Monday, August 8, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Collin McHugh vs. Tyler Duffey
The Houston Astros head to Target Field on Monday to take on the Minnesota Twins. The probable pitchers are Collin McHugh for the Astros and Tyler Duffey for the Twins. The opening line for this game has Houston at -140 and Minnesota at +130. The over/under is 9. The Astros have a 46-58-6 over/under mark and a 48-62-0 run line record, meaning they cover 44% of the time. The Twins are 58-52-0 against the run line and have a 66-38-6 over/under record. They cover the spread 53% of the time.
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The Astros head into this game with a 57-53 record, and they are 23-28 on the road. Starting pitcher Collin McHugh has a 7-8 record with an ERA of 4.73 and a WHIP of 1.48. He has 121 strikeouts during his 121.2 innings pitched and he has given up 145 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 10.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.9. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 3.11 and they have allowed 306 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .224 against the pen while they've been struck out 400 times and walked 85 times this year. As a unit, Houston has given up 8.78 base hits per nine innings while striking out 8.55 hitters per nine. They are 7th in the Majors in team earned run average at 3.77. The Astros pitchers have collectively given up 978 base hits and 420 earned runs. They have allowed 114 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Houston as a pitching staff has walked 300 batters and struck out 954. They walk 2.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.27 and their FIP as a unit is 3.68.
As a team, Houston is hitting .242, good for 27th in the league while putting together a .249 average on the road. The Astros have a .411 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .319 which is good for 18th in the league. They rank 25th in baseball with 8.26 hits per contest. Carlos Correa comes into this game hitting .267 and his on-base percentage is at .363. He has 107 hits this season along with 53 runs scored and 70 runs batted in. He's struck out 100 times and has walked 57 times. Jose Altuve is hitting .355 and he has an on-base percentage of .423. He has totaled 153 hits so far while scoring 80 runs and he's driven in 66. He has walked 48 times and has struck out 49 times. The Astros have 909 hits, including 194 doubles and 134 home runs. They've stolen 80 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 31 times. Houston has walked 396 times this season and they've struck out 1,014 times as a unit. They've left 757 men on base and have a team OPS of .729. They score 4.36 runs per contest and have scored a total of 480 runs so far this year.
Minnesota comes into this game with a 23-32 home mark and a 44-66 overall record. With an ERA of 6.21, Tyler Duffey has a 6-8 record and a 1.53 WHIP. He has 76 strikeouts over the 95.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 123 hits. He has allowed 11.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.84. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.28 and they have given up 390 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .265 against the Twins bullpen while being struck out 356 times and walking 119 times this season. As a team, Minnesota has allowed 10.01 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.4 batters per nine. They are 28th in the league in team earned run average at 4.87. The Twins pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,087 base knocks and 529 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 152 home runs this year and they give up 1.4 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Minnesota as a staff has walked 287 hitters and struck out 804. They give up a walk 2.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.41 while their FIP as a staff is 4.46.
As a team, they are batting .256, good for 14th in the league while putting together a .257 average at home. The Twins hold a .426 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .322 which is good for 16th in baseball. They rank 12th in baseball with 8.85 hits per contest. Eduardo Nunez comes into this matchup batting .293 and he has an OBP of .325. He has 116 hits this year along with 52 runs scored and 49 RBI. He's struck out 62 times and has walked on 18 occasions. Joe Mauer is hitting .280 and he has an OBP of .382. He has collected 107 hits so far while he's scored 57 runs and drove in 42. He has earned a walk 63 times and has punched out 70 times. The Twins as a unit have 974 base hits, including 203 doubles and 131 homers. They have 73 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 22 times. Minnesota as a team has walked 354 times this year and they have struck out 937 times. They've had 771 men left on base and have an OPS of .748. They score 4.61 runs per game and have totaled 507 runs so far this season.
Houston Astros Betting Trends
The Houston Astros are 46-58-6 against the over/under so far this season
The Houston Astros are 48-62-0 against the run line so far this season
Minnesota Twins Betting Trends
The Minnesota Twins are 66-38-6 against the over/under so far this season
The Minnesota Twins are 58-52-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
08/03/16 P Lance McCullers Elbow 15-day DL (8/2)
08/02/16 P Luke Gregerso Oblique 15-day DL (7/28)
07/29/16 3B Luis Valbuena Hamstring 15-day DL (7/27)
07/04/16 3B Trevor Plouffe Ribs 15-day DL (7/1)
06/10/16 P Phil Hughes Knee 60-day DL (6/10); out for season
04/13/16 P Glen Perkins Shoulder 60-day DL (4/11); out for season
Tony's Pick: Take the Twins
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