Thursday, June 30, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Wei-Yin Chen vs. Mike Foltynewicz
The Miami Marlins head to Turner Field on Thursday to take on the Atlanta Braves. The probable pitchers are Wei-Yin Chen for the Marlins and Mike Foltynewicz for the Braves. The opening line for this game has Miami at -155 and Atlanta at +145. The over/under is 8.5. The Marlins have a 40-36-1 over/under mark and a 39-38-0 run line record, meaning they cover 51% of the time. The Braves are 34-43-0 against the run line and have a 34-37-6 over/under record. They cover the spread 44% of the time.
The Marlins head into this game with a 41-36 record, and they are 20-17 on the road. Starting pitcher Wei-Yin Chen has a 4-2 record with an ERA of 5.00 and a WHIP of 1.29. He has 72 strikeouts during his 86.1 innings pitched and he has given up 92 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 9.6 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.63. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 3.68 and they have allowed 216 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .232 against the pen while they've been struck out 260 times and walked 117 times this year. As a unit, Miami has given up 8.3 base hits per nine innings while striking out 8.77 hitters per nine. They are 10th in the Majors in team earned run average at 3.96. The Marlins pitchers have collectively given up 632 base hits and 302 earned runs. They have allowed 70 home runs this season and they allow 0.9 homers per nine innings as a staff. Miami as a pitching staff has walked 290 batters and struck out 668. They walk 3.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.35 and their FIP as a unit is 3.95.
As a team, Miami is hitting .270, good for 5th in the league while putting together a .287 average on the road. The Marlins have a .408 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .329 which is good for 8th in the league. They rank 5th in baseball with 9.35 hits per contest. Marcell Ozuna comes into this game hitting .321 and his on-base percentage is at .375. He has 89 hits this season along with 48 runs scored and 44 runs batted in. He's struck out 59 times and has walked 24 times. Martin Prado is hitting .308 and he has an on-base percentage of .354. He has totaled 88 hits so far while scoring 33 runs and he's driven in 27. He has walked 21 times and has struck out 37 times. The Marlins have 720 hits, including 127 doubles and 67 home runs. They've stolen 22 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 11 times. Miami has walked 220 times this season and they've struck out 577 times as a unit. They've left 576 men on base and have a team OPS of .737. They score 4.19 runs per contest and have scored a total of 323 runs so far this year.
Atlanta comes into this game with a 11-31 home mark and a 26-51 overall record. With an ERA of 3.51, Mike Foltynewicz has a 2-2 record and a 1.26 WHIP. He has 28 strikeouts over the 33.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 34 hits. He has allowed 9.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.72. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.34 and they have given up 255 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .251 against the Braves bullpen while being struck out 272 times and walking 129 times this season. As a team, Atlanta has allowed 8.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.88 batters per nine. They are 17th in the league in team earned run average at 4.35. The Braves pitchers as a team have surrendered 660 base knocks and 338 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 80 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Atlanta as a staff has walked 266 hitters and struck out 612. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.33 while their FIP as a staff is 4.16.
As a team, they are batting .237, good for 26th in the league while putting together a .237 average at home. The Braves hold a .337 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .301 which is good for 27th in baseball. They rank 26th in baseball with 8.05 hits per contest. Nick Markakis comes into this matchup batting .251 and he has an OBP of .331. He has 72 hits this year along with 29 runs scored and 41 RBI. He's struck out 48 times and has walked on 35 occasions. Freddie Freeman is hitting .285 and he has an OBP of .368. He has collected 82 hits so far while he's scored 36 runs and drove in 28. He has earned a walk 33 times and has punched out 84 times. The Braves as a unit have 620 base hits, including 120 doubles and 39 homers. They have 42 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 20 times. Atlanta as a team has walked 218 times this year and they have struck out 593 times. They've had 547 men left on base and have an OPS of .638. They score 3.32 runs per game and have totaled 256 runs so far this season.
Miami Marlins Betting Trends
The Miami Marlins are 40-36-1 against the over/under so far this season
The Miami Marlins are 39-38-0 against the run line so far this season
Atlanta Braves Betting Trends
The Atlanta Braves are 34-37-6 against the over/under so far this season
The Atlanta Braves are 34-43-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
05/26/16 P Bryan Morris Back 15-day DL (5/25)
05/15/16 P Kendry Flores Shoulder 15-day DL (5/15)
04/29/16 2B Dee Gordon Suspension expected to miss 80 games
04/04/16 P Raudel Lazo Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/03/16 P Carter Capps Arm 60-day DL; out for season
06/28/16 P John Gant Oblique 15-day DL (6/27)
06/20/16 LF Mallex Smith Thumb 15-day DL (6/20)
06/08/16 P Williams Perez Rotator Cuff 15-day DL (6/7)
06/03/16 P Mike Foltynewicz Elbow 15-day DL (6/1)
06/02/16 3B Gordon Beckham Hamstring 15-day DL (6/2)
05/27/16 2B Hector Olivera Suspension 82 game suspension, eligible to return (8/1)
04/12/16 P Daniel Winkler Elbow 15-day DL (4/11)
04/04/16 P Andrew McKirahan Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Paco Rodriguez Elbow out for season
04/04/16 P Shae Simmons Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
Guy's Pick: Take the Braves
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