Wednesday, September 7, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Danny Duffy vs. Kyle Gibson
The Kansas City Royals visit Target Field on Wednesday to play the Minnesota Twins. The probable starters are Danny Duffy for the Royals and Kyle Gibson for the Twins. The opening line for this matchup has Kansas City at -145 and Minnesota at +135. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Royals have a 59-70-8 over/under record and a 75-62-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 55% of the time. The Twins are 70-68-0 against the run line and have a 86-45-7 over/under record. They cover the spread 51% of the time.
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The Royals head into this matchup with a 71-66 record, including 29-41 on the road. Starting pitcher Danny Duffy has a 11-2 record with an earned run average of 3.13 and a WHIP of 1.08. He has 157 strikeouts over his 149.1 innings pitched and he has given up 129 hits so far this season. He has allowed 7.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.49. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.12 and they have given up 405 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .237 against the bullpen while being struck out 429 times and walking 150 times this season. As a team, Kansas City has allowed 8.72 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.1 batters per nine. They are 10th in the league in team earned run average at 4.03. The Royals pitchers have collectively given up 1,180 base hits and 545 earned runs. They have allowed 176 home runs this season and they allow 1.3 homers per nine innings as a staff. Kansas City as a pitching staff has walked 419 batters and struck out 1,096. They walk 3.1 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.1 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.31 and their FIP as a unit is 4.39.
As a team, Kansas City is batting .262, good for 9th in the league while putting together a .249 average away from home. The Royals hold a .400 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .314 which is good for 24th in baseball. They rank 9th in baseball with 8.99 hits per game. Eric Hosmer comes into this game hitting .273 and his on-base percentage is at .337. He has 142 hits this season along with 70 runs scored and 87 runs batted in. He's struck out 112 times and has walked 51 times. Alcides Escobar is hitting .269 and he has an on-base percentage of .298. He has totaled 149 hits so far while scoring 51 runs and he's driven in 47. He has walked 24 times and has struck out 78 times. The Royals have 1,231 hits, including 229 doubles and 123 home runs. They've stolen 94 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 30 times. Kansas City has walked 329 times this season and they've struck out 1,023 times as a unit. They've left 903 men on base and have a team OPS of .714. They score 4.11 runs per contest and have scored a total of 563 runs so far this year.
Minnesota comes into this matchup with a 27-43 home record and a 51-87 overall mark. With an earned run average of 5.31, Kyle Gibson has a 5-9 record and a 1.57 WHIP. He has 82 strikeouts over the 117 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 141 hits. He has allowed 10.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.79. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.61 and they have given up 526 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .274 against the Twins bullpen while being struck out 447 times and walking 164 times this season. As a team, Minnesota has allowed 10.34 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.36 batters per nine. They are 29th in the league in team earned run average at 5.20. The Twins pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,408 base knocks and 708 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 195 home runs this year and they give up 1.4 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Minnesota as a staff has walked 394 hitters and struck out 1,002. They give up a walk 2.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.47 while their FIP as a staff is 4.63.
As a team, they are batting .258, good for 12th in the league while putting together a .260 average at home. The Twins hold a .430 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .322 which is good for 17th in baseball. They rank 10th in baseball with 8.98 hits per contest. Joe Mauer comes into this matchup batting .273 and he has an OBP of .372. He has 127 hits this year along with 67 runs scored and 47 RBI. He's struck out 88 times and has walked on 74 occasions. Brian Dozier is hitting .279 and he has an OBP of .350. He has collected 146 hits so far while he's scored 92 runs and drove in 91. He has earned a walk 53 times and has punched out 106 times. The Twins as a unit have 1,239 base hits, including 260 doubles and 169 homers. They have 82 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 26 times. Minnesota as a team has walked 434 times this year and they have struck out 1,184 times. They've had 966 men left on base and have an OPS of .751. They score 4.65 runs per game and have totaled 642 runs so far this season.
Kansas City Royals Betting Trends
The Kansas City Royals are 59-70-8 against the over/under so far this season
The Kansas City Royals are 75-62-0 against the run line so far this season
Minnesota Twins Betting Trends
The Minnesota Twins are 86-45-7 against the over/under so far this season
The Minnesota Twins are 70-68-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
Kansas City Royals
09/05/16 CF Lorenzo Cain Wrist "?" Tuesday vs. Minnesota Twins
08/31/16 P Chien-Ming Wang Bicep 15-day DL (8/31)
08/31/16 P Edinson Volquez Finger "?" for next scheduled start
07/29/16 P Luke Hochevar Shoulder 60-day DL (7/25)
07/19/16 P Kris Medlen Shoulder 60-day DL (5/11)
05/26/16 3B Mike Moustakas Knee 60-day DL (5/23); out for season
04/10/16 P Mike Minor Shoulder 60-day DL (3/15); out for season
04/04/16 P Tim Collins Elbow 60-day DL; out for season
03/31/16 P Jason Vargas Elbow 60-day DL (3/15)
08/29/16 CF Danny Santana Shoulder 15-day DL (8/29); out for season
08/24/16 DH Byung Ho Park Wrist out for season
08/13/16 P Tommy Milone Bicep 15-day DL (8/11)
08/11/16 P Trevor May Back 15-day DL (8/7)
06/10/16 P Phil Hughes Knee 60-day DL (6/10); out for season
04/13/16 P Glen Perkins Shoulder 60-day DL (4/11); out for season
Guy's Pick: Take the Royals
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