Sunday, September 18, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Doug Fister vs. Ariel Miranda
The Houston Astros visit Safeco Field on Sunday to play the Seattle Mariners. The probable starters are Doug Fister for the Astros and Ariel Miranda for the Mariners. The Astros have a 66-73-8 over/under record and a 67-80-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 46% of the time. The Mariners are 73-74-0 against the run line and have a 74-67-6 over/under record. They cover the spread 50% of the time.
The Astros head into this matchup with a 77-70 record, including 36-37 on the road. Starting pitcher Doug Fister has a 12-11 record with an earned run average of 4.17 and a WHIP of 1.38. He has 107 strikeouts over his 170.1 innings pitched and he has given up 177 hits so far this season. He has allowed 9.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.62. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.40 and they have given up 421 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .225 against the bullpen while being struck out 553 times and walking 123 times this season. As a team, Houston has allowed 8.89 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.56 batters per nine. They are 9th in the league in team earned run average at 4.02. The Astros pitchers have collectively given up 1,316 base hits and 594 earned runs. They have allowed 169 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Houston as a pitching staff has walked 395 batters and struck out 1,268. They walk 2.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.28 and their FIP as a unit is 3.86.
As a team, Houston is batting .246, good for 25th in the league while putting together a .258 average away from home. The Astros hold a .422 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .320 which is good for 17th in baseball. They rank 22nd in baseball with 8.45 hits per game. George Springer comes into this game hitting .253 and his on-base percentage is at .358. He has 147 hits this season along with 109 runs scored and 76 runs batted in. He's struck out 161 times and has walked 85 times. Jose Altuve is hitting .341 and he has an on-base percentage of .401. He has totaled 198 hits so far while scoring 100 runs and he's driven in 94. He has walked 55 times and has struck out 66 times. The Astros have 1,242 hits, including 269 doubles and 188 home runs. They've stolen 96 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 42 times. Houston has walked 519 times this season and they've struck out 1,337 times as a unit. They've left 999 men on base and have a team OPS of .743. They score 4.58 runs per contest and have scored a total of 673 runs so far this year.
Seattle comes into this matchup with a 40-32 home record and a 78-69 overall mark. With an earned run average of 4.10, Ariel Miranda has a 4-1 record and a 1.27 WHIP. He has 30 strikeouts over the 41.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 37 hits. He has allowed 8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.04. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.79 and they have given up 420 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .234 against the Mariners bullpen while being struck out 495 times and walking 165 times this season. As a team, Seattle has allowed 8.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.07 batters per nine. They are 13th in the league in team earned run average at 4.08. The Mariners pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,288 base knocks and 597 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 196 home runs this year and they give up 1.3 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Seattle as a staff has walked 419 hitters and struck out 1,182. They give up a walk 2.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.30 while their FIP as a staff is 4.36.
As a team, they are batting .260, good for 10th in the league while putting together a .258 average at home. The Mariners hold a .432 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .327 which is good for 9th in baseball. They rank 9th in baseball with 8.92 hits per contest. Kyle Seager comes into this matchup batting .288 and he has an OBP of .367. He has 155 hits this year along with 84 runs scored and 93 RBI. He's struck out 94 times and has walked on 62 occasions. Robinson Cano is hitting .296 and he has an OBP of .348. He has collected 176 hits so far while he's scored 95 runs and drove in 87. He has earned a walk 42 times and has punched out 88 times. The Mariners as a unit have 1,311 base hits, including 226 doubles and 204 homers. They have 47 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 28 times. Seattle as a team has walked 457 times this year and they have struck out 1,149 times. They've had 982 men left on base and have an OPS of .759. They score 4.76 runs per game and have totaled 700 runs so far this season.
Houston Astros Betting Trends
The Houston Astros are 66-73-8 against the over/under so far this season
The Houston Astros are 67-80-0 against the run line so far this season
Seattle Mariners Betting Trends
The Seattle Mariners are 74-67-6 against the over/under so far this season
The Seattle Mariners are 73-74-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
09/17/16 3B Alex Bregman Hamstring out indefinitely
09/06/16 P Dallas Keuchel Shoulder out indefinitely
08/13/16 LF Preston Tucker Shoulder 15-day DL (8/11)
08/03/16 P Lance McCullers Elbow 15-day DL (8/2)
07/29/16 3B Luis Valbuena Hamstring 15-day DL (7/27)
09/13/16 1B Adam Lind Finger out indefinitely
07/30/16 P Nathan Karns Back 60-day DL (7/30)
06/30/16 C Steve Clevenger Hand 60-day DL (6/29)
06/25/16 P Adrian Sampson Elbow 60-day DL (6/24)
04/04/16 P Charlie Furbush Bicep 60-day DL (3/25)
03/30/16 P Ryan Cook Shoulder 60-day DL (3/12)
Tony's Pick: Take the Astros
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