Wednesday, September 14, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Jose Fernandez vs. Julio Teheran
The Miami Marlins head to Turner Field on Wednesday to take on the Atlanta Braves. The probable pitchers are Jose Fernandez for the Marlins and Julio Teheran for the Braves. The opening line for this game has Miami at -131 and Atlanta at +121. The over/under is 7. The Marlins have a 72-69-3 over/under mark and a 70-74-0 run line record, meaning they cover 49% of the time. The Braves are 74-70-0 against the run line and have a 73-63-8 over/under record. They cover the spread 51% of the time.
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The Marlins head into this game with a 71-73 record, and they are 35-38 on the road. Starting pitcher Jose Fernandez has a 14-8 record with an ERA of 2.90 and a WHIP of 1.15. He has 238 strikeouts during his 167.1 innings pitched and he has given up 140 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 7.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.27. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 3.68 and they have allowed 419 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .231 against the pen while they've been struck out 487 times and walked 229 times this year. As a unit, Miami has given up 8.45 base hits per nine innings while striking out 8.63 hitters per nine. They are 8th in the Majors in team earned run average at 3.95. The Marlins pitchers have collectively given up 1,203 base hits and 563 earned runs. They have allowed 131 home runs this season and they allow 0.9 homers per nine innings as a staff. Miami as a pitching staff has walked 529 batters and struck out 1,229. They walk 3.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.35 and their FIP as a unit is 3.93.
As a team, Miami is hitting .267, good for 3rd in the league while putting together a .278 average on the road. The Marlins have a .398 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .325 which is good for 13th in the league. They rank 3rd in baseball with 9.23 hits per contest. Martin Prado comes into this game hitting .311 and his on-base percentage is at .364. He has 170 hits this season along with 66 runs scored and 68 runs batted in. He's struck out 64 times and has walked 46 times. Christian Yelich is hitting .304 and he has an on-base percentage of .378. He has totaled 158 hits so far while scoring 71 runs and he's driven in 89. He has walked 60 times and has struck out 126 times. The Marlins have 1,329 hits, including 239 doubles and 114 home runs. They've stolen 53 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 22 times. Miami has walked 396 times this season and they've struck out 1,090 times as a unit. They've left 1,056 men on base and have a team OPS of .723. They score 4.09 runs per contest and have scored a total of 589 runs so far this year.
Atlanta comes into this game with a 24-46 home mark and a 56-88 overall record. With an ERA of 3.01, Julio Teheran has a 5-9 record and a 1.03 WHIP. He has 146 strikeouts over the 164.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 133 hits. He has allowed 7.3 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.73. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.15 and they have given up 492 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .251 against the Braves bullpen while being struck out 490 times and walking 234 times this season. As a team, Atlanta has allowed 8.86 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.66 batters per nine. They are 25th in the league in team earned run average at 4.58. The Braves pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,278 base knocks and 660 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 162 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Atlanta as a staff has walked 495 hitters and struck out 1,105. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.37 while their FIP as a staff is 4.35.
As a team, they are batting .252, good for 21st in the league while putting together a .256 average at home. The Braves hold a .379 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .318 which is good for 22nd in baseball. They rank 18th in baseball with 8.65 hits per contest. Freddie Freeman comes into this matchup batting .296 and he has an OBP of .395. He has 158 hits this year along with 90 runs scored and 75 RBI. He's struck out 151 times and has walked on 80 occasions. Nick Markakis is hitting .270 and he has an OBP of .345. He has collected 147 hits so far while he's scored 60 runs and drove in 81. He has earned a walk 65 times and has punched out 94 times. The Braves as a unit have 1,246 base hits, including 268 doubles and 105 homers. They have 64 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 32 times. Atlanta as a team has walked 450 times this year and they have struck out 1,087 times. They've had 1,043 men left on base and have an OPS of .697. They score 3.91 runs per game and have totaled 563 runs so far this season.
Miami Marlins Betting Trends
The Miami Marlins are 72-69-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Miami Marlins are 70-74-0 against the run line so far this season
Atlanta Braves Betting Trends
The Atlanta Braves are 73-63-8 against the over/under so far this season
The Atlanta Braves are 74-70-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
09/12/16 CF Marcell Ozuna Knee injured last game, "?" Tuesday vs. Atlanta Braves
08/14/16 P Adam Conley Finger 15-day DL (8/14)
07/25/16 P Wei-Yin Chen Elbow 15-day DL (7/21)
07/01/16 P Bryan Morris Back 60-day DL (5/25)
05/15/16 P Kendry Flores Shoulder 15-day DL (5/15)
04/04/16 P Raudel Lazo Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
09/13/16 P Mike Foltynewicz Calf "?" for next start
09/13/16 SS Dansby Swanson Groin "?" Tuesday vs. Miami Marlins
09/13/16 P Matt Wisler Abdominal is upgraded to probable Tuesday vs. Miami Marlins
09/11/16 C A.J. Pierzynski Hamstring 15-day DL (9/11)
09/04/16 P Aaron Blair Knee 15-day DL (8/29)
09/02/16 P Eric O'Flaherty Elbow 60-day DL (8/18)
08/31/16 P Arodys Vizcaino Shoulder 15-day DL (8/29)
08/26/16 P Rob Whalen Shoulder 15-day DL (8/25)
08/01/16 P Matt Marksberry Shoulder 15-day DL (7/31)
06/20/16 LF Mallex Smith Thumb 60-day DL (6/20)
04/12/16 P Daniel Winkler Elbow 60-day DL (4/11)
04/04/16 P Andrew McKirahan Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Paco Rodriguez Elbow out for season
Tony's Pick: Take the Braves
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