Tuesday, April 5, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Scott Kazmir vs. James Shields
The Los Angeles Dodgers visit Petco Park on Tuesday to play the San Diego Padres. The probable starters are Scott Kazmir for the Dodgers and James Shields for the Padres. The opening line for this matchup has Los Angeles at -115 and San Diego at +105. The over/under was set at 6.5. The Dodgers had a 76-78-8 over/under record last season and a 73-89-0 run line mark, meaning they covered 45% of the time. The Padres were 76-86-0 against the run line and had a 93-62-7 over/under record. They covered the spread 47% of the time.
The Dodgers head into this matchup coming off a 92 - 70 season, including 37-44 on the road. Starting pitcher Scott Kazmir had a 7 - 11 record with an earned run average of 3.1 and a WHIP of 1.21. He had 155 strikeouts over his 183 innings pitched and he also gave up 162 hits over that time period. He allowed 8 hits per 9 innings and he had a FIP of 3.98. The bullpen had an earned run average of 3.91 and they gave up 446 base hits on the year. Teams hit .246 against the bullpen while being struck out 517 times and walking 150 times last season. As a team, Los Angeles allowed 8.46 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.63 batters per nine. They were 13th in the league in team earned run average at 3.94. The Dodgers pitchers collectively gave up 1,317 base hits and 553 earned runs last year. They allowed 145 home runs last season and they allowed 0.9 homers per nine innings as a staff. Los Angeles as a pitching staff walked 395 batters and struck out 1,396. They walked 2.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.7 per 9. They had a team WHIP of 1.18 and their FIP as a unit was 3.41.
As a team, Los Angeles batted .246, good for 27th in the league while putting together a .242 average away from home. The Dodgers held a .396 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .307 which was good for 26th in baseball. They ranked 28th in baseball with 8.22 hits per game. Adrian Gonzalez hit .275 last season and his on-base percentage was at .350. He had 157 hits last season along with 76 runs scored and 90 runs batted in. He struck out 107 times and walked 62 times. Joc Pederson hit .210 and he had an on-base percentage of .346 last year. He totaled 101 hits while scoring 67 runs and he drove in 54. He walked 92 times and struck out 170 times. The Dodgers had 1,346 hits, including 263 doubles, 26 triples, and 187 home runs. They stole 59 bases while they were thrown out stealing 34 times. Los Angeles walked 563 times last season and they struck out 1,258 times as a unit. They left 1,121 men on base and had a team OPS of .739. They scored 4.12 runs per contest and scored a total of 667 runs last season.
San Diego comes into this matchup after having a 39-42 home record and a 74 - 88 overall mark last year. With an earned run average last season of 3.91, James Shields will come into this game after holding a 13 - 7 record and a 1.33 WHIP. He had 216 strikeouts over the 202.1 innings he pitched during which he gave up 189 hits. He allowed 8.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stood at 4.45. The bullpen had an earned run average of 4.02 and they gave up 444 base hits last year. Teams hit .236 against the Padres bullpen while being struck out 503 times and walking 184 times last season. As a team, San Diego allowed 8.57 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.7 batters per nine. They were 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.09. The Padres pitchers as a team surrendered 1,371 base knocks and 655 earned runs last season. They gave up 171 home runs last year and they gave up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. San Diego as a staff walked 516 hitters and struck out 1,393. They gave up a walk 3.2 times per 9 innings while they struck out 8.7 per 9. Their team WHIP was 1.31 while their FIP as a staff was 3.93.
As a team, they hit .243, good for 29th in the league while putting together a .247 average at home. The Padres held a .385 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .300 which was good for 30th in baseball. They ranked 30th in baseball with 8.18 hits per contest. Matt Kemp batted .265 last season and he had an OBP of .312. He had 158 hits last year along with 80 runs scored and 100 RBI. He struck out 147 times and walked on 39 occasions. Justin Upton hit .251 and he had an OBP of .336. He collected 136 hits last year while he scored 85 runs and drove in 81. He earned a walk 68 times and punched out 159 times. The Padres as a unit had 1,324 base hits last year, including 260 doubles, 36 triples, and 148 homers. They had 82 stolen bases while they were thrown out 29 times. San Diego as a team walked 426 times last year and they struck out 1,327 times. They had 1,028 men left on base and had an OPS of .685. They scored 4.01 runs per game and totaled 650 runs last season.
Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Trends
The Los Angeles Dodgers were 76-78-8 against the over/under last season
The Los Angeles Dodgers were 73-89-0 against the run line last season
San Diego Padres Betting Trends
The San Diego Padres were 93-62-7 against the over/under last season
The San Diego Padres were 76-86-0 against the run line last season
Injuries to Watch
Los Angeles Dodgers
04/03/16 3B Alex Guerrero Knee Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (3/25)
04/03/16 2B Howie Kendrick Calf Injury is on the 15 day disabled list
04/03/16 C Yasmani Grandal Forearm Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (3/25)
04/03/16 P Mike Bolsinger Oblique Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (3/25)
04/01/16 P Brandon McCarthy Rest out indefinitely
04/01/16 P Hyun-Jin Ryu Shoulder out indefinitely
03/31/16 LF Andre Ethier Leg Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (3/25)
03/31/16 P Brett Anderson Back Injury is on the 60 day disabled list
San Diego Padres
No key injuries to report
Tony's Pick: Take the Padres
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