Saturday, August 27, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Danny Duffy vs. David Price
The Kansas City Royals visit Fenway Park on Saturday to play the Boston Red Sox. The probable starters are Danny Duffy for the Royals and David Price for the Red Sox. The opening line for this matchup has Kansas City at +149 and Boston at -159. The over/under was set at 8. The Royals have a 51-69-7 over/under record and a 69-58-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 54% of the time. The Red Sox are 63-64-0 against the run line and have a 62-60-5 over/under record. They cover the spread 50% of the time.
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The Royals head into this matchup with a 66-61 record, including 26-40 on the road. Starting pitcher Danny Duffy has a 11-1 record with an earned run average of 2.66 and a WHIP of 1.01. He has 147 strikeouts over his 138.2 innings pitched and he has given up 111 hits so far this season. He has allowed 7.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.21. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.12 and they have given up 363 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .234 against the bullpen while being struck out 398 times and walking 139 times this season. As a team, Kansas City has allowed 8.51 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.19 batters per nine. They are 10th in the league in team earned run average at 3.98. The Royals pitchers have collectively given up 1,063 base hits and 497 earned runs. They have allowed 162 home runs this season and they allow 1.3 homers per nine innings as a staff. Kansas City as a pitching staff has walked 387 batters and struck out 1,023. They walk 3.1 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.2 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.29 and their FIP as a unit is 4.36.
As a team, Kansas City is batting .263, good for 8th in the league while putting together a .247 average away from home. The Royals hold a .398 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .312 which is good for 22nd in baseball. They rank 7th in baseball with 8.98 hits per game. Alcides Escobar comes into this game hitting .263 and his on-base percentage is at .292. He has 135 hits this season along with 46 runs scored and 37 runs batted in. He's struck out 69 times and has walked 22 times. Eric Hosmer is hitting .273 and he has an on-base percentage of .332. He has totaled 132 hits so far while scoring 61 runs and he's driven in 73. He has walked 43 times and has struck out 101 times. The Royals have 1,139 hits, including 215 doubles and 109 home runs. They've stolen 78 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 26 times. Kansas City has walked 295 times this season and they've struck out 949 times as a unit. They've left 839 men on base and have a team OPS of .710. They score 3.94 runs per contest and have scored a total of 501 runs so far this year.
Boston comes into this matchup with a 38-27 home record and a 71-56 overall mark. With an earned run average of 4.00, David Price has a 12-8 record and a 1.23 WHIP. He has 179 strikeouts over the 177.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 179 hits. He has allowed 9.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.44. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.87 and they have given up 331 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .236 against the Red Sox bullpen while being struck out 396 times and walking 151 times this season. As a team, Boston has allowed 8.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.48 batters per nine. They are 16th in the league in team earned run average at 4.15. The Red Sox pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,079 base knocks and 520 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 140 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Boston as a staff has walked 391 hitters and struck out 1,064. They give up a walk 3.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.30 while their FIP as a staff is 4.06.
As a team, they are batting .283, good for 1st in the league while putting together a .302 average at home. The Red Sox hold a .464 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .349 which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 1st in baseball with 9.94 hits per contest. Xander Bogaerts comes into this matchup batting .305 and he has an OBP of .363. He has 157 hits this year along with 89 runs scored and 71 RBI. He's struck out 91 times and has walked on 43 occasions. Mookie Betts is hitting .314 and he has an OBP of .355. He has collected 168 hits so far while he's scored 99 runs and drove in 91. He has earned a walk 35 times and has punched out 72 times. The Red Sox as a unit have 1,263 base hits, including 279 doubles and 161 homers. They have 71 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 17 times. Boston as a team has walked 430 times this year and they have struck out 910 times. They've had 915 men left on base and have an OPS of .813. They score 5.43 runs per game and have totaled 689 runs so far this season.
Kansas City Royals Betting Trends
The Kansas City Royals are 51-69-7 against the over/under so far this season
The Kansas City Royals are 69-58-0 against the run line so far this season
Boston Red Sox Betting Trends
The Boston Red Sox are 62-60-5 against the over/under so far this season
The Boston Red Sox are 63-64-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
Kansas City Royals
07/31/16 P Wade Davis Hip 15-day DL (7/30)
07/29/16 P Luke Hochevar Shoulder 15-day DL (7/25)
07/19/16 P Kris Medlen Shoulder 60-day DL (5/11)
05/26/16 3B Mike Moustakas Knee 60-day DL (5/23); out for season
04/10/16 P Mike Minor Shoulder 60-day DL (3/15); out for season
04/04/16 P Tim Collins Elbow 60-day DL; out for season
03/31/16 P Jason Vargas Elbow 60-day DL (3/15)
Boston Red Sox
08/26/16 P Eduardo Rodriguez Hamstring is upgraded to expected to start Sunday vs Kansas City Royals
08/26/16 P Steven Wright Shoulder 15-day DL (8/8); expected to start Friday vs. Kansas City Royals
08/25/16 LF Andrew Benintendi Knee 15-day DL (8/25)
08/06/16 C Ryan Hanigan Ankle 15-day DL (8/5)
07/20/16 P Koji Uehara Pectoral 15-day DL (7/20)
06/17/16 2B Josh Rutledge Knee 60-day DL (6/15)
06/07/16 P Carson Smith Elbow 60-day DL (5/15)
06/06/16 C Blake Swihart Ankle 60-day DL (6/5)
05/03/16 3B Pablo Sandoval Shoulder 60-day DL (4/11); out for season
04/04/16 P Brandon Workman Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Tony's Pick: Take the Royals
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