Sunday, September 11, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Kenta Maeda vs. Jose Urena
The Los Angeles Dodgers visit Marlins Park on Sunday to play the Miami Marlins. The probable starters are Kenta Maeda for the Dodgers and Jose Urena for the Marlins. The opening line for this matchup has Los Angeles at -170 and Miami at +160. The over/under was set at 8. The Dodgers have a 62-69-9 over/under record and a 66-74-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 47% of the time. The Marlins are 69-72-0 against the run line and have a 71-67-3 over/under record. They cover the spread 49% of the time.
The Dodgers head into this matchup with a 79-61 record, including 32-34 on the road. Starting pitcher Kenta Maeda has a 14-8 record with an earned run average of 3.29 and a WHIP of 1.08. He has 156 strikeouts over his 153 innings pitched and he has given up 124 hits so far this season. He has allowed 7.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.58. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.34 and they have given up 396 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .213 against the bullpen while being struck out 520 times and walking 174 times this season. As a team, Los Angeles has allowed 9.49 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.24 batters per nine. They are 22nd in the league in team earned run average at 4.45. The Dodgers pitchers have collectively given up 1,090 base hits and 526 earned runs. They have allowed 141 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Los Angeles as a pitching staff has walked 405 batters and struck out 1,297. They walk 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.19 and their FIP as a unit is 3.62.
As a team, Los Angeles is batting .264, good for 7th in the league while putting together a .267 average away from home. The Dodgers hold a .412 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .324 which is good for 15th in baseball. They rank 12th in baseball with 8.88 hits per game. Adrian Gonzalez comes into this game hitting .292 and his on-base percentage is at .355. He has 146 hits this season along with 62 runs scored and 78 runs batted in. He's struck out 104 times and has walked 48 times. Corey Seager is hitting .318 and he has an on-base percentage of .378. He has totaled 172 hits so far while scoring 94 runs and he's driven in 66. He has walked 49 times and has struck out 112 times. The Dodgers have 1,194 hits, including 236 doubles and 169 home runs. They've stolen 37 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 22 times. Los Angeles has walked 459 times this season and they've struck out 1,140 times as a unit. They've left 963 men on base and have a team OPS of .734. They score 4.49 runs per contest and have scored a total of 629 runs so far this year.
Miami comes into this matchup with a 35-34 home record and a 70-71 overall mark. With an earned run average of 5.54, Jose Urena has a 3-6 record and a 1.42 WHIP. He has 46 strikeouts over the 65 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 68 hits. He has allowed 9.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.52. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.64 and they have given up 406 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .230 against the Marlins bullpen while being struck out 478 times and walking 225 times this season. As a team, Miami has allowed 8.41 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.69 batters per nine. They are 8th in the league in team earned run average at 3.91. The Marlins pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,174 base knocks and 546 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 126 home runs this year and they give up 0.9 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Miami as a staff has walked 521 hitters and struck out 1,212. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.35 while their FIP as a staff is 3.90.
As a team, they are batting .267, good for 4th in the league while putting together a .257 average at home. The Marlins hold a .400 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .325 which is good for 13th in baseball. They rank 3rd in baseball with 9.22 hits per contest. Christian Yelich comes into this matchup batting .303 and he has an OBP of .378. He has 154 hits this year along with 71 runs scored and 87 RBI. He's struck out 121 times and has walked on 60 occasions. Martin Prado is hitting .311 and he has an OBP of .363. He has collected 166 hits so far while he's scored 64 runs and drove in 66. He has earned a walk 45 times and has punched out 64 times. The Marlins as a unit have 1,300 base hits, including 238 doubles and 114 homers. They have 53 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 22 times. Miami as a team has walked 393 times this year and they have struck out 1,065 times. They've had 1,035 men left on base and have an OPS of .725. They score 4.11 runs per game and have totaled 579 runs so far this season.
Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Trends
The Los Angeles Dodgers are 62-69-9 against the over/under so far this season
The Los Angeles Dodgers are 66-74-0 against the run line so far this season
Miami Marlins Betting Trends
The Miami Marlins are 71-67-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Miami Marlins are 69-72-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
Los Angeles Dodgers
09/10/16 P Carlos Frias Oblique 60-day DL (9/9)
08/24/16 P Brett Anderson Finger 15-day DL (8/21)
08/24/16 P Scott Kazmir Neck 15-day DL (8/23)
08/14/16 P Brandon McCarthy Hip 15-day DL (8/14)
08/10/16 LF Scott Van Slyke Wrist 60-day DL (8/8)
07/21/16 P Chris Hatcher Oblique 60-day DL (7/20)
07/19/16 P Hyun-Jin Ryu Elbow 15-day DL (7/9)
07/16/16 LF Trayce Thompson Back 60-day DL (7/10)
05/31/16 P Alex Wood Tricep 60-day DL (5/31)
05/24/16 P Chin-Hui Tsao Tricep 60-day DL (5/22)
04/23/16 P Yimi Garcia Bicep 60-day DL (4/23)
03/31/16 LF Andre Ethier Leg 60-day DL (3/25)
08/31/16 P David Phelps Oblique 15-day DL (8/30)
08/14/16 P Adam Conley Finger 15-day DL (8/14)
07/25/16 P Wei-Yin Chen Elbow 15-day DL (7/21)
07/01/16 P Bryan Morris Back 60-day DL (5/25)
05/15/16 P Kendry Flores Shoulder 15-day DL (5/15)
04/04/16 P Raudel Lazo Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
Tony's Pick: Take the Dodgers
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