Sunday, July 3, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Adam Conley vs. Matt Wisler
The Miami Marlins visit Turner Field on Sunday to play the Atlanta Braves. The probable starters are Adam Conley for the Marlins and Matt Wisler for the Braves. The opening line for this matchup has Miami at -138 and Atlanta at +128. The over/under was set at 8. The Marlins have a 43-36-1 over/under record and a 40-40-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 50% of the time. The Braves are 35-45-0 against the run line and have a 36-38-6 over/under record. They cover the spread 44% of the time.
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The Marlins head into this matchup with a 42-38 record, including 21-19 on the road. Starting pitcher Adam Conley has a 4-5 record with an earned run average of 3.90 and a WHIP of 1.36. He has 85 strikeouts over his 87.2 innings pitched and he has given up 81 hits so far this season. He has allowed 8.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.95. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.78 and they have given up 233 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .234 against the bullpen while being struck out 276 times and walking 121 times this season. As a team, Miami has allowed 8.47 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.69 batters per nine. They are 13th in the league in team earned run average at 4.09. The Marlins pitchers have collectively given up 672 base hits and 324 earned runs. They have allowed 75 home runs this season and they allow 0.9 homers per nine innings as a staff. Miami as a pitching staff has walked 298 batters and struck out 689. They walk 3.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.36 and their FIP as a unit is 3.99.
As a team, Miami is batting .272, good for 5th in the league while putting together a .288 average away from home. The Marlins hold a .409 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .331 which is good for 9th in baseball. They rank 5th in baseball with 9.47 hits per game. Marcell Ozuna comes into this game hitting .321 and his on-base percentage is at .372. He has 94 hits this season along with 50 runs scored and 47 runs batted in. He's struck out 64 times and has walked 24 times. Martin Prado is hitting .319 and he has an on-base percentage of .364. He has totaled 96 hits so far while scoring 35 runs and he's driven in 27. He has walked 22 times and has struck out 37 times. The Marlins have 758 hits, including 131 doubles and 70 home runs. They've stolen 23 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 11 times. Miami has walked 232 times this season and they've struck out 608 times as a unit. They've left 613 men on base and have a team OPS of .740. They score 4.22 runs per contest and have scored a total of 338 runs so far this year.
Atlanta comes into this matchup with a 12-33 home record and a 27-53 overall mark. With an earned run average of 4.14, Matt Wisler has a 3-7 record and a 1.22 WHIP. He has 70 strikeouts over the 95.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 89 hits. He has allowed 8.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.46. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.25 and they have given up 267 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .250 against the Braves bullpen while being struck out 283 times and walking 138 times this season. As a team, Atlanta has allowed 8.54 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.8 batters per nine. They are 16th in the league in team earned run average at 4.35. The Braves pitchers as a team have surrendered 692 base knocks and 352 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 84 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Atlanta as a staff has walked 278 hitters and struck out 632. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.33 while their FIP as a staff is 4.20.
As a team, they are batting .238, good for 27th in the league while putting together a .239 average at home. The Braves hold a .341 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .302 which is good for 28th in baseball. They rank 25th in baseball with 8.15 hits per contest. Nick Markakis comes into this matchup batting .257 and he has an OBP of .337. He has 77 hits this year along with 31 runs scored and 42 RBI. He's struck out 50 times and has walked on 37 occasions. Freddie Freeman is hitting .282 and he has an OBP of .366. He has collected 85 hits so far while he's scored 37 runs and drove in 29. He has earned a walk 35 times and has punched out 89 times. The Braves as a unit have 652 base hits, including 129 doubles and 41 homers. They have 44 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 20 times. Atlanta as a team has walked 226 times this year and they have struck out 617 times. They've had 574 men left on base and have an OPS of .644. They score 3.36 runs per game and have totaled 269 runs so far this season.
Miami Marlins Betting Trends
The Miami Marlins are 43-36-1 against the over/under so far this season
The Miami Marlins are 40-40-0 against the run line so far this season
Atlanta Braves Betting Trends
The Atlanta Braves are 36-38-6 against the over/under so far this season
The Atlanta Braves are 35-45-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
07/01/16 P Bryan Morris Back 60-day DL (5/25)
05/15/16 P Kendry Flores Shoulder 15-day DL (5/15)
04/29/16 2B Dee Gordon Suspension expected to miss 80 games
04/04/16 P Raudel Lazo Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/03/16 P Carter Capps Arm 60-day DL; out for season
07/02/16 CF Ender Inciarte Groin is downgraded to not expected to be in the starting lineup Saturday vs. Miami Marlins
07/01/16 3B Gordon Beckham Hamstring 15-day DL (6/2); expected to be activated Monday vs. Philadelphia Phillies
06/28/16 P John Gant Oblique 15-day DL (6/27)
06/20/16 LF Mallex Smith Thumb 15-day DL (6/20)
06/08/16 P Williams Perez Rotator Cuff 15-day DL (6/7)
05/27/16 2B Hector Olivera Suspension 82 game suspension, eligible to return (8/1)
04/12/16 P Daniel Winkler Elbow 15-day DL (4/11)
04/04/16 P Andrew McKirahan Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Paco Rodriguez Elbow out for season
04/04/16 P Shae Simmons Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
Guy's Pick: Take the Marlins
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