Monday, August 1, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Danny Duffy vs. Chris Archer
The Kansas City Royals visit Tropicana Field on Monday to play the Tampa Bay Rays. The probable starters are Danny Duffy for the Royals and Chris Archer for the Rays. The Royals have a 46-52-5 over/under record and a 53-50-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 52% of the time. The Rays are 44-58-0 against the run line and have a 42-53-7 over/under record. They cover the spread 43% of the time.
The Royals head into this matchup with a 49-54 record, including 17-35 on the road. Starting pitcher Danny Duffy has a 6-1 record with an earned run average of 3.22 and a WHIP of 1.08. He has 110 strikeouts over his 100.2 innings pitched and he has given up 87 hits so far this season. He has allowed 7.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.49. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.43 and they have given up 322 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .245 against the bullpen while being struck out 323 times and walking 119 times this season. As a team, Kansas City has allowed 8.84 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.19 batters per nine. They are 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.36. The Royals pitchers have collectively given up 889 base hits and 439 earned runs. They have allowed 140 home runs this season and they allow 1.4 homers per nine innings as a staff. Kansas City as a pitching staff has walked 327 batters and struck out 824. They walk 3.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.2 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.34 and their FIP as a unit is 4.55.
As a team, Kansas City is batting .266, good for 6th in the league while putting together a .250 average away from home. The Royals hold a .399 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .315 which is good for 21st in baseball. They rank 8th in baseball with 9.05 hits per game. Eric Hosmer comes into this game hitting .280 and his on-base percentage is at .340. He has 109 hits this season along with 51 runs scored and 57 runs batted in. He's struck out 85 times and has walked 35 times. Alcides Escobar is hitting .255 and he has an on-base percentage of .283. He has totaled 108 hits so far while scoring 34 runs and he's driven in 25. He has walked 17 times and has struck out 61 times. The Royals have 931 hits, including 175 doubles and 87 home runs. They've stolen 60 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 20 times. Kansas City has walked 238 times this season and they've struck out 753 times as a unit. They've left 680 men on base and have a team OPS of .713. They score 3.89 runs per contest and have scored a total of 401 runs so far this year.
Tampa Bay comes into this matchup with a 21-30 home record and a 41-61 overall mark. With an earned run average of 4.42, Chris Archer has a 5-14 record and a 1.35 WHIP. He has 155 strikeouts over the 130.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 125 hits. He has allowed 8.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.05. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.57 and they have given up 307 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .264 against the Rays bullpen while being struck out 264 times and walking 105 times this season. As a team, Tampa Bay has allowed 8.87 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.4 batters per nine. They are 15th in the league in team earned run average at 4.28. The Rays pitchers as a team have surrendered 887 base knocks and 428 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 129 home runs this year and they give up 1.3 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Tampa Bay as a staff has walked 298 hitters and struck out 840. They give up a walk 3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.32 while their FIP as a staff is 4.20.
As a team, they are batting .240, good for 29th in the league while putting together a .230 average at home. The Rays hold a .419 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .307 which is good for 25th in baseball. They rank 28th in baseball with 8.08 hits per contest. Logan Forsythe comes into this matchup batting .272 and he has an OBP of .330. He has 81 hits this year along with 43 runs scored and 29 RBI. He's struck out 70 times and has walked on 21 occasions. Evan Longoria is hitting .289 and he has an OBP of .338. He has collected 115 hits so far while he's scored 53 runs and drove in 58. He has earned a walk 30 times and has punched out 93 times. The Rays as a unit have 824 base hits, including 174 doubles and 133 homers. They have 36 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 23 times. Tampa Bay as a team has walked 297 times this year and they have struck out 918 times. They've had 677 men left on base and have an OPS of .726. They score 3.98 runs per game and have totaled 406 runs so far this season.
Kansas City Royals Betting Trends
The Kansas City Royals are 46-52-5 against the over/under so far this season
The Kansas City Royals are 53-50-0 against the run line so far this season
Tampa Bay Rays Betting Trends
The Tampa Bay Rays are 42-53-7 against the over/under so far this season
The Tampa Bay Rays are 44-58-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
Kansas City Royals
07/29/16 P Luke Hochevar Shoulder 15-day DL (7/25)
07/19/16 P Kris Medlen Shoulder 60-day DL (5/11)
05/26/16 3B Mike Moustakas Knee 60-day DL (5/23); out for season
04/10/16 P Mike Minor Shoulder 60-day DL (3/15)
04/04/16 P Tim Collins Elbow 60-day DL; out for season
03/31/16 P Jason Vargas Elbow 60-day DL (3/15)
Tampa Bay Rays
07/29/16 RF Oswaldo Arcia Elbow 15-day DL
07/29/16 1B Logan Morrison Forearm 15-day DL (7/28)
07/04/16 LF Desmond Jennings Hamstring 15-day DL (7/1)
06/21/16 CF Mike Mahtook Hand 15-day DL (6/21)
04/10/16 P Chase Whitley Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Alex Cobb Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Josh's Pick: Take the Royals
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