Saturday, July 2, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Hector Santiago vs. Clay Buchholz
The Los Angeles Angels head to Fenway Park on Saturday to take on the Boston Red Sox. The probable pitchers are Hector Santiago for the Angels and Clay Buchholz for the Red Sox. The opening line for this game has Los Angeles at +162 and Boston at -172. The over/under is 10. The Angels have a 33-45-3 over/under mark and a 37-44-0 run line record, meaning they cover 46% of the time. The Red Sox are 39-39-0 against the run line and have a 42-31-5 over/under record. They cover the spread 50% of the time.
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The Angels head into this game with a 32-47 record, and they are 16-21 on the road. Starting pitcher Hector Santiago has a 4-4 record with an ERA of 5.27 and a WHIP of 1.34. He has 73 strikeouts during his 85.1 innings pitched and he has given up 78 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 8.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.45. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 4.08 and they have allowed 254 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .250 against the pen while they've been struck out 208 times and walked 97 times this year. As a unit, Los Angeles has given up 7.35 base hits per nine innings while striking out 9.25 hitters per nine. They are 5th in the Majors in team earned run average at 3.47. The Angels pitchers have collectively given up 723 base hits and 355 earned runs. They have allowed 104 home runs this season and they allow 1.3 homers per nine innings as a staff. Los Angeles as a pitching staff has walked 255 batters and struck out 561. They walk 3.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.2 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.40 and their FIP as a unit is 4.70.
As a team, Los Angeles is hitting .237, good for 29th in the league while putting together a .244 average on the road. The Angels have a .386 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .310 which is good for 24th in the league. They rank 27th in baseball with 7.94 hits per contest. Mike Trout comes into this game hitting .323 and his on-base percentage is at .422. He has 94 hits this season along with 56 runs scored and 53 runs batted in. He's struck out 62 times and has walked 50 times. Kole Calhoun is hitting .288 and he has an on-base percentage of .357. He has totaled 86 hits so far while scoring 45 runs and he's driven in 42. He has walked 30 times and has struck out 61 times. The Angels have 701 hits, including 133 doubles and 75 home runs. They've stolen 28 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 17 times. Los Angeles has walked 224 times this season and they've struck out 472 times as a unit. They've left 519 men on base and have a team OPS of .721. They score 4.22 runs per contest and have scored a total of 333 runs so far this year.
Boston comes into this game with a 23-18 home mark and a 42-36 overall record. With an ERA of 5.90, Clay Buchholz has a 3-8 record and a 1.47 WHIP. He has 52 strikeouts over the 76.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 76 hits. He has allowed 9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.85. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.60 and they have given up 200 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .223 against the Red Sox bullpen while being struck out 274 times and walking 97 times this season. As a team, Boston has allowed 8.48 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.74 batters per nine. They are 18th in the league in team earned run average at 4.38. The Red Sox pitchers as a team have surrendered 656 base knocks and 338 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 93 home runs this year and they give up 1.2 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Boston as a staff has walked 261 hitters and struck out 677. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.32 while their FIP as a staff is 4.24.
As a team, they are batting .286, good for 1st in the league while putting together a .295 average at home. The Red Sox hold a .466 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .354 which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 1st in baseball with 10.18 hits per contest. Xander Bogaerts comes into this matchup batting .342 and he has an OBP of .393. He has 110 hits this year along with 59 runs scored and 50 RBI. He's struck out 53 times and has walked on 27 occasions. Mookie Betts is hitting .287 and he has an OBP of .327. He has collected 99 hits so far while he's scored 67 runs and drove in 54. He has earned a walk 21 times and has punched out 51 times. The Red Sox as a unit have 794 base hits, including 185 doubles and 92 homers. They have 51 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 9 times. Boston as a team has walked 277 times this year and they have struck out 567 times. They've had 579 men left on base and have an OPS of .820. They score 5.56 runs per game and have totaled 434 runs so far this season.
Los Angeles Angels Betting Trends
The Los Angeles Angels are 33-45-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Los Angeles Angels are 37-44-0 against the run line so far this season
Boston Red Sox Betting Trends
The Boston Red Sox are 42-31-5 against the over/under so far this season
The Boston Red Sox are 39-39-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
Los Angeles Angels
06/29/16 3B Yunel Escobar Knee "?" Friday vs. Boston Red Sox
06/14/16 P Cory Rasmus Groin 15-day DL (6/14)
06/07/16 P Joe Smith Hamstring 15-day DL (6/7)
06/01/16 2B Cliff Pennington Hamstring 15-day DL (6/1)
05/18/16 C Geovany Soto Knee 15-day DL (5/17)
05/10/16 P Garrett Richards Elbow 60-day DL (5/2)
05/02/16 LF Craig Gentry Back 60-day DL (4/26)
04/06/16 P Andrew Heaney Elbow 60-day DL (4/4), out for season
04/03/16 P C.J. Wilson Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25)
Boston Red Sox
06/30/16 1B Hanley Ramirez Side injured last game, "?" Friday vs. Los Angeles Angels
06/24/16 LF Chris Young Hamstring 15-day DL (6/23)
06/17/16 2B Josh Rutledge Knee 15-day DL (6/15)
06/07/16 P Carson Smith Elbow 60-day DL (5/15)
06/06/16 C Blake Swihart Ankle 15-day DL (6/5)
06/06/16 C Ryan Hanigan Neck 15-day DL (6/5)
06/05/16 LF Brock Holt Concussion 15-day DL (6/2)
05/03/16 3B Pablo Sandoval Shoulder 60-day DL (4/11); out for season
04/04/16 P Brandon Workman Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Tony's Pick: Take the Red Sox
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