Wednesday, June 29, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Carlos Frias vs. Junior Guerra
The Los Angeles Dodgers visit Miller Park on Wednesday to play the Milwaukee Brewers. The probable starters are Carlos Frias for the Dodgers and Junior Guerra for the Brewers. The opening line for this matchup has Los Angeles at -117 and Milwaukee at +107. The over/under was set at 9. The Dodgers have a 37-35-5 over/under record and a 32-45-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 42% of the time. The Brewers are 38-37-0 against the run line and have a 38-33-4 over/under record. They cover the spread 51% of the time.
The Dodgers head into this matchup with a 42-36 record, including 19-21 on the road. Starting pitcher Carlos Frias will be making his season debut for the Dodgers. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.02 and they have given up 173 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .196 against the bullpen while being struck out 239 times and walking 84 times this season. As a team, Los Angeles has allowed 9.22 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.19 batters per nine. They are 21st in the league in team earned run average at 4.46. The Dodgers pitchers have collectively given up 571 base hits and 267 earned runs. They have allowed 73 home runs this season and they allow 0.9 homers per nine innings as a staff. Los Angeles as a pitching staff has walked 210 batters and struck out 716. They walk 2.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.2 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.12 and their FIP as a unit is 3.47.
As a team, Los Angeles is batting .262, good for 11th in the league while putting together a .268 average away from home. The Dodgers hold a .401 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .320 which is good for 19th in baseball. They rank 14th in baseball with 8.86 hits per game. Adrian Gonzalez comes into this game hitting .264 and his on-base percentage is at .337. He has 71 hits this season along with 24 runs scored and 33 runs batted in. He's struck out 62 times and has walked 30 times. Corey Seager is hitting .298 and he has an on-base percentage of .356. He has totaled 89 hits so far while scoring 50 runs and he's driven in 38. He has walked 27 times and has struck out 58 times. The Dodgers have 615 hits, including 116 doubles and 85 home runs. They've stolen 24 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 14 times. Los Angeles has walked 255 times this season and they've struck out 599 times as a unit. They've left 511 men on base and have a team OPS of .693. They score 4.15 runs per contest and have scored a total of 324 runs so far this year.
Milwaukee comes into this matchup with a 21-18 home record and a 34-41 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.67, Junior Guerra has a 4-1 record and a 1.14 WHIP. He has 53 strikeouts over the 61.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 51 hits. He has allowed 7.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.88. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.16 and they have given up 260 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .261 against the Brewers bullpen while being struck out 237 times and walking 110 times this season. As a team, Milwaukee has allowed 9.28 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.46 batters per nine. They are 23rd in the league in team earned run average at 4.50. The Brewers pitchers as a team have surrendered 687 base knocks and 333 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 96 home runs this year and they give up 1.3 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Milwaukee as a staff has walked 259 hitters and struck out 552. They give up a walk 3.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.42 while their FIP as a staff is 4.70.
As a team, they are batting .249, good for 18th in the league while putting together a .256 average at home. The Brewers hold a .400 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .325 which is good for 14th in baseball. They rank 24th in baseball with 8.19 hits per contest. Ryan Braun comes into this matchup batting .324 and he has an OBP of .382. He has 77 hits this year along with 32 runs scored and 38 RBI. He's struck out 43 times and has walked on 21 occasions. Jonathan Lucroy is hitting .299 and he has an OBP of .358. He has collected 76 hits so far while he's scored 37 runs and drove in 36. He has earned a walk 24 times and has punched out 50 times. The Brewers as a unit have 614 base hits, including 118 doubles and 80 homers. They have 65 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 25 times. Milwaukee as a team has walked 278 times this year and they have struck out 717 times. They've had 514 men left on base and have an OPS of .726. They score 4.05 runs per game and have totaled 304 runs so far this season.
Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Trends
The Los Angeles Dodgers are 37-35-5 against the over/under so far this season
The Los Angeles Dodgers are 32-45-0 against the run line so far this season
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends
The Milwaukee Brewers are 38-33-4 against the over/under so far this season
The Milwaukee Brewers are 38-37-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
Los Angeles Dodgers
06/28/16 P Clayton Kershaw Back expected to start Friday vs. Colorado Rockies
05/31/16 P Alex Wood Tricep 15-day DL (5/31)
05/24/16 P Chin-Hui Tsao Tricep 60-day DL (5/22)
05/03/16 P Josh Ravin Suspension expected to miss 80 games
04/23/16 P Yimi Garcia Bicep 60-day DL (4/23)
04/05/16 P Brandon McCarthy Elbow 60-day DL (2/19)
04/05/16 P Frankie Montas Ribs 60-day DL (2/20)
04/04/16 P Brett Anderson Back 60-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Hyun-Jin Ryu Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 LF Andre Ethier Leg 60-day DL (3/25)
06/10/16 RF Domingo Santana Elbow 15-day DL (6/8)
05/27/16 P Chris Capuano Elbow 15-day DL (4/2)
04/04/16 LF Rymer Liriano Facial 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Zach Jones Shoulder 60-day DL (3/31)
04/02/16 P Yhonathan Barrios Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Sean Nolin Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Guy's Pick: Take the Dodgers
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