Wednesday, August 10, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Dallas Keuchel vs. Ervin Santana
The Houston Astros head to Target Field on Wednesday to take on the Minnesota Twins. The probable pitchers are Dallas Keuchel for the Astros and Ervin Santana for the Twins. The opening line for this game has Houston at -141 and Minnesota at +131. The over/under is 8. The Astros have a 46-59-7 over/under mark and a 48-64-0 run line record, meaning they cover 43% of the time. The Twins are 60-52-0 against the run line and have a 67-39-6 over/under record. They cover the spread 54% of the time.
The Astros head into this game with a 57-55 record, and they are 23-29 on the road. Starting pitcher Dallas Keuchel has a 7-11 record with an ERA of 4.56 and a WHIP of 1.30. He has 126 strikeouts during his 148 innings pitched and he has given up 148 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.88. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 3.16 and they have allowed 317 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .228 against the pen while they've been struck out 408 times and walked 86 times this year. As a unit, Houston has given up 8.84 base hits per nine innings while striking out 8.57 hitters per nine. They are 7th in the Majors in team earned run average at 3.77. The Astros pitchers have collectively given up 1,004 base hits and 428 earned runs. They have allowed 114 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Houston as a pitching staff has walked 302 batters and struck out 974. They walk 2.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.28 and their FIP as a unit is 3.64.
As a team, Houston is hitting .241, good for 27th in the league while putting together a .247 average on the road. The Astros have a .408 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .317 which is good for 20th in the league. They rank 24th in baseball with 8.25 hits per contest. Carlos Correa comes into this game hitting .267 and his on-base percentage is at .363. He has 109 hits this season along with 53 runs scored and 70 runs batted in. He's struck out 100 times and has walked 58 times. Jose Altuve is hitting .356 and he has an on-base percentage of .423. He has totaled 155 hits so far while scoring 80 runs and he's driven in 67. He has walked 48 times and has struck out 49 times. The Astros have 924 hits, including 200 doubles and 134 home runs. They've stolen 80 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 31 times. Houston has walked 400 times this season and they've struck out 1,034 times as a unit. They've left 771 men on base and have a team OPS of .726. They score 4.32 runs per contest and have scored a total of 484 runs so far this year.
Minnesota comes into this game with a 24-32 home mark and a 46-66 overall record. With an ERA of 3.62, Ervin Santana has a 5-9 record and a 1.23 WHIP. He has 93 strikeouts over the 126.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 125 hits. He has allowed 8.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.86. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.23 and they have given up 392 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .263 against the Twins bullpen while being struck out 361 times and walking 120 times this season. As a team, Minnesota has allowed 9.94 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.41 batters per nine. They are 28th in the league in team earned run average at 4.82. The Twins pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,099 base knocks and 533 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 154 home runs this year and they give up 1.4 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Minnesota as a staff has walked 293 hitters and struck out 819. They give up a walk 2.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.40 while their FIP as a staff is 4.45.
As a team, they are batting .257, good for 14th in the league while putting together a .258 average at home. The Twins hold a .427 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .322 which is good for 16th in baseball. They rank 12th in baseball with 8.9 hits per contest. Eduardo Nunez comes into this matchup batting .291 and he has an OBP of .326. He has 118 hits this year along with 52 runs scored and 49 RBI. He's struck out 64 times and has walked on 19 occasions. Joe Mauer is hitting .280 and he has an OBP of .381. He has collected 108 hits so far while he's scored 57 runs and drove in 42. He has earned a walk 63 times and has punched out 71 times. The Twins as a unit have 997 base hits, including 207 doubles and 133 homers. They have 74 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 23 times. Minnesota as a team has walked 358 times this year and they have struck out 953 times. They've had 788 men left on base and have an OPS of .750. They score 4.61 runs per game and have totaled 516 runs so far this season.
Houston Astros Betting Trends
The Houston Astros are 46-59-7 against the over/under so far this season
The Houston Astros are 48-64-0 against the run line so far this season
Minnesota Twins Betting Trends
The Minnesota Twins are 67-39-6 against the over/under so far this season
The Minnesota Twins are 60-52-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
08/07/16 LF Colby Rasmus Ear 15-day DL (8/5)
08/03/16 P Lance McCullers Elbow 15-day DL (8/2)
08/02/16 P Luke Gregerso Oblique 15-day DL (7/28)
07/29/16 3B Luis Valbuena Hamstring 15-day DL (7/27)
06/10/16 P Phil Hughes Knee 60-day DL (6/10); out for season
04/13/16 P Glen Perkins Shoulder 60-day DL (4/11); out for season
Guy's Pick: Take the Twins
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