Wednesday, August 3, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Tom Koehler vs. John Lackey
The Miami Marlins visit Wrigley Field on Wednesday to play the Chicago Cubs. The probable starters are Tom Koehler for the Marlins and John Lackey for the Cubs. The opening line for this matchup has Miami at +180 and Chicago at -190. The over/under was set at 8. The Marlins have a 55-49-2 over/under record and a 54-52-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 51% of the time. The Cubs are 54-51-0 against the run line and have a 49-50-6 over/under record. They cover the spread 51% of the time.
The Marlins head into this matchup with a 57-49 record, including 28-25 on the road. Starting pitcher Tom Koehler has a 8-8 record with an earned run average of 4.18 and a WHIP of 1.47. He has 89 strikeouts over his 114 innings pitched and he has given up 113 hits so far this season. He has allowed 8.9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.27. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.59 and they have given up 294 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .224 against the bullpen while being struck out 370 times and walking 156 times this season. As a team, Miami has allowed 8.27 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.72 batters per nine. They are 10th in the league in team earned run average at 3.91. The Marlins pitchers have collectively given up 868 base hits and 410 earned runs. They have allowed 101 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Miami as a pitching staff has walked 371 batters and struck out 915. They walk 3.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.31 and their FIP as a unit is 3.92.
As a team, Miami is batting .272, good for 2nd in the league while putting together a .284 average away from home. The Marlins hold a .410 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .331 which is good for 6th in baseball. They rank 2nd in baseball with 9.42 hits per game. Martin Prado comes into this game hitting .323 and his on-base percentage is at .374. He has 128 hits this season along with 47 runs scored and 43 runs batted in. He's struck out 46 times and has walked 32 times. Marcell Ozuna is hitting .298 and he has an on-base percentage of .352. He has totaled 115 hits so far while scoring 60 runs and he's driven in 58. He has walked 32 times and has struck out 82 times. The Marlins have 998 hits, including 186 doubles and 88 home runs. They've stolen 34 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 15 times. Miami has walked 299 times this season and they've struck out 798 times as a unit. They've left 784 men on base and have a team OPS of .740. They score 4.25 runs per contest and have scored a total of 451 runs so far this year.
Chicago comes into this matchup with a 35-17 home record and a 64-41 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.69, John Lackey has a 8-7 record and a 1.09 WHIP. He has 137 strikeouts over the 136.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 108 hits. He has allowed 7.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.8. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.53 and they have given up 234 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .208 against the Cubs bullpen while being struck out 315 times and walking 129 times this season. As a team, Chicago has allowed 7.01 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.83 batters per nine. They are 1st in the league in team earned run average at 3.19. The Cubs pitchers as a team have surrendered 739 base knocks and 339 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 106 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Chicago as a staff has walked 328 hitters and struck out 928. They give up a walk 3.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.13 while their FIP as a staff is 3.80.
As a team, they are batting .254, good for 15th in the league while putting together a .242 average at home. The Cubs hold a .426 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .346 which is good for 2nd in baseball. They rank 16th in baseball with 8.61 hits per contest. Kris Bryant comes into this matchup batting .282 and he has an OBP of .379. He has 112 hits this year along with 82 runs scored and 68 RBI. He's struck out 107 times and has walked on 51 occasions. Anthony Rizzo is hitting .289 and he has an OBP of .396. He has collected 108 hits so far while he's scored 64 runs and drove in 79. He has earned a walk 54 times and has punched out 73 times. The Cubs as a unit have 904 base hits, including 193 doubles and 130 homers. They have 46 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 24 times. Chicago as a team has walked 444 times this year and they have struck out 895 times. They've had 794 men left on base and have an OPS of .772. They score 5.09 runs per game and have totaled 534 runs so far this season.
Miami Marlins Betting Trends
The Miami Marlins are 55-49-2 against the over/under so far this season
The Miami Marlins are 54-52-0 against the run line so far this season
Chicago Cubs Betting Trends
The Chicago Cubs are 49-50-6 against the over/under so far this season
The Chicago Cubs are 54-51-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
07/25/16 P Wei-Yin Chen Elbow 15-day DL (7/21)
07/06/16 1B Justin Bour Ankle 15-day DL (7/3)
07/01/16 P Bryan Morris Back 60-day DL (5/25)
05/15/16 P Kendry Flores Shoulder 15-day DL (5/15)
04/04/16 P Raudel Lazo Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
07/16/16 P Trevor Cahill Knee 15-day DL (7/9)
06/07/16 LF Jorge Soler Hamstring 15-day DL (6/6)
04/08/16 C Kyle Schwarber Knee 60-day DL (4/8); out for season
04/04/16 P Aaron Brooks Hip 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 3B Christian Villanueva Fibula 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Dallas Beeler Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 P Zac Rosscup Shoulder 60-day DL (2/25)
Tony's Pick: Take the Marlins
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