Thursday, August 18, 2016
Great American Ball Park
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Probable Pitchers: Jose Fernandez vs. Dan Straily
The Miami Marlins head to Great American Ball Park on Thursday to take on the Cincinnati Reds. The probable pitchers are Jose Fernandez for the Marlins and Dan Straily for the Reds. The opening line for this game has Miami at -163 and Cincinnati at +153. The over/under is 7.5. The Marlins have a 63-54-2 over/under mark and a 60-59-0 run line record, meaning they cover 50% of the time. The Reds are 63-55-0 against the run line and have a 64-44-10 over/under record. They cover the spread 53% of the time.
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The Marlins head into this game with a 62-57 record, and they are 31-29 on the road. Starting pitcher Jose Fernandez has a 12-6 record with an ERA of 2.81 and a WHIP of 1.09. He has 198 strikeouts during his 137.2 innings pitched and he has given up 109 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 7.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.21. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 3.72 and they have allowed 349 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .232 against the pen while they've been struck out 418 times and walked 188 times this year. As a unit, Miami has given up 8.45 base hits per nine innings while striking out 8.74 hitters per nine. They are 10th in the Majors in team earned run average at 4.00. The Marlins pitchers have collectively given up 998 base hits and 473 earned runs. They have allowed 110 home runs this season and they allow 0.9 homers per nine innings as a staff. Miami as a pitching staff has walked 434 batters and struck out 1,033. They walk 3.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.35 and their FIP as a unit is 3.91.
As a team, Miami is hitting .271, good for 3rd in the league while putting together a .284 average on the road. The Marlins have a .409 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .330 which is good for 6th in the league. They rank 3rd in baseball with 9.41 hits per contest. Martin Prado comes into this game hitting .326 and his on-base percentage is at .378. He has 146 hits this season along with 57 runs scored and 55 runs batted in. He's struck out 51 times and has walked 37 times. Christian Yelich is hitting .316 and he has an on-base percentage of .386. He has totaled 135 hits so far while scoring 62 runs and he's driven in 69. He has walked 47 times and has struck out 100 times. The Marlins have 1,120 hits, including 208 doubles and 99 home runs. They've stolen 45 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 17 times. Miami has walked 340 times this season and they've struck out 902 times as a unit. They've left 878 men on base and have a team OPS of .739. They score 4.29 runs per contest and have scored a total of 510 runs so far this year.
Cincinnati comes into this game with a 27-30 home mark and a 49-69 overall record. With an ERA of 3.75, Dan Straily has a 8-6 record and a 1.14 WHIP. He has 111 strikeouts over the 139.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 108 hits. He has allowed 7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.57. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 5.04 and they have given up 412 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .249 against the Reds bullpen while being struck out 393 times and walking 221 times this season. As a team, Cincinnati has allowed 9.15 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.66 batters per nine. They are 29th in the league in team earned run average at 5.03. The Reds pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,071 base knocks and 589 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 192 home runs this year and they give up 1.6 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Cincinnati as a staff has walked 477 hitters and struck out 897. They give up a walk 4.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.47 while their FIP as a staff is 5.32.
As a team, they are batting .246, good for 25th in the league while putting together a .247 average at home. The Reds hold a .402 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .307 which is good for 26th in baseball. They rank 25th in baseball with 8.29 hits per contest. Joey Votto comes into this matchup batting .303 and he has an OBP of .427. He has 120 hits this year along with 73 runs scored and 63 RBI. He's struck out 105 times and has walked on 85 occasions. Zack Cozart is hitting .265 and he has an OBP of .314. He has collected 109 hits so far while he's scored 61 runs and drove in 46. He has earned a walk 29 times and has punched out 71 times. The Reds as a unit have 977 base hits, including 196 doubles and 128 homers. They have 106 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 36 times. Cincinnati as a team has walked 328 times this year and they have struck out 971 times. They've had 697 men left on base and have an OPS of .708. They score 4.41 runs per game and have totaled 520 runs so far this season.
Miami Marlins Betting Trends
The Miami Marlins are 63-54-2 against the over/under so far this season
The Miami Marlins are 60-59-0 against the run line so far this season
Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends
The Cincinnati Reds are 64-44-10 against the over/under so far this season
The Cincinnati Reds are 63-55-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
08/14/16 P Adam Conley Finger 15-day DL (8/14)
08/14/16 RF Giancarlo Stanton Groin 15-day DL (8/14); out for season
08/09/16 P A.J. Ramos Finger 15-day DL (8/6)
07/25/16 P Wei-Yin Chen Elbow 15-day DL (7/21)
07/06/16 1B Justin Bour Ankle 15-day DL (7/3)
07/01/16 P Bryan Morris Back 60-day DL (5/25)
05/15/16 P Kendry Flores Shoulder 15-day DL (5/15)
04/04/16 P Raudel Lazo Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
08/16/16 CF Billy Hamilton Knee "?" Wednesday vs. Miami Marlins
08/16/16 2B Brandon Phillips Knee "?" Wednesday vs. Miami Marlins
08/04/16 P A.J. Morris Shoulder 15-day DL (6/16)
06/23/16 P Alfredo Simon Trapezius 15-day DL (6/22)
06/01/16 P Caleb Cotham Shoulder 15-day DL (5/29)
05/02/16 C Devin Mesoraco Shoulder 60-day DL (5/1); out for season
04/10/16 CF Yorman Rodriguez Hamstring 60-day DL (3/27)
Tony's Pick: Take the Reds
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