Saturday, May 28, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Wei-Yin Chen vs. Aaron Blair
The Miami Marlins visit Turner Field on Saturday to play the Atlanta Braves. The probable starters are Wei-Yin Chen for the Marlins and Aaron Blair for the Braves. The opening line for this matchup has Miami at -150 and Atlanta at +140. The over/under was set at 8. The Marlins have a 24-22-1 over/under record and a 24-23-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 51% of the time. The Braves are 18-28-0 against the run line and have a 21-20-5 over/under record. They cover the spread 39% of the time.
The Marlins head into this matchup with a 25-22 record, including 15-9 on the road. Starting pitcher Wei-Yin Chen has a 3-2 record with an earned run average of 4.61 and a WHIP of 1.34. He has 45 strikeouts over his 54.2 innings pitched and he has given up 61 hits so far this season. He has allowed 10 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.32 and they have given up 139 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .239 against the bullpen while being struck out 148 times and walking 75 times this season. As a team, Miami has allowed 8.53 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.33 batters per nine. They are 13th in the league in team earned run average at 3.91. The Marlins pitchers have collectively given up 395 base hits and 181 earned runs. They have allowed 35 home runs this season and they allow 0.8 homers per nine innings as a staff. Miami as a pitching staff has walked 195 batters and struck out 386. They walk 4.2 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.42 and their FIP as a unit is 3.83.
As a team, Miami is batting .276, good for 3rd in the league while putting together a .287 average away from home. The Marlins hold a .422 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .334 which is good for 5th in baseball. They rank 3rd in baseball with 9.53 hits per game. Giancarlo Stanton comes into this game hitting .214 and his on-base percentage is at .326. He has 33 hits this season along with 21 runs scored and 26 runs batted in. He's struck out 61 times and has walked 25 times. Christian Yelich is hitting .320 and he has an on-base percentage of .420. He has totaled 47 hits so far while scoring 24 runs and he's driven in 20. He has walked 24 times and has struck out 29 times. The Marlins have 448 hits, including 82 doubles and 44 home runs. They've stolen 13 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 8 times. Miami has walked 136 times this season and they've struck out 367 times as a unit. They've left 360 men on base and have a team OPS of .756. They score 4.06 runs per contest and have scored a total of 191 runs so far this year.
Atlanta comes into this matchup with a 2-20 home record and a 12-34 overall mark. With an earned run average of 7.59, Aaron Blair has a 0-3 record and a 1.88 WHIP. He has 8 strikeouts over the 21.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 28 hits. He has allowed 11.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.63. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.57 and they have given up 159 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .259 against the Braves bullpen while being struck out 173 times and walking 77 times this season. As a team, Atlanta has allowed 8.86 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.01 batters per nine. They are 23rd in the league in team earned run average at 4.41. The Braves pitchers as a team have surrendered 410 base knocks and 204 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 46 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Atlanta as a staff has walked 158 hitters and struck out 371. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.36 while their FIP as a staff is 4.02.
As a team, they are batting .231, good for 27th in the league while putting together a .231 average at home. The Braves hold a .318 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .297 which is good for 26th in baseball. They rank 23rd in baseball with 7.89 hits per contest. Nick Markakis comes into this matchup batting .232 and he has an OBP of .345. He has 39 hits this year along with 16 runs scored and 24 RBI. He's struck out 31 times and has walked on 28 occasions. Freddie Freeman is hitting .254 and he has an OBP of .342. He has collected 44 hits so far while he's scored 20 runs and drove in 15. He has earned a walk 20 times and has punched out 49 times. The Braves as a unit have 363 base hits, including 69 doubles and 20 homers. They have 20 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 15 times. Atlanta as a team has walked 136 times this year and they have struck out 369 times. They've had 329 men left on base and have an OPS of .616. They score 3.09 runs per game and have totaled 142 runs so far this season.
Miami Marlins Betting Trends
The Miami Marlins are 24-22-1 against the over/under so far this season
The Miami Marlins are 24-23-0 against the run line so far this season
Atlanta Braves Betting Trends
The Atlanta Braves are 21-20-5 against the over/under so far this season
The Atlanta Braves are 18-28-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
05/27/16 LF Christian Yelich Back is downgraded to not expected to be in the starting lineup Friday vs. Atlanta Braves
05/27/16 RF Giancarlo Stanton Side is downgraded to not expected to be in the starting lineup Friday vs. Atlanta Braves
05/26/16 P Bryan Morris Back 15-day DL (5/25)
05/15/16 P Kendry Flores Shoulder 15-day DL (5/15)
04/29/16 2B Dee Gordon Suspension expected to miss 80 games
04/04/16 P Raudel Lazo Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/03/16 P Mike Dunn Forearm 15-day DL (3/25)
04/03/16 P Carter Capps Arm 60-day DL; out for season
05/27/16 2B Hector Olivera Suspension 82 game suspension, eligible to return (8/1)
05/11/16 P Jim Johnson Groin 15-day DL (5/9)
04/12/16 P Daniel Winkler Elbow 15-day DL (4/11)
04/04/16 P Andrew McKiraha Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Paco Rodrigue Elbow out for season
04/04/16 P Shae Simmons Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
Guy's Pick: Take the Marlins
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