Sunday, October 23, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Rich Hill vs. Jake Arrieta
The Los Angeles Dodgers visit Wrigley Field on Sunday to play the Chicago Cubs in Game 7 of the NLCS. The probable starters are Rich Hill for the Dodgers and Jake Arrieta for the Cubs. The Dodgers have a 69-83-10 over/under record and a 81-81-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 50% of the time. The Cubs are 87-75-0 against the run line and have a 75-79-8 over/under record. They cover the spread 54% of the time.
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The Dodgers head into this matchup with a 91-71 record, including 38-43 on the road. Starting pitcher Rich Hill has a 12-5 record with an earned run average of 2.12 and a WHIP of 1.00. He has 129 strikeouts over his 110.1 innings pitched and he has given up 77 hits so far this season. He has allowed 6.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.39. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.35 and they have given up 481 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .218 against the bullpen while being struck out 633 times and walking 204 times this season. As a team, Los Angeles has allowed 9.37 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.19 batters per nine. They are 21st in the league in team earned run average at 4.28. The Dodgers pitchers have collectively given up 1,266 base hits and 598 earned runs. They have allowed 165 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Los Angeles as a pitching staff has walked 464 batters and struck out 1,510. They walk 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.19 and their FIP as a unit is 3.61.
As a team, Los Angeles is batting .260, good for 9th in the league while putting together a .264 average away from home. The Dodgers hold a .405 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .322 which is good for 14th in baseball. They rank 16th in baseball with 8.7 hits per game. Joc Pederson comes into this game hitting .246 and his on-base percentage is at .352. He has 100 hits this season along with 64 runs scored and 68 runs batted in. He's struck out 130 times and has walked 63 times. Yasiel Puig is hitting .263 and he has an on-base percentage of .323. He has totaled 88 hits so far while scoring 45 runs and he's driven in 45. He has walked 24 times and has struck out 74 times. The Dodgers have 1,375 hits, including 272 doubles and 189 home runs. They've stolen 45 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 26 times. Los Angeles has walked 525 times this season and they've struck out 1,321 times as a unit. They've left 1,106 men on base and have a team OPS of .728. They score 4.48 runs per contest and have scored a total of 725 runs so far this year.
Chicago comes into this matchup with a 57-24 home record and a 103-58 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.10, Jake Arrieta has a 18-8 record and a 1.08 WHIP. He has 190 strikeouts over the 197.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 138 hits. He has allowed 6.3 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.52. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.50 and they have given up 365 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .208 against the Cubs bullpen while being struck out 519 times and walking 199 times this season. As a team, Chicago has allowed 6.92 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.88 batters per nine. They are 1st in the league in team earned run average at 3.13. The Cubs pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,125 base knocks and 511 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 163 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Chicago as a staff has walked 495 hitters and struck out 1,441. They give up a walk 3.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.11 while their FIP as a staff is 3.77.
As a team, they are batting .256, good for 14th in the league while putting together a .254 average at home. The Cubs hold a .429 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .343 which is good for 2nd in baseball. They rank 18th in baseball with 8.7 hits per contest. Ben Zobrist comes into this matchup batting .272 and he has an OBP of .386. He has 142 hits this year along with 94 runs scored and 76 RBI. He's struck out 82 times and has walked on 96 occasions. Addison Russell is hitting .238 and he has an OBP of .321. He has collected 125 hits so far while he's scored 67 runs and drove in 95. He has earned a walk 55 times and has punched out 135 times. The Cubs as a unit have 1,409 base hits, including 293 doubles and 199 homers. They have 66 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 34 times. Chicago as a team has walked 656 times this year and they have struck out 1,339 times. They've had 1,217 men left on base and have an OPS of .772. They score 4.99 runs per game and have totaled 808 runs so far this season.
Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Trends
The Los Angeles Dodgers are 69-83-10 against the over/under so far this season
The Los Angeles Dodgers are 81-81-0 against the run line so far this season
Chicago Cubs Betting Trends
The Chicago Cubs are 75-79-8 against the over/under so far this season
The Chicago Cubs are 87-75-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
Los Angeles Dodgers
10/04/16 P Adam Liberatore Elbow out for season
09/10/16 P Carlos Frias Oblique 60-day DL (9/9)
08/10/16 LF Scott Van Slyke Wrist 60-day DL (8/8)
07/21/16 P Chris Hatcher Oblique 60-day DL (7/20)
07/19/16 P Hyun-Jin Ryu Elbow 15-day DL (7/9)
07/16/16 LF Trayce Thompson Back 60-day DL (7/10)
05/24/16 P Chin-Hui Tsao Tricep 60-day DL (5/22)
04/23/16 P Yimi Garcia Bicep 60-day DL (4/23)
10/21/16 2B Javier Baez Ankle probable Saturday vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
04/08/16 C Kyle Schwarber Knee 60-day DL (4/8); out for season
04/04/16 P Aaron Brooks Hip 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 3B Christian Villanueva Fibula 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Dallas Beeler Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 P Zac Rosscup Shoulder 60-day DL (2/25)
Josh's Pick: Take the Dodgers
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