Sunday, May 29, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Tom Koehler vs. Julio Teheran
The Miami Marlins visit Turner Field on Sunday to play the Atlanta Braves. The probable starters are Tom Koehler for the Marlins and Julio Teheran for the Braves. The opening line for this matchup has Miami at +118 and Atlanta at -128. The over/under was set at 7.5. The Marlins have a 24-23-1 over/under record and a 24-24-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 50% of the time. The Braves are 19-28-0 against the run line and have a 21-21-5 over/under record. They cover the spread 40% of the time.
The Marlins head into this matchup with a 25-23 record, including 15-10 on the road. Starting pitcher Tom Koehler has a 2-5 record with an earned run average of 4.79 and a WHIP of 1.72. He has 37 strikeouts over his 47 innings pitched and he has given up 51 hits so far this season. He has allowed 9.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.38. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.36 and they have given up 145 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .242 against the bullpen while being struck out 151 times and walking 77 times this season. As a team, Miami has allowed 8.66 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.3 batters per nine. They are 14th in the league in team earned run average at 3.92. The Marlins pitchers have collectively given up 409 base hits and 185 earned runs. They have allowed 35 home runs this season and they allow 0.7 homers per nine innings as a staff. Miami as a pitching staff has walked 198 batters and struck out 392. They walk 4.2 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.43 and their FIP as a unit is 3.84.
As a team, Miami is batting .276, good for 3rd in the league while putting together a .285 average away from home. The Marlins hold a .420 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .333 which is good for 5th in baseball. They rank 3rd in baseball with 9.5 hits per game. Giancarlo Stanton comes into this game hitting .214 and his on-base percentage is at .326. He has 33 hits this season along with 21 runs scored and 26 runs batted in. He's struck out 61 times and has walked 25 times. Christian Yelich is hitting .320 and he has an on-base percentage of .423. He has totaled 47 hits so far while scoring 24 runs and he's driven in 20. He has walked 25 times and has struck out 29 times. The Marlins have 456 hits, including 84 doubles and 44 home runs. They've stolen 13 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 9 times. Miami has walked 138 times this season and they've struck out 371 times as a unit. They've left 366 men on base and have a team OPS of .753. They score 4.02 runs per contest and have scored a total of 193 runs so far this year.
Atlanta comes into this matchup with a 3-20 home record and a 13-34 overall mark. With an earned run average of 2.57, Julio Teheran has a 1-4 record and a 1.03 WHIP. He has 59 strikeouts over the 63 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 48 hits. He has allowed 6.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.45. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.48 and they have given up 160 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .257 against the Braves bullpen while being struck out 174 times and walking 78 times this season. As a team, Atlanta has allowed 8.84 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.93 batters per nine. They are 23rd in the league in team earned run average at 4.36. The Braves pitchers as a team have surrendered 418 base knocks and 206 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 46 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Atlanta as a staff has walked 160 hitters and struck out 375. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.36 while their FIP as a staff is 4.00.
As a team, they are batting .235, good for 27th in the league while putting together a .239 average at home. The Braves hold a .321 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .302 which is good for 26th in baseball. They rank 22nd in baseball with 8.02 hits per contest. Nick Markakis comes into this matchup batting .238 and he has an OBP of .351. He has 41 hits this year along with 16 runs scored and 26 RBI. He's struck out 32 times and has walked on 29 occasions. Freddie Freeman is hitting .260 and he has an OBP of .348. He has collected 46 hits so far while he's scored 22 runs and drove in 15. He has earned a walk 20 times and has punched out 50 times. The Braves as a unit have 377 base hits, including 71 doubles and 20 homers. They have 20 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 15 times. Atlanta as a team has walked 139 times this year and they have struck out 375 times. They've had 344 men left on base and have an OPS of .623. They score 3.11 runs per game and have totaled 146 runs so far this season.
Miami Marlins Betting Trends
The Miami Marlins are 24-23-1 against the over/under so far this season
The Miami Marlins are 24-24-0 against the run line so far this season
Atlanta Braves Betting Trends
The Atlanta Braves are 21-21-5 against the over/under so far this season
The Atlanta Braves are 19-28-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
05/28/16 LF Christian Yelich Back "?" Sunday vs. Atlanta Braves
05/28/16 RF Giancarlo Stanton Side "?" Sunday vs. Atlanta Braves
05/26/16 P Bryan Morris Back 15-day DL (5/25)
05/15/16 P Kendry Flores Shoulder 15-day DL (5/15)
04/29/16 2B Dee Gordon Suspension expected to miss 80 games
04/04/16 P Raudel Lazo Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/03/16 P Mike Dunn Forearm 15-day DL (3/25)
04/03/16 P Carter Capps Arm 60-day DL; out for season
05/28/16 SS Erick Aybar Foot 15-day DL
05/27/16 2B Hector Olivera Suspension 82 game suspension, eligible to return (8/1)
05/11/16 P Jim Johnson Groin 15-day DL (5/9)
04/12/16 P Daniel Winkler Elbow 15-day DL (4/11)
04/04/16 P Andrew McKiraha Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Paco Rodrigue Elbow out for season
04/04/16 P Shae Simmons Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
Tony's Pick: Take the Braves
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