Thursday, October 13, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Rich Hill vs. Max Scherzer
The Los Angeles Dodgers visit Nationals Park on Thursday to play the Washington Nationals in the deciding 5th game of the NLDS. The probable starters are Rich Hill for the Dodgers and Max Scherzer for the Nationals. The Dodgers have a 69-83-10 over/under record and a 81-81-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 50% of the time. The Nationals are 83-79-0 against the run line and have a 76-78-8 over/under record. They cover the spread 51% of the time.
The Dodgers head into this matchup with a 91-71 record, including 38-43 on the road. Starting pitcher Rich Hill has a 12-5 record with an earned run average of 2.12 and a WHIP of 1.00. He has 129 strikeouts over his 110.1 innings pitched and he has given up 77 hits so far this season. He has allowed 6.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.39. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.35 and they have given up 481 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .218 against the bullpen while being struck out 633 times and walking 204 times this season. As a team, Los Angeles has allowed 9.37 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.19 batters per nine. They are 21st in the league in team earned run average at 4.28. The Dodgers pitchers have collectively given up 1,266 base hits and 598 earned runs. They have allowed 165 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Los Angeles as a pitching staff has walked 464 batters and struck out 1,510. They walk 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.19 and their FIP as a unit is 3.61.
As a team, Los Angeles is batting .260, good for 9th in the league while putting together a .264 average away from home. The Dodgers hold a .405 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .322 which is good for 14th in baseball. They rank 16th in baseball with 8.7 hits per game. Adrian Gonzalez comes into this game hitting .285 and his on-base percentage is at .349. He has 162 hits this season along with 69 runs scored and 90 runs batted in. He's struck out 117 times and has walked 55 times. Corey Seager is hitting .308 and he has an on-base percentage of .365. He has totaled 193 hits so far while scoring 105 runs and he's driven in 72. He has walked 54 times and has struck out 133 times. The Dodgers have 1,375 hits, including 272 doubles and 189 home runs. They've stolen 45 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 26 times. Los Angeles has walked 525 times this season and they've struck out 1,321 times as a unit. They've left 1,106 men on base and have a team OPS of .728. They score 4.48 runs per contest and have scored a total of 725 runs so far this year.
Washington comes into this matchup with a 50-31 home record and a 95-67 overall mark. With an earned run average of 2.96, Max Scherzer has a 20-7 record and a 0.97 WHIP. He has 284 strikeouts over the 228.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 165 hits. He has allowed 6.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.24. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.37 and they have given up 429 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .230 against the Nationals bullpen while being struck out 489 times and walking 164 times this season. As a team, Washington has allowed 7.84 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.1 batters per nine. They are 2nd in the league in team earned run average at 3.51. The Nationals pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,272 base knocks and 570 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 155 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Washington as a staff has walked 468 hitters and struck out 1,476. They give up a walk 2.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.19 while their FIP as a staff is 3.58.
As a team, they are batting .256, good for 17th in the league while putting together a .252 average at home. The Nationals hold a .426 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .326 which is good for 10th in baseball. They rank 20th in baseball with 8.66 hits per contest. Daniel Murphy comes into this matchup batting .347 and he has an OBP of .390. He has 184 hits this year along with 88 runs scored and 104 RBI. He's struck out 57 times and has walked on 35 occasions. Bryce Harper is hitting .243 and he has an OBP of .373. He has collected 123 hits so far while he's scored 84 runs and drove in 86. He has earned a walk 108 times and has punched out 117 times. The Nationals as a unit have 1,403 base hits, including 268 doubles and 203 homers. They have 121 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 39 times. Washington as a team has walked 536 times this year and they have struck out 1,252 times. They've had 1,105 men left on base and have an OPS of .751. They score 4.71 runs per game and have totaled 763 runs so far this season.
Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Trends
The Los Angeles Dodgers are 69-83-10 against the over/under so far this season
The Los Angeles Dodgers are 81-81-0 against the run line so far this season
Washington Nationals Betting Trends
The Washington Nationals are 76-78-8 against the over/under so far this season
The Washington Nationals are 83-79-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
Los Angeles Dodgers
10/04/16 P Adam Liberatore Elbow out for season
09/10/16 P Carlos Frias Oblique 60-day DL (9/9)
08/10/16 LF Scott Van Slyke Wrist 60-day DL (8/8)
07/21/16 P Chris Hatcher Oblique 60-day DL (7/20)
07/19/16 P Hyun-Jin Ryu Elbow 15-day DL (7/9)
07/16/16 LF Trayce Thompson Back 60-day DL (7/10)
05/24/16 P Chin-Hui Tsao Tricep 60-day DL (5/22)
04/23/16 P Yimi Garcia Bicep 60-day DL (4/23)
09/27/16 C Wilson Ramos Knee out for season
09/09/16 P Stephen Strasburg Elbow out indefinitely
03/31/16 P Aaron Barrett Elbow 60-day DL (4/1)
Josh's Pick: Take the Dodgers
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