Friday, August 12, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Joseph Musgrove vs. Francisco Liriano
The Houston Astros visit Rogers Centre on Friday to play the Toronto Blue Jays. The probable starters are Joseph Musgrove for the Astros and Francisco Liriano for the Blue Jays. The opening line for this matchup has Houston at +123 and Toronto at -133. The over/under was set at 9. The Astros have a 47-59-7 over/under record and a 49-64-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 43% of the time. The Blue Jays are 59-56-0 against the run line and have a 45-65-5 over/under record. They cover the spread 51% of the time.
The Astros head into this matchup with a 58-55 record, including 24-29 on the road. Starting pitcher Joseph Musgrove has a 0-0 record with an earned run average of 0.79 and a WHIP of 0.62. He has 14 strikeouts over his 11.1 innings pitched and he has given up 6 hits so far this season. He has allowed 4.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 0.92. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.15 and they have given up 321 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .228 against the bullpen while being struck out 413 times and walking 88 times this season. As a team, Houston has allowed 8.84 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.58 batters per nine. They are 7th in the league in team earned run average at 3.78. The Astros pitchers have collectively given up 1,013 base hits and 433 earned runs. They have allowed 117 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Houston as a pitching staff has walked 306 batters and struck out 984. They walk 2.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.28 and their FIP as a unit is 3.66.
As a team, Houston is batting .242, good for 27th in the league while putting together a .249 average away from home. The Astros hold a .410 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .318 which is good for 20th in baseball. They rank 24th in baseball with 8.28 hits per game. Jose Altuve comes into this game hitting .361 and his on-base percentage is at .427. He has 159 hits this season along with 82 runs scored and 68 runs batted in. He's struck out 49 times and has walked 48 times. George Springer is hitting .254 and he has an on-base percentage of .347. He has totaled 115 hits so far while scoring 77 runs and he's driven in 62. He has walked 58 times and has struck out 118 times. The Astros have 936 hits, including 202 doubles and 135 home runs. They've stolen 82 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 31 times. Houston has walked 402 times this season and they've struck out 1,040 times as a unit. They've left 775 men on base and have a team OPS of .727. They score 4.35 runs per contest and have scored a total of 491 runs so far this year.
Toronto comes into this matchup with a 34-25 home record and a 65-50 overall mark. With an earned run average of 5.34, Francisco Liriano has a 6-11 record and a 1.61 WHIP. He has 121 strikeouts over the 119.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 122 hits. He has allowed 9.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.23. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.03 and they have given up 309 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .247 against the Blue Jays bullpen while being struck out 319 times and walking 89 times this season. As a team, Toronto has allowed 8.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.94 batters per nine. They are 6th in the league in team earned run average at 3.76. The Blue Jays pitchers as a team have surrendered 953 base knocks and 437 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 130 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Toronto as a staff has walked 316 hitters and struck out 923. They give up a walk 2.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.21 while their FIP as a staff is 4.01.
As a team, they are batting .247, good for 23rd in the league while putting together a .261 average at home. The Blue Jays hold a .430 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .327 which is good for 8th in baseball. They rank 21st in baseball with 8.42 hits per contest. Edwin Encarnacion comes into this matchup batting .263 and he has an OBP of .354. He has 112 hits this year along with 70 runs scored and 94 RBI. He's struck out 102 times and has walked on 58 occasions. Josh Donaldson is hitting .294 and he has an OBP of .405. He has collected 126 hits so far while he's scored 92 runs and drove in 77. He has earned a walk 74 times and has punched out 87 times. The Blue Jays as a unit have 968 base hits, including 198 doubles and 162 homers. They have 38 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 15 times. Toronto as a team has walked 438 times this year and they have struck out 974 times. They've had 790 men left on base and have an OPS of .757. They score 4.79 runs per game and have totaled 551 runs so far this season.
Houston Astros Betting Trends
The Houston Astros are 47-59-7 against the over/under so far this season
The Houston Astros are 49-64-0 against the run line so far this season
Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends
The Toronto Blue Jays are 45-65-5 against the over/under so far this season
The Toronto Blue Jays are 59-56-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
08/07/16 LF Colby Rasmus Ear 15-day DL (8/5)
08/03/16 P Lance McCullers Elbow 15-day DL (8/2)
08/02/16 P Luke Gregerson Oblique 15-day DL (7/28)
07/29/16 3B Luis Valbuena Hamstring 15-day DL (7/27)
Toronto Blue Jays
08/11/16 RF Jose Bautista Knee 15-day DL (8/10)
08/09/16 CF Kevin Pillar Thumb 15-day DL (8/7)
08/02/16 RF Ezequiel Carrera Achilles 15-day DL (8/1)
06/27/16 P Gavin Floyd Shoulder 60-day DL (6/26)
Guy's Pick: Take the Astros
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