Tuesday, September 13, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Jake Esch vs. Matt Wisler
The Miami Marlins head to Turner Field on Tuesday to take on the Atlanta Braves. The probable pitchers are Jake Esch for the Marlins and Matt Wisler for the Braves. The opening line for this game has Miami at +115 and Atlanta at -125. The over/under is 9. The Marlins have a 71-69-3 over/under mark and a 70-73-0 run line record, meaning they cover 49% of the time. The Braves are 73-70-0 against the run line and have a 72-63-8 over/under record. They cover the spread 51% of the time.
The Marlins head into this game with a 71-72 record, and they are 35-37 on the road. Starting pitcher Jake Esch has a 0-1 record with an ERA of 4.82 and a WHIP of 1.61. He has 8 strikeouts during his 9.1 innings pitched and he has given up 10 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 9.6 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 6.14. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 3.63 and they have allowed 408 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .229 against the pen while they've been struck out 482 times and walked 226 times this year. As a unit, Miami has given up 8.38 base hits per nine innings while striking out 8.65 hitters per nine. They are 7th in the Majors in team earned run average at 3.89. The Marlins pitchers have collectively given up 1,186 base hits and 551 earned runs. They have allowed 130 home runs this season and they allow 0.9 homers per nine innings as a staff. Miami as a pitching staff has walked 524 batters and struck out 1,224. They walk 3.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.34 and their FIP as a unit is 3.91.
As a team, Miami is hitting .266, good for 4th in the league while putting together a .276 average on the road. The Marlins have a .398 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .324 which is good for 15th in the league. They rank 3rd in baseball with 9.17 hits per contest. Martin Prado comes into this game hitting .310 and his on-base percentage is at .362. He has 168 hits this season along with 66 runs scored and 66 runs batted in. He's struck out 64 times and has walked 45 times. Christian Yelich is hitting .303 and he has an on-base percentage of .377. He has totaled 156 hits so far while scoring 71 runs and he's driven in 88. He has walked 60 times and has struck out 124 times. The Marlins have 1,312 hits, including 238 doubles and 114 home runs. They've stolen 53 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 22 times. Miami has walked 394 times this season and they've struck out 1,082 times as a unit. They've left 1,044 men on base and have a team OPS of .721. They score 4.07 runs per contest and have scored a total of 582 runs so far this year.
Atlanta comes into this game with a 23-46 home mark and a 55-88 overall record. With an ERA of 4.76, Matt Wisler has a 6-11 record and a 1.29 WHIP. He has 105 strikeouts over the 136 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 133 hits. He has allowed 8.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.81. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.16 and they have given up 486 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .250 against the Braves bullpen while being struck out 488 times and walking 232 times this season. As a team, Atlanta has allowed 8.81 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.66 batters per nine. They are 25th in the league in team earned run average at 4.56. The Braves pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,261 base knocks and 653 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 162 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Atlanta as a staff has walked 493 hitters and struck out 1,097. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.36 while their FIP as a staff is 4.36.
As a team, they are batting .250, good for 21st in the league while putting together a .253 average at home. The Braves hold a .377 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .316 which is good for 22nd in baseball. They rank 19th in baseball with 8.59 hits per contest. Freddie Freeman comes into this matchup batting .292 and he has an OBP of .391. He has 155 hits this year along with 87 runs scored and 74 RBI. He's struck out 151 times and has walked on 79 occasions. Nick Markakis is hitting .268 and he has an OBP of .341. He has collected 145 hits so far while he's scored 57 runs and drove in 79. He has earned a walk 63 times and has punched out 93 times. The Braves as a unit have 1,229 base hits, including 263 doubles and 104 homers. They have 64 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 32 times. Atlanta as a team has walked 445 times this year and they have struck out 1,082 times. They've had 1,033 men left on base and have an OPS of .693. They score 3.85 runs per game and have totaled 551 runs so far this season.
Miami Marlins Betting Trends
The Miami Marlins are 71-69-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Miami Marlins are 70-73-0 against the run line so far this season
Atlanta Braves Betting Trends
The Atlanta Braves are 72-63-8 against the over/under so far this season
The Atlanta Braves are 73-70-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
08/14/16 P Adam Conley Finger 15-day DL (8/14)
07/25/16 P Wei-Yin Chen Elbow 15-day DL (7/21)
07/01/16 P Bryan Morris Back 60-day DL (5/25)
05/15/16 P Kendry Flores Shoulder 15-day DL (5/15)
04/04/16 P Raudel Lazo Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
09/11/16 C A.J. Pierzynski Hamstring 15-day DL (9/11)
09/05/16 P Matt Wisler Abdominal "?" for next scheduled start
09/04/16 P Aaron Blair Knee 15-day DL (8/29)
09/02/16 P Eric O'Flaherty Elbow 60-day DL (8/18)
08/31/16 P Arodys Vizcaino Shoulder 15-day DL (8/29)
08/26/16 P Rob Whalen Shoulder 15-day DL (8/25)
08/01/16 P Matt Marksberry Shoulder 15-day DL (7/31)
06/20/16 LF Mallex Smith Thumb 60-day DL (6/20)
04/12/16 P Daniel Winkler Elbow 60-day DL (4/11)
04/04/16 P Andrew McKirahan Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Paco Rodriguez Elbow out for season
Josh's Pick: Take the Braves
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