 8.55 hits per contest. Yunel Escobar comes into this matchup batting .308 and he has an OBP of .360. He has 157 hits this year along with 68 runs scored and 38 RBI. He's struck out 66 times and has walked on 40 occasions. Mike Trout is hitting .316 and he has an OBP of .440. He has collected 172 hits so far while he's scored 123 runs and drove in 99. He has earned a walk 114 times and has punched out 136 times. The Angels as a unit have 1,397 base hits, including 274 doubles and 155 homers. They have 71 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 34 times. Los Angeles as a team has walked 463 times this year and they have struck out 980 times. They've had 1,023 men left on base and have an OPS of .728. They score 4.43 runs per game and have totaled 709 runs so far this season.
Houston Astros Betting Trends
The Houston Astros are 72-80-8 against the over/under so far this season
The Houston Astros are 71-89-0 against the run line so far this season
Los Angeles Angels Betting Trends
The Los Angeles Angels are 70-83-7 against the over/under so far this season
The Los Angeles Angels are 77-83-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
10/01/16 3B Alex Bregman Hamstring out for season
09/22/16 LF Preston Tucker Shoulder 15-day DL (8/11); out for season
09/06/16 P Dallas Keuchel Shoulder out indefinitely
08/03/16 P Lance McCullers Elbow 15-day DL (8/2)
07/29/16 3B Luis Valbuena Hamstring 15-day DL (7/27)
Los Angeles Angels
09/30/16 DH Albert Pujols Foot out for season
09/30/16 P Tyler Skaggs Forearm is upgraded to expected to start Saturday vs Houston Astros
09/28/16 3B Yunel Escobar Shoulder "?" Saturday vs. Houston Astros
09/26/16 P Jered Weaver Back "?" for next scheduled start
09/06/16 P Matt Shoemaker Head 60-day DL (9/5), out for season
09/05/16 P Huston Street Knee 60-day DL (8/2); out for season
08/18/16 C Geovany Soto Knee 15-day DL (8/15)
08/10/16 P Cam Bedrosian Blood Clot 15-day DL (8/4), out for season
07/20/16 P Nick Tropeano Elbow 60-day DL (7/19)
05/10/16 P Garrett Richards Elbow 60-day DL (5/2)
04/06/16 P Andrew Heaney Elbow 60-day DL (4/4), out for season
04/03/16 P C.J. Wilson Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25), out for season
Guy's Pick: Take the Astros
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