Friday, July 1, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Paul Clemens vs. Julio Teheran
The Miami Marlins visit Turner Field on Friday to play the Atlanta Braves. The probable starters are Paul Clemens for the Marlins and Julio Teheran for the Braves. The opening line for this matchup has Miami at -168 and Atlanta at +158. The over/under was set at 8. The Marlins have a 41-36-1 over/under record and a 39-39-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 50% of the time. The Braves are 34-44-0 against the run line and have a 34-38-6 over/under record. They cover the spread 44% of the time.
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The Marlins head into this matchup with a 41-37 record, including 20-18 on the road. Starting pitcher Paul Clemens has a 1-0 record with an earned run average of 6.30 and a WHIP of 1.90. He has 6 strikeouts over his 10 innings pitched and he has given up 11 hits so far this season. He has allowed 9.9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 11.16. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.78 and they have given up 223 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .234 against the bullpen while being struck out 265 times and walking 118 times this season. As a team, Miami has allowed 8.39 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.76 batters per nine. They are 13th in the league in team earned run average at 4.05. The Marlins pitchers have collectively given up 647 base hits and 312 earned runs. They have allowed 73 home runs this season and they allow 0.9 homers per nine innings as a staff. Miami as a pitching staff has walked 292 batters and struck out 675. They walk 3.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.35 and their FIP as a unit is 3.99.
As a team, Miami is batting .272, good for 5th in the league while putting together a .288 average away from home. The Marlins hold a .408 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .329 which is good for 9th in baseball. They rank 4th in baseball with 9.41 hits per game. Marcell Ozuna comes into this game hitting .319 and his on-base percentage is at .372. He has 90 hits this season along with 48 runs scored and 44 runs batted in. He's struck out 61 times and has walked 24 times. Martin Prado is hitting .316 and he has an on-base percentage of .361. He has totaled 92 hits so far while scoring 34 runs and he's driven in 27. He has walked 21 times and has struck out 37 times. The Marlins have 734 hits, including 127 doubles and 67 home runs. They've stolen 22 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 11 times. Miami has walked 221 times this season and they've struck out 590 times as a unit. They've left 588 men on base and have a team OPS of .737. They score 4.18 runs per contest and have scored a total of 326 runs so far this year.
Atlanta comes into this matchup with a 11-32 home record and a 26-52 overall mark. With an earned run average of 2.46, Julio Teheran has a 3-7 record and a 0.89 WHIP. He has 99 strikeouts over the 106 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 70 hits. He has allowed 5.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.71. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.29 and they have given up 256 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .250 against the Braves bullpen while being struck out 273 times and walking 129 times this season. As a team, Atlanta has allowed 8.49 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.81 batters per nine. They are 16th in the league in team earned run average at 4.33. The Braves pitchers as a team have surrendered 668 base knocks and 341 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 81 home runs this year and they give up 1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Atlanta as a staff has walked 267 hitters and struck out 614. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.32 while their FIP as a staff is 4.17.
As a team, they are batting .237, good for 28th in the league while putting together a .236 average at home. The Braves hold a .336 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .301 which is good for 28th in baseball. They rank 26th in baseball with 8.04 hits per contest. Nick Markakis comes into this matchup batting .254 and he has an OBP of .333. He has 74 hits this year along with 29 runs scored and 41 RBI. He's struck out 50 times and has walked on 35 occasions. Freddie Freeman is hitting .281 and he has an OBP of .363. He has collected 82 hits so far while he's scored 36 runs and drove in 28. He has earned a walk 33 times and has punched out 87 times. The Braves as a unit have 627 base hits, including 123 doubles and 39 homers. They have 42 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 20 times. Atlanta as a team has walked 220 times this year and they have struck out 603 times. They've had 555 men left on base and have an OPS of .637. They score 3.28 runs per game and have totaled 256 runs so far this season.
Miami Marlins Betting Trends
The Miami Marlins are 41-36-1 against the over/under so far this season
The Miami Marlins are 39-39-0 against the run line so far this season
Atlanta Braves Betting Trends
The Atlanta Braves are 34-38-6 against the over/under so far this season
The Atlanta Braves are 34-44-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
05/26/16 P Bryan Morris Back 15-day DL (5/25)
05/15/16 P Kendry Flores Shoulder 15-day DL (5/15)
04/29/16 2B Dee Gordon Suspension expected to miss 80 games
04/04/16 P Raudel Lazo Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/03/16 P Carter Capps Arm 60-day DL; out for season
06/30/16 P Mike Foltynewicz Elbow 15-day DL (6/1); expected to start Thursday vs. Miami Marlins
06/28/16 P John Gant Oblique 15-day DL (6/27)
06/20/16 LF Mallex Smith Thumb 15-day DL (6/20)
06/08/16 P Williams Perez Rotator Cuff 15-day DL (6/7)
06/02/16 3B Gordon Beckham Hamstring 15-day DL (6/2)
05/27/16 2B Hector Olivera Suspension 82 game suspension, eligible to return (8/1)
04/12/16 P Daniel Winkler Elbow 15-day DL (4/11)
04/04/16 P Andrew McKirahan Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Paco Rodriguez Elbow out for season
04/04/16 P Shae Simmons Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
Tony's Pick: Take the Marlins
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