Monday, April 25, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Doug Fister vs. Taijuan Walker
The Houston Astros visit Safeco Field on Monday to play the Seattle Mariners. The probable starters are Doug Fister for the Astros and Taijuan Walker for the Mariners. The opening line for this matchup has Houston at +116 and Seattle at -126. The over/under was set at 7.5. The Astros have a 10-7-1 over/under record and a 5-13-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 28% of the time. The Mariners are 10-7-0 against the run line and have a 5-11-1 over/under record. They cover the spread 59% of the time.
The Astros head into this matchup with a 6-12 record, including 2-7 on the road. Starting pitcher Doug Fister has a 1-2 record with an earned run average of 5.94 and a WHIP of 1.38. He has 9 strikeouts over his 16.2 innings pitched and he has given up 19 hits so far this season. He has allowed 10.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.05. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.37 and they have given up 55 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .244 against the bullpen while being struck out 65 times and walking 16 times this season. As a team, Houston has allowed 10.28 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.95 batters per nine. They are 27th in the league in team earned run average at 4.94. The Astros pitchers have collectively given up 177 base hits and 85 earned runs. They have allowed 25 home runs this season and they allow 1.5 homers per nine innings as a staff. Houston as a pitching staff has walked 45 batters and struck out 137. They walk 2.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.43 and their FIP as a unit is 4.29.
As a team, Houston is batting .241, good for 18th in the league while putting together a .233 average away from home. The Astros hold a .440 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .319 which is good for 11th in baseball. They rank 21st in baseball with 7.89 hits per game. Jose Altuve comes into this game hitting .314 and his on-base percentage is at .415. He has 22 hits this season along with 17 runs scored and 11 runs batted in. He's struck out 12 times and has walked 9 times. Carlos Correa is hitting .286 and he has an on-base percentage of .375. He has totaled 18 hits so far while scoring 8 runs and he's driven in 7. He has walked 8 times and has struck out 13 times. The Astros have 142 hits, including 35 doubles and 25 home runs. They've stolen 15 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 7 times. Houston has walked 62 times this season and they've struck out 174 times as a unit. They've left 114 men on base and have a team OPS of .758. They score 3.94 runs per contest and have scored a total of 71 runs so far this year.
Seattle comes into this matchup with a 1-5 home record and a 8-9 overall mark. With an earned run average of 1.50, Taijuan Walker has a 1-0 record and a 0.94 WHIP. He has 14 strikeouts over the 18 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 15 hits. He has allowed 7.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 2.73. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 2.72 and they have given up 31 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .166 against the Mariners bullpen while being struck out 56 times and walking 17 times this season. As a team, Seattle has allowed 7.71 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.59 batters per nine. They are 8th in the league in team earned run average at 3.41. The Mariners pitchers as a team have surrendered 131 base knocks and 58 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 17 home runs this year and they give up 1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Seattle as a staff has walked 54 hitters and struck out 146. They give up a walk 3.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.21 while their FIP as a staff is 3.76.
As a team, they are batting .225, good for 27th in the league while putting together a .170 average at home. The Mariners hold a .380 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .298 which is good for 25th in baseball. They rank 24th in baseball with 7.65 hits per contest. Nelson Cruz comes into this matchup batting .273 and he has an OBP of .355. He has 18 hits this year along with 8 runs scored and 11 RBI. He's struck out 13 times and has walked on 7 occasions. Robinson Cano is hitting .235 and he has an OBP of .316. He has collected 16 hits so far while he's scored 10 runs and drove in 14. He has earned a walk 7 times and has punched out 10 times. The Mariners as a unit have 130 base hits, including 23 doubles and 21 homers. They have 5 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 5 times. Seattle as a team has walked 52 times this year and they have struck out 138 times. They've had 113 men left on base and have an OPS of .678. They score 3.88 runs per game and have totaled 66 runs so far this season.
Houston Astros Betting Trends
The Houston Astros are 10-7-1 against the over/under so far this season
The Houston Astros are 5-13-0 against the run line so far this season
Seattle Mariners Betting Trends
The Seattle Mariners are 5-11-1 against the over/under so far this season
The Seattle Mariners are 10-7-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
04/04/16 P Lance McCuller Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/02/16 C Max Stassi Wrist 15-day DL (3/29)
04/04/16 P Charlie Furbush Bicep 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Evan Scribner Oblique 15-day DL (3/25)
03/30/16 C Jesus Sucre Leg 60-day DL
03/30/16 P Ryan Cook Shoulder 60-day DL (3/12)
Josh's Pick: Take the Astros
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