Sunday, July 17, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Collin McHugh vs. Mike Montgomery
The Houston Astros head to Safeco Field on Sunday to take on the Seattle Mariners. The probable pitchers are Collin McHugh for the Astros and Mike Montgomery for the Mariners. The opening line for this game has Houston at +101 and Seattle at -111. The over/under is 8.5. The Astros have a 40-45-5 over/under mark and a 40-50-0 run line record, meaning they cover 44% of the time. The Mariners are 45-45-0 against the run line and have a 43-42-5 over/under record. They cover the spread 50% of the time.
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The Astros head into this game with a 49-41 record, and they are 21-22 on the road. Starting pitcher Collin McHugh has a 5-6 record with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.46. He has 94 strikeouts during his 102 innings pitched and he has given up 119 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 10.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.9. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 3.16 and they have allowed 259 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .228 against the pen while they've been struck out 321 times and walked 67 times this year. As a unit, Houston has given up 8.93 base hits per nine innings while striking out 8.25 hitters per nine. They are 8th in the Majors in team earned run average at 3.87. The Astros pitchers have collectively given up 815 base hits and 353 earned runs. They have allowed 94 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Houston as a pitching staff has walked 245 batters and struck out 754. They walk 2.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.2 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.29 and their FIP as a unit is 3.80.
As a team, Houston is hitting .245, good for 23rd in the league while putting together a .253 average on the road. The Astros have a .417 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .324 which is good for 15th in the league. They rank 22nd in baseball with 8.34 hits per contest. Jose Altuve comes into this game hitting .341 and his on-base percentage is at .414. He has 120 hits this season along with 68 runs scored and 51 runs batted in. He's struck out 38 times and has walked 42 times. Carlos Correa is hitting .263 and he has an on-base percentage of .355. He has totaled 87 hits so far while scoring 46 runs and he's driven in 57. He has walked 44 times and has struck out 84 times. The Astros have 751 hits, including 155 doubles and 114 home runs. They've stolen 68 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 25 times. Houston has walked 340 times this season and they've struck out 831 times as a unit. They've left 615 men on base and have a team OPS of .740. They score 4.53 runs per contest and have scored a total of 408 runs so far this year.
Seattle comes into this game with a 22-21 home mark and a 45-45 overall record. With an ERA of 2.06, Mike Montgomery has a 3-3 record and a 1.02 WHIP. He has 47 strikeouts over the 56.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 42 hits. He has allowed 6.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.09. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.50 and they have given up 245 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .223 against the Mariners bullpen while being struck out 322 times and walking 107 times this season. As a team, Seattle has allowed 8.78 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.37 batters per nine. They are 10th in the league in team earned run average at 3.98. The Mariners pitchers as a team have surrendered 785 base knocks and 356 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 115 home runs this year and they give up 1.3 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Seattle as a staff has walked 263 hitters and struck out 748. They give up a walk 2.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.30 while their FIP as a staff is 4.27.
As a team, they are batting .263, good for 11th in the league while putting together a .258 average at home. The Mariners hold a .443 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .328 which is good for 11th in baseball. They rank 11th in baseball with 9.07 hits per contest. Nelson Cruz comes into this matchup batting .277 and he has an OBP of .362. He has 92 hits this year along with 55 runs scored and 58 RBI. He's struck out 95 times and has walked on 38 occasions. Robinson Cano is hitting .310 and he has an OBP of .364. He has collected 114 hits so far while he's scored 64 runs and drove in 58. He has earned a walk 28 times and has punched out 56 times. The Mariners as a unit have 816 base hits, including 144 doubles and 132 homers. They have 25 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 21 times. Seattle as a team has walked 275 times this year and they have struck out 698 times. They've had 598 men left on base and have an OPS of .771. They score 4.87 runs per game and have totaled 438 runs so far this season.
Houston Astros Betting Trends
The Houston Astros are 40-45-5 against the over/under so far this season
The Houston Astros are 40-50-0 against the run line so far this season
Seattle Mariners Betting Trends
The Seattle Mariners are 43-42-5 against the over/under so far this season
The Seattle Mariners are 45-45-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
07/15/16 LF Colby Rasmus Ear "?" Saturday vs. Seattle Mariners
07/16/16 SS Ketel Marte Ankle is downgraded to doubtful Saturday vs. Houston Astros
07/06/16 P Taijuan Walker Foot 15-day DL (7/6)
06/30/16 P Nick Vincent Back 15-day DL (6/27)
06/30/16 C Steve Clevenger Hand 60-day DL (6/29)
06/25/16 P Adrian Sampson Elbow 60-day DL (6/24)
06/01/16 P Felix Hernandez Calf 15-day DL (5/28)
05/04/16 P Tony Zych Rotator Cuff 60-day DL (5/2)
04/04/16 P Charlie Furbush Bicep 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Evan Scribner Oblique 60-day DL (3/25)
03/30/16 P Ryan Cook Shoulder 60-day DL (3/12)
Tony's Pick: Take the Mariners
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