Friday, September 16, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Collin McHugh vs. Felix Hernandez
The Houston Astros head to Safeco Field on Friday to take on the Seattle Mariners. The probable pitchers are Collin McHugh for the Astros and Felix Hernandez for the Mariners. The opening line for this game has Houston at +141 and Seattle at -151. The over/under is 8. The Astros have a 66-72-8 over/under mark and a 66-80-0 run line record, meaning they cover 45% of the time. The Mariners are 73-73-0 against the run line and have a 74-66-6 over/under record. They cover the spread 50% of the time.
The Astros head into this game with a 76-70 record, and they are 35-37 on the road. Starting pitcher Collin McHugh has a 10-10 record with an ERA of 4.86 and a WHIP of 1.49. He has 155 strikeouts during his 157.1 innings pitched and he has given up 189 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 10.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.1. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 3.42 and they have allowed 420 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .226 against the pen while they've been struck out 552 times and walked 122 times this year. As a unit, Houston has given up 8.93 base hits per nine innings while striking out 8.57 hitters per nine. They are 10th in the Majors in team earned run average at 4.04. The Astros pitchers have collectively given up 1,313 base hits and 594 earned runs. They have allowed 169 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Houston as a pitching staff has walked 392 batters and struck out 1,261. They walk 2.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.29 and their FIP as a unit is 3.86.
As a team, Houston is hitting .246, good for 25th in the league while putting together a .258 average on the road. The Astros have a .422 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .321 which is good for 17th in the league. They rank 23rd in baseball with 8.45 hits per contest. George Springer comes into this game hitting .254 and his on-base percentage is at .359. He has 147 hits this season along with 109 runs scored and 76 runs batted in. He's struck out 159 times and has walked 84 times. Jose Altuve is hitting .341 and he has an on-base percentage of .401. He has totaled 196 hits so far while scoring 99 runs and he's driven in 94. He has walked 55 times and has struck out 66 times. The Astros have 1,233 hits, including 266 doubles and 186 home runs. They've stolen 94 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 42 times. Houston has walked 515 times this season and they've struck out 1,327 times as a unit. They've left 990 men on base and have a team OPS of .742. They score 4.57 runs per contest and have scored a total of 667 runs so far this year.
Seattle comes into this game with a 40-31 home mark and a 78-68 overall record. With an ERA of 3.58, Felix Hernandez has a 11-5 record and a 1.28 WHIP. He has 109 strikeouts over the 133.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 113 hits. He has allowed 7.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.55. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.83 and they have given up 419 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .235 against the Mariners bullpen while being struck out 488 times and walking 164 times this season. As a team, Seattle has allowed 8.79 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.06 batters per nine. They are 12th in the league in team earned run average at 4.07. The Mariners pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,279 base knocks and 592 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 194 home runs this year and they give up 1.3 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Seattle as a staff has walked 415 hitters and struck out 1,172. They give up a walk 2.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.29 while their FIP as a staff is 4.35.
As a team, they are batting .261, good for 10th in the league while putting together a .260 average at home. The Mariners hold a .434 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .328 which is good for 8th in baseball. They rank 8th in baseball with 8.96 hits per contest. Kyle Seager comes into this matchup batting .287 and he has an OBP of .366. He has 154 hits this year along with 84 runs scored and 93 RBI. He's struck out 94 times and has walked on 61 occasions. Robinson Cano is hitting .298 and he has an OBP of .350. He has collected 176 hits so far while he's scored 95 runs and drove in 87. He has earned a walk 42 times and has punched out 88 times. The Mariners as a unit have 1,308 base hits, including 226 doubles and 204 homers. They have 47 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 28 times. Seattle as a team has walked 454 times this year and they have struck out 1,142 times. They've had 977 men left on base and have an OPS of .762. They score 4.79 runs per game and have totaled 700 runs so far this season.
Houston Astros Betting Trends
The Houston Astros are 66-72-8 against the over/under so far this season
The Houston Astros are 66-80-0 against the run line so far this season
Seattle Mariners Betting Trends
The Seattle Mariners are 74-66-6 against the over/under so far this season
The Seattle Mariners are 73-73-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
09/15/16 3B Alex Bregman Hamstring injured last game, doubtful Friday vs. Seattle Mariners
09/15/16 2B Jose Altuve Oblique injured last game, "?" Friday vs. Seattle Mariners
09/06/16 P Dallas Keuchel Shoulder out indefinitely
08/13/16 LF Preston Tucker Shoulder 15-day DL (8/11)
08/03/16 P Lance McCullers Elbow 15-day DL (8/2)
07/29/16 3B Luis Valbuena Hamstring 15-day DL (7/27)
09/13/16 1B Adam Lind Finger out indefinitely
07/30/16 P Nathan Karns Back 60-day DL (7/30)
06/30/16 C Steve Clevenger Hand 60-day DL (6/29)
06/25/16 P Adrian Sampson Elbow 60-day DL (6/24)
04/04/16 P Charlie Furbush Bicep 60-day DL (3/25)
03/30/16 P Ryan Cook Shoulder 60-day DL (3/12)
Josh's Pick: Take the Mariners
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