Saturday, June 11, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Jose Fernandez vs. Patrick Corbin
The Miami Marlins head to Chase Field on Saturday to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks. The probable pitchers are Jose Fernandez for the Marlins and Patrick Corbin for the Diamondbacks. The opening line for this game has Miami at -136 and Arizona at +126. The over/under is 8. The Marlins have a 32-27-1 over/under mark and a 28-32-0 run line record, meaning they cover 47% of the time. The Diamondbacks are 28-34-0 against the run line and have a 33-26-3 over/under record. They cover the spread 45% of the time.
The Marlins head into this game with a 31-29 record, and they are 17-13 on the road. Starting pitcher Jose Fernandez has a 9-2 record with an ERA of 2.29 and a WHIP of 1.06. He has 110 strikeouts during his 74.2 innings pitched and he has given up 54 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 6.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 1.96. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 4.08 and they have allowed 184 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .246 against the pen while they've been struck out 196 times and walked 98 times this year. As a unit, Miami has given up 8.43 base hits per nine innings while striking out 8.5 hitters per nine. They are 13th in the Majors in team earned run average at 4.00. The Marlins pitchers have collectively given up 502 base hits and 238 earned runs. They have allowed 48 home runs this season and they allow 0.8 homers per nine innings as a staff. Miami as a pitching staff has walked 235 batters and struck out 506. They walk 3.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.38 and their FIP as a unit is 3.85.
As a team, Miami is hitting .270, good for 4th in the league while putting together a .288 average on the road. The Marlins have a .405 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .325 which is good for 12th in the league. They rank 4th in baseball with 9.38 hits per contest. Marcell Ozuna comes into this game hitting .324 and his on-base percentage is at .370. He has 73 hits this season along with 37 runs scored and 34 runs batted in. He's struck out 51 times and has walked 17 times. Martin Prado is hitting .314 and he has an on-base percentage of .354. He has totaled 70 hits so far while scoring 24 runs and he's driven in 18. He has walked 14 times and has struck out 26 times. The Marlins have 563 hits, including 105 doubles and 49 home runs. They've stolen 18 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 10 times. Miami has walked 163 times this season and they've struck out 454 times as a unit. They've left 454 men on base and have a team OPS of .730. They score 3.97 runs per contest and have scored a total of 238 runs so far this year.
Arizona comes into this game with a 10-22 home mark and a 26-36 overall record. With an ERA of 4.73, Patrick Corbin has a 3-5 record and a 1.36 WHIP. He has 52 strikeouts over the 72.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 77 hits. He has allowed 9.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.8. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.18 and they have given up 208 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .256 against the Diamondbacks bullpen while being struck out 186 times and walking 94 times this season. As a team, Arizona has allowed 9.33 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.84 batters per nine. They are 26th in the league in team earned run average at 4.71. The Diamondbacks pitchers as a team have surrendered 581 base knocks and 293 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 71 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Arizona as a staff has walked 223 hitters and struck out 488. They give up a walk 3.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.44 while their FIP as a staff is 4.37.
As a team, they are batting .262, good for 10th in the league while putting together a .259 average at home. The Diamondbacks hold a .429 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .326 which is good for 11th in baseball. They rank 7th in baseball with 9.13 hits per contest. Paul Goldschmidt comes into this matchup batting .270 and he has an OBP of .425. He has 57 hits this year along with 31 runs scored and 37 RBI. He's struck out 62 times and has walked on 55 occasions. Jean Segura is hitting .290 and he has an OBP of .327. He has collected 71 hits so far while he's scored 29 runs and drove in 27. He has earned a walk 9 times and has punched out 38 times. The Diamondbacks as a unit have 566 base hits, including 108 doubles and 69 homers. They have 39 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 14 times. Arizona as a team has walked 189 times this year and they have struck out 523 times. They've had 436 men left on base and have an OPS of .755. They score 4.39 runs per game and have totaled 272 runs so far this season.
Miami Marlins Betting Trends
The Miami Marlins are 32-27-1 against the over/under so far this season
The Miami Marlins are 28-32-0 against the run line so far this season
Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Trends
The Arizona Diamondbacks are 33-26-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Arizona Diamondbacks are 28-34-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
05/26/16 P Bryan Morris Back 15-day DL (5/25)
05/15/16 P Kendry Flores Shoulder 15-day DL (5/15)
04/29/16 2B Dee Gordon Suspension expected to miss 80 games
04/04/16 P Raudel Lazo Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/03/16 P Carter Capps Arm 60-day DL; out for season
05/28/16 P Shelby Miller Finger 15-day DL (5/25)
05/27/16 P Rubby De La Rosa Elbow 15-day DL (5/26)
04/02/16 CF A.J. Pollock Elbow 60-day DL (4/2), out for season
Josh's Pick: Take the Diamondbacks
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