Sunday, August 7, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Adam Conley vs. Jon Gray
The Miami Marlins head to Coors Field on Sunday to take on the Colorado Rockies. The probable pitchers are Adam Conley for the Marlins and Jon Gray for the Rockies. The opening line for this game has Miami at +115 and Colorado at -125. The over/under is 11.5. The Marlins have a 56-51-2 over/under mark and a 56-53-0 run line record, meaning they cover 51% of the time. The Rockies are 59-50-0 against the run line and have a 49-57-3 over/under record. They cover the spread 54% of the time.
The Marlins head into this game with a 58-51 record, and they are 29-27 on the road. Starting pitcher Adam Conley has a 7-6 record with an ERA of 3.41 and a WHIP of 1.35. He has 116 strikeouts during his 121.1 innings pitched and he has given up 111 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 8.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.87. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 3.67 and they have allowed 306 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .226 against the pen while they've been struck out 379 times and walked 164 times this year. As a unit, Miami has given up 8.32 base hits per nine innings while striking out 8.75 hitters per nine. They are 9th in the Majors in team earned run average at 3.90. The Marlins pitchers have collectively given up 897 base hits and 421 earned runs. They have allowed 101 home runs this season and they allow 0.9 homers per nine innings as a staff. Miami as a pitching staff has walked 383 batters and struck out 943. They walk 3.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.32 and their FIP as a unit is 3.88.
As a team, Miami is hitting .272, good for 2nd in the league while putting together a .283 average on the road. The Marlins have a .408 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .330 which is good for 6th in the league. They rank 2nd in baseball with 9.41 hits per contest. Martin Prado comes into this game hitting .319 and his on-base percentage is at .374. He has 130 hits this season along with 47 runs scored and 45 runs batted in. He's struck out 49 times and has walked 35 times. Marcell Ozuna is hitting .295 and he has an on-base percentage of .349. He has totaled 117 hits so far while scoring 60 runs and he's driven in 58. He has walked 33 times and has struck out 85 times. The Marlins have 1,026 hits, including 189 doubles and 90 home runs. They've stolen 38 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 15 times. Miami has walked 307 times this season and they've struck out 822 times as a unit. They've left 808 men on base and have a team OPS of .738. They score 4.24 runs per contest and have scored a total of 462 runs so far this year.
Colorado comes into this game with a 27-26 home mark and a 54-55 overall record. With an ERA of 3.77, Jon Gray has a 8-4 record and a 1.13 WHIP. He has 120 strikeouts over the 114.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 93 hits. He has allowed 7.3 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.71. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.78 and they have given up 361 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .262 against the Rockies bullpen while being struck out 300 times and walking 121 times this season. As a team, Colorado has allowed 9.45 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.35 batters per nine. They are 27th in the league in team earned run average at 4.74. The Rockies pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,010 base knocks and 506 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 111 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Colorado as a staff has walked 346 hitters and struck out 786. They give up a walk 3.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.3 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.41 while their FIP as a staff is 4.20.
As a team, they are batting .270, good for 3rd in the league while putting together a .302 average at home. The Rockies hold a .451 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .335 which is good for 3rd in baseball. They rank 3rd in baseball with 9.28 hits per contest. Nolan Arenado comes into this matchup batting .281 and he has an OBP of .350. He has 117 hits this year along with 77 runs scored and 82 RBI. He's struck out 63 times and has walked on 44 occasions. Carlos Gonzalez is hitting .320 and he has an OBP of .370. He has collected 131 hits so far while he's scored 71 runs and drove in 75. He has earned a walk 33 times and has punched out 94 times. The Rockies as a unit have 1,013 base hits, including 215 doubles and 136 homers. They have 48 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 28 times. Colorado as a team has walked 346 times this year and they have struck out 887 times. They've had 732 men left on base and have an OPS of .786. They score 5.14 runs per game and have totaled 560 runs so far this season.
Miami Marlins Betting Trends
The Miami Marlins are 56-51-2 against the over/under so far this season
The Miami Marlins are 56-53-0 against the run line so far this season
Colorado Rockies Betting Trends
The Colorado Rockies are 49-57-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Colorado Rockies are 59-50-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
07/25/16 P Wei-Yin Chen Elbow 15-day DL (7/21)
07/06/16 1B Justin Bour Ankle 15-day DL (7/3)
07/01/16 P Bryan Morris Back 60-day DL (5/25)
05/15/16 P Kendry Flores Shoulder 15-day DL (5/15)
04/04/16 P Raudel Lazo Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
08/02/16 SS Trevor Story Thumb 15-day DL (8/2), out for season
07/27/16 P Jason Motte Rotator Cuff 15-day DL (7/26)
07/23/16 P Chad Qualls Illness 15-day DL (7/16)
07/06/16 P Justin Miller Oblique 15-day DL (7/3)
06/16/16 LF Gerardo Parra Ankle 15-day DL (6/15)
04/04/16 P Jairo Diaz Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Guy's Pick: Take the Rockies
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