Sunday, September 4, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Tom Koehler vs. Danny Salazar
The Miami Marlins head to Progressive Field on Sunday to take on the Cleveland Indians. The probable pitchers are Tom Koehler for the Marlins and Danny Salazar for the Indians. The opening line for this game has Miami at +220 and Cleveland at -240. The over/under is 8.5. The Marlins have a 69-64-2 over/under mark and a 66-69-0 run line record, meaning they cover 49% of the time. The Indians are 65-68-0 against the run line and have a 65-58-10 over/under record. They cover the spread 49% of the time.
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The Marlins head into this game with a 68-67 record, and they are 35-35 on the road. Starting pitcher Tom Koehler has a 9-10 record with an ERA of 4.02 and a WHIP of 1.43. He has 121 strikeouts during his 150 innings pitched and he has given up 151 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 9.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.22. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 3.61 and they have allowed 387 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .228 against the pen while they've been struck out 464 times and walked 209 times this year. As a unit, Miami has given up 8.4 base hits per nine innings while striking out 8.63 hitters per nine. They are 8th in the Majors in team earned run average at 3.92. The Marlins pitchers have collectively given up 1,123 base hits and 524 earned runs. They have allowed 123 home runs this season and they allow 0.9 homers per nine innings as a staff. Miami as a pitching staff has walked 493 batters and struck out 1,153. They walk 3.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.34 and their FIP as a unit is 3.93.
As a team, Miami is hitting .267, good for 3rd in the league while putting together a .277 average on the road. The Marlins have a .401 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .327 which is good for 9th in the league. They rank 3rd in baseball with 9.27 hits per contest. Martin Prado comes into this game hitting .318 and his on-base percentage is at .373. He has 163 hits this season along with 62 runs scored and 61 runs batted in. He's struck out 57 times and has walked 44 times. Christian Yelich is hitting .307 and he has an on-base percentage of .383. He has totaled 149 hits so far while scoring 70 runs and he's driven in 83. He has walked 58 times and has struck out 117 times. The Marlins have 1,251 hits, including 227 doubles and 111 home runs. They've stolen 50 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 18 times. Miami has walked 382 times this season and they've struck out 1,019 times as a unit. They've left 1,001 men on base and have a team OPS of .728. They score 4.12 runs per contest and have scored a total of 556 runs so far this year.
Cleveland comes into this game with a 43-23 home mark and a 77-56 overall record. With an ERA of 3.88, Danny Salazar has a 11-6 record and a 1.32 WHIP. He has 146 strikeouts over the 127.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 110 hits. He has allowed 7.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.72. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.40 and they have given up 350 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .231 against the Indians bullpen while being struck out 394 times and walking 155 times this season. As a team, Cleveland has allowed 8.26 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.65 batters per nine. They are 5th in the league in team earned run average at 3.80. The Indians pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,098 base knocks and 505 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 156 home runs this year and they give up 1.2 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Cleveland as a staff has walked 387 hitters and struck out 1,151. They give up a walk 2.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.24 while their FIP as a staff is 3.95.
As a team, they are batting .265, good for 5th in the league while putting together a .293 average at home. The Indians hold a .438 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .328 which is good for 8th in baseball. They rank 6th in baseball with 9.09 hits per contest. Francisco Lindor comes into this matchup batting .314 and he has an OBP of .357. He has 163 hits this year along with 85 runs scored and 65 RBI. He's struck out 76 times and has walked on 38 occasions. Jason Kipnis is hitting .283 and he has an OBP of .345. He has collected 144 hits so far while he's scored 78 runs and drove in 72. He has earned a walk 49 times and has punched out 119 times. The Indians as a unit have 1,209 base hits, including 248 doubles and 165 homers. They have 106 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 27 times. Cleveland as a team has walked 416 times this year and they have struck out 1,045 times. They've had 870 men left on base and have an OPS of .765. They score 4.9 runs per game and have totaled 652 runs so far this season.
Miami Marlins Betting Trends
The Miami Marlins are 69-64-2 against the over/under so far this season
The Miami Marlins are 66-69-0 against the run line so far this season
Cleveland Indians Betting Trends
The Cleveland Indians are 65-58-10 against the over/under so far this season
The Cleveland Indians are 65-68-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
09/03/16 2B Derek Dietrich Knee 15-day DL (8/19); expected to be activated Saturday vs. Cleveland Indians
09/03/16 CF Marcell Ozuna Wrist is downgraded to not expected to be in the starting lineup Saturday vs. Cleveland Indians
08/31/16 P David Phelps Oblique 15-day DL (8/30)
08/23/16 1B Justin Bour Ankle 60-day DL (7/3)
08/14/16 P Adam Conley Finger 15-day DL (8/14)
08/14/16 RF Giancarlo Stanton Groin 15-day DL (8/14)
07/25/16 P Wei-Yin Chen Elbow 15-day DL (7/21)
07/01/16 P Bryan Morris Back 60-day DL (5/25)
05/15/16 P Kendry Flores Shoulder 15-day DL (5/15)
04/04/16 P Raudel Lazo Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
08/31/16 C Yan Gomes Shoulder 60-day DL (7/18)
08/17/16 P Josh Tomlin Personal expected to miss 3-5 days
07/18/16 P Tommy Hunter Back 15-day DL (7/10)
07/07/16 P Zach McAllister Hip 15-day DL (7/6)
06/01/16 LF Marlon Byrd Suspension out for season
05/14/16 LF Michael Brantley Shoulder 60-day DL (5/10); out for season
Guy's Pick: Take the Indians
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