Friday, July 15, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Doug Fister vs. James Paxton
The Houston Astros head to Safeco Field on Friday to take on the Seattle Mariners. The probable pitchers are Doug Fister for the Astros and James Paxton for the Mariners. The opening line for this game has Houston at +100 and Seattle at -110. The over/under is 8. The Astros have a 39-45-5 over/under mark and a 39-50-0 run line record, meaning they cover 44% of the time. The Mariners are 45-44-0 against the run line and have a 42-42-5 over/under record. They cover the spread 51% of the time.
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The Astros head into this game with a 48-41 record, and they are 20-22 on the road. Starting pitcher Doug Fister has a 8-6 record with an ERA of 3.55 and a WHIP of 1.24. He has 66 strikeouts during his 106.1 innings pitched and he has given up 96 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 8.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.87. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 3.20 and they have allowed 256 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .229 against the pen while they've been struck out 314 times and walked 66 times this year. As a unit, Houston has given up 8.94 base hits per nine innings while striking out 8.23 hitters per nine. They are 9th in the Majors in team earned run average at 3.88. The Astros pitchers have collectively given up 807 base hits and 350 earned runs. They have allowed 94 home runs this season and they allow 1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Houston as a pitching staff has walked 242 batters and struck out 744. They walk 2.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.2 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.29 and their FIP as a unit is 3.82.
As a team, Houston is hitting .244, good for 23rd in the league while putting together a .252 average on the road. The Astros have a .415 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .324 which is good for 16th in the league. They rank 22nd in baseball with 8.31 hits per contest. Jose Altuve comes into this game hitting .341 and his on-base percentage is at .413. He has 119 hits this season along with 67 runs scored and 51 runs batted in. He's struck out 37 times and has walked 41 times. Carlos Correa is hitting .260 and he has an on-base percentage of .354. He has totaled 85 hits so far while scoring 45 runs and he's driven in 55. He has walked 44 times and has struck out 84 times. The Astros have 740 hits, including 152 doubles and 112 home runs. They've stolen 68 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 24 times. Houston has walked 339 times this season and they've struck out 825 times as a unit. They've left 613 men on base and have a team OPS of .738. They score 4.51 runs per contest and have scored a total of 401 runs so far this year.
Seattle comes into this game with a 22-20 home mark and a 45-44 overall record. With an ERA of 3.91, James Paxton has a 2-3 record and a 1.59 WHIP. He has 45 strikeouts over the 48.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 63 hits. He has allowed 11.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 2.99. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.52 and they have given up 243 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .224 against the Mariners bullpen while being struck out 317 times and walking 107 times this season. As a team, Seattle has allowed 8.76 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.4 batters per nine. They are 10th in the league in team earned run average at 3.95. The Mariners pitchers as a team have surrendered 774 base knocks and 349 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 113 home runs this year and they give up 1.3 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Seattle as a staff has walked 262 hitters and struck out 742. They give up a walk 3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.30 while their FIP as a staff is 4.25.
As a team, they are batting .263, good for 12th in the league while putting together a .259 average at home. The Mariners hold a .444 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .328 which is good for 11th in baseball. They rank 11th in baseball with 9.08 hits per contest. Nelson Cruz comes into this matchup batting .280 and he has an OBP of .366. He has 92 hits this year along with 55 runs scored and 58 RBI. He's struck out 94 times and has walked on 38 occasions. Robinson Cano is hitting .313 and he has an OBP of .368. He has collected 114 hits so far while he's scored 64 runs and drove in 58. He has earned a walk 28 times and has punched out 56 times. The Mariners as a unit have 808 base hits, including 141 doubles and 132 homers. They have 25 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 21 times. Seattle as a team has walked 272 times this year and they have struck out 688 times. They've had 591 men left on base and have an OPS of .772. They score 4.89 runs per game and have totaled 435 runs so far this season.
Houston Astros Betting Trends
The Houston Astros are 39-45-5 against the over/under so far this season
The Houston Astros are 39-50-0 against the run line so far this season
Seattle Mariners Betting Trends
The Seattle Mariners are 42-42-5 against the over/under so far this season
The Seattle Mariners are 45-44-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
07/11/16 LF Colby Rasmus Ear "?" Friday vs. Seattle Mariners
07/06/16 P Taijuan Walker Foot 15-day DL (7/6)
06/30/16 P Nick Vincent Back 15-day DL (6/27)
06/30/16 C Steve Clevenger Hand 60-day DL (6/29)
06/25/16 P Adrian Sampson Elbow 60-day DL (6/24)
06/01/16 P Felix Hernandez Calf 15-day DL (5/28)
05/04/16 P Tony Zych Rotator Cuff 60-day DL (5/2)
04/04/16 P Charlie Furbush Bicep 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Evan Scribner Oblique 60-day DL (3/25)
03/30/16 P Ryan Cook Shoulder 60-day DL (3/12)
Guy's Pick: Take the Mariners
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