Tuesday, June 28, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Adam Conley vs. Mike Pelfrey
The Miami Marlins head to Comerica Park on Tuesday to take on the Detroit Tigers. The probable pitchers are Adam Conley for the Marlins and Mike Pelfrey for the Tigers. The opening line for this game has Miami at -110 and Detroit at +100. The over/under is 9.5. The Marlins have a 39-36-1 over/under mark and a 39-37-0 run line record, meaning they cover 51% of the time. The Tigers are 42-34-0 against the run line and have a 43-29-4 over/under record. They cover the spread 55% of the time.
The Marlins head into this game with a 41-35 record, and they are 20-16 on the road. Starting pitcher Adam Conley has a 4-4 record with an ERA of 3.56 and a WHIP of 1.33. He has 76 strikeouts during his 83.1 innings pitched and he has given up 76 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 8.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.76. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 3.66 and they have allowed 212 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .231 against the pen while they've been struck out 257 times and walked 117 times this year. As a unit, Miami has given up 8.27 base hits per nine innings while striking out 8.71 hitters per nine. They are 9th in the Majors in team earned run average at 3.92. The Marlins pitchers have collectively given up 623 base hits and 295 earned runs. They have allowed 67 home runs this season and they allow 0.9 homers per nine innings as a staff. Miami as a pitching staff has walked 287 batters and struck out 656. They walk 3.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.34 and their FIP as a unit is 3.90.
As a team, Miami is hitting .269, good for 5th in the league while putting together a .283 average on the road. The Marlins have a .407 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .328 which is good for 10th in the league. They rank 6th in baseball with 9.26 hits per contest. Marcell Ozuna comes into this game hitting .320 and his on-base percentage is at .375. He has 87 hits this season along with 47 runs scored and 44 runs batted in. He's struck out 59 times and has walked 24 times. Martin Prado is hitting .312 and he has an on-base percentage of .359. He has totaled 88 hits so far while scoring 33 runs and he's driven in 26. He has walked 21 times and has struck out 37 times. The Marlins have 704 hits, including 126 doubles and 66 home runs. They've stolen 22 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 11 times. Miami has walked 218 times this season and they've struck out 574 times as a unit. They've left 564 men on base and have a team OPS of .734. They score 4.18 runs per contest and have scored a total of 318 runs so far this year.
Detroit comes into this game with a 21-16 home mark and a 38-38 overall record. With an ERA of 4.91, Mike Pelfrey has a 1-7 record and a 1.70 WHIP. He has 40 strikeouts over the 80.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 106 hits. He has allowed 11.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.34. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.42 and they have given up 245 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .266 against the Tigers bullpen while being struck out 198 times and walking 80 times this season. As a team, Detroit has allowed 9.28 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.26 batters per nine. They are 25th in the league in team earned run average at 4.60. The Tigers pitchers as a team have surrendered 698 base knocks and 346 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 87 home runs this year and they give up 1.2 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Detroit as a staff has walked 227 hitters and struck out 546. They give up a walk 3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.3 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.37 while their FIP as a staff is 4.29.
As a team, they are batting .268, good for 6th in the league while putting together a .278 average at home. The Tigers hold a .438 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .328 which is good for 9th in baseball. They rank 5th in baseball with 9.34 hits per contest. Nick Castellanos comes into this matchup batting .295 and he has an OBP of .331. He has 83 hits this year along with 37 runs scored and 40 RBI. He's struck out 74 times and has walked on 16 occasions. Ian Kinsler is hitting .293 and he has an OBP of .348. He has collected 90 hits so far while he's scored 59 runs and drove in 47. He has earned a walk 21 times and has punched out 55 times. The Tigers as a unit have 710 base hits, including 123 doubles and 98 homers. They have 31 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 12 times. Detroit as a team has walked 226 times this year and they have struck out 641 times. They've had 526 men left on base and have an OPS of .767. They score 4.7 runs per game and have totaled 357 runs so far this season.
Miami Marlins Betting Trends
The Miami Marlins are 39-36-1 against the over/under so far this season
The Miami Marlins are 39-37-0 against the run line so far this season
Detroit Tigers Betting Trends
The Detroit Tigers are 43-29-4 against the over/under so far this season
The Detroit Tigers are 42-34-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
06/26/16 CF Marcell Ozuna Wrist "?"
05/26/16 P Bryan Morris Back 15-day DL (5/25)
05/15/16 P Kendry Flores Shoulder 15-day DL (5/15)
04/29/16 2B Dee Gordon Suspension expected to miss 80 games
04/04/16 P Raudel Lazo Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/03/16 P Carter Capps Arm 60-day DL; out for season
06/26/16 LF Steven Moya Knee "?"
06/21/16 P Drew VerHagen Shoulder 60-day DL (5/23)
06/17/16 RF J.D. Martinez Elbow 15-day DL (6/17)
04/04/16 P Jeff Ferrell Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Angel Nesbitt Ankle 15-day DL (3/25)
Tony's Pick: Take the Tigers
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