Tuesday, August 16, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Danny Duffy vs. Justin Verlander
The Kansas City Royals visit Comerica Park on Tuesday to play the Detroit Tigers. The probable starters are Danny Duffy for the Royals and Justin Verlander for the Tigers. The opening line for this matchup has Kansas City at +125 and Detroit at -135. The over/under was set at 7.5. The Royals have a 50-62-5 over/under record and a 62-55-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 53% of the time. The Tigers are 65-52-0 against the run line and have a 59-53-5 over/under record. They cover the spread 56% of the time.
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The Royals head into this matchup with a 57-60 record, including 21-39 on the road. Starting pitcher Danny Duffy has a 9-1 record with an earned run average of 2.82 and a WHIP of 1.01. He has 138 strikeouts over his 124.1 innings pitched and he has given up 100 hits so far this season. He has allowed 7.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.16. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.34 and they have given up 352 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .241 against the bullpen while being struck out 369 times and walking 132 times this season. As a team, Kansas City has allowed 8.73 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.22 batters per nine. They are 16th in the league in team earned run average at 4.22. The Royals pitchers have collectively given up 1,002 base hits and 485 earned runs. They have allowed 157 home runs this season and they allow 1.4 homers per nine innings as a staff. Kansas City as a pitching staff has walked 369 batters and struck out 944. They walk 3.2 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.2 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.33 and their FIP as a unit is 4.49.
As a team, Kansas City is batting .264, good for 6th in the league while putting together a .249 average away from home. The Royals hold a .396 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .312 which is good for 22nd in baseball. They rank 7th in baseball with 9.03 hits per game. Eric Hosmer comes into this game hitting .274 and his on-base percentage is at .331. He has 122 hits this season along with 55 runs scored and 65 runs batted in. He's struck out 97 times and has walked 38 times. Alcides Escobar is hitting .257 and he has an on-base percentage of .285. He has totaled 123 hits so far while scoring 41 runs and he's driven in 33. He has walked 19 times and has struck out 67 times. The Royals have 1,055 hits, including 193 doubles and 98 home runs. They've stolen 74 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 23 times. Kansas City has walked 263 times this season and they've struck out 875 times as a unit. They've left 771 men on base and have a team OPS of .708. They score 3.91 runs per contest and have scored a total of 457 runs so far this year.
Detroit comes into this matchup with a 33-21 home record and a 63-54 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.42, Justin Verlander has a 12-6 record and a 1.06 WHIP. He has 170 strikeouts over the 160.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 127 hits. He has allowed 7.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.5. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.16 and they have given up 372 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .263 against the Tigers bullpen while being struck out 307 times and walking 118 times this season. As a team, Detroit has allowed 9.12 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.48 batters per nine. They are 17th in the league in team earned run average at 4.23. The Tigers pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,053 base knocks and 489 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 126 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Detroit as a staff has walked 333 hitters and struck out 864. They give up a walk 2.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.33 while their FIP as a staff is 4.13.
As a team, they are batting .268, good for 4th in the league while putting together a .279 average at home. The Tigers hold a .438 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .328 which is good for 8th in baseball. They rank 4th in baseball with 9.26 hits per contest. Ian Kinsler comes into this matchup batting .290 and he has an OBP of .346. He has 137 hits this year along with 92 runs scored and 63 RBI. He's struck out 94 times and has walked on 32 occasions. Miguel Cabrera is hitting .311 and he has an OBP of .384. He has collected 137 hits so far while he's scored 66 runs and drove in 77. He has earned a walk 53 times and has punched out 87 times. The Tigers as a unit have 1,084 base hits, including 176 doubles and 154 homers. They have 49 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 19 times. Detroit as a team has walked 346 times this year and they have struck out 953 times. They've had 799 men left on base and have an OPS of .766. They score 4.7 runs per game and have totaled 550 runs so far this season.
Kansas City Royals Betting Trends
The Kansas City Royals are 50-62-5 against the over/under so far this season
The Kansas City Royals are 62-55-0 against the run line so far this season
Detroit Tigers Betting Trends
The Detroit Tigers are 59-53-5 against the over/under so far this season
The Detroit Tigers are 65-52-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
Kansas City Royals
07/31/16 P Wade Davis Hip 15-day DL (7/30)
07/29/16 P Luke Hochevar Shoulder 15-day DL (7/25)
07/19/16 P Kris Medlen Shoulder 60-day DL (5/11)
05/26/16 3B Mike Moustakas Knee 60-day DL (5/23); out for season
04/10/16 P Mike Minor Shoulder 60-day DL (3/15)
04/04/16 P Tim Collins Elbow 60-day DL; out for season
03/31/16 P Jason Vargas Elbow 60-day DL (3/15)
08/13/16 SS Jose Iglesias Hamstring 15-day DL (8/11)
08/09/16 CF Cameron Maybin Thumb 15-day DL (8/9)
08/07/16 P Jordan Zimmerman Neck 15-day DL (8/5)
08/07/16 3B Nick Castellanos Hand 15-day DL (8/7)
08/02/16 P Mike Pelfrey Back 15-day DL (8/2)
06/21/16 P Drew VerHagen Shoulder 60-day DL (5/23), out for season
04/04/16 P Jeff Ferrell Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Angel Nesbitt Ankle 15-day DL (3/25)
Guy's Pick: Take the Royals
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