Wednesday, April 27, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Justin Nicolino vs. Scott Kazmir
The Miami Marlins visit Dodger Stadium on Wednesday to play the Los Angeles Dodgers. The probable starters are Justin Nicolino for the Marlins and Scott Kazmir for the Dodgers. The opening line for this matchup has Miami at +155 and Los Angeles at -165. The over/under was set at 7.5. The Marlins have a 10-8-0 over/under record and a 8-10-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 44% of the time. The Dodgers are 9-11-0 against the run line and have a 6-13-1 over/under record. They cover the spread 45% of the time.
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The Marlins head into this matchup with a 7-11 record, including 5-4 on the road. Starting pitcher Justin Nicolino will be making his season debut for Miami. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.22 and they have given up 59 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .244 against the bullpen while being struck out 56 times and walking 27 times this season. As a team, Miami has allowed 8.83 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.33 batters per nine. They are 21st in the league in team earned run average at 4.36. The Marlins pitchers have collectively given up 158 base hits and 78 earned runs. They have allowed 15 home runs this season and they allow 0.8 homers per nine innings as a staff. Miami as a pitching staff has walked 72 batters and struck out 149. They walk 4 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.43 and their FIP as a unit is 3.89.
As a team, Miami is batting .266, good for 8th in the league while putting together a .283 average away from home. The Marlins hold a .390 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .326 which is good for 11th in baseball. They rank 5th in baseball with 9.17 hits per game. Dee Gordon comes into this game hitting .263 and his on-base percentage is at .280. He has 21 hits this season along with 10 runs scored and 4 runs batted in. He's struck out 14 times and has walked 2 times. Giancarlo Stanton is hitting .250 and he has an on-base percentage of .347. He has totaled 16 hits so far while scoring 9 runs and he's driven in 13. He has walked 9 times and has struck out 25 times. The Marlins have 165 hits, including 31 doubles and 12 home runs. They've stolen 9 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 5 times. Miami has walked 54 times this season and they've struck out 140 times as a unit. They've left 134 men on base and have a team OPS of .716. They score 3.67 runs per contest and have scored a total of 66 runs so far this year.
Los Angeles comes into this matchup with a 4-3 home record and a 12-8 overall mark. With an earned run average of 6.63, Scott Kazmir has a 1-1 record and a 1.42 WHIP. He has 15 strikeouts over the 19 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 21 hits. He has allowed 9.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 6.03. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.82 and they have given up 44 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .196 against the Dodgers bullpen while being struck out 54 times and walking 20 times this season. As a team, Los Angeles has allowed 7.61 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.11 batters per nine. They are 10th in the league in team earned run average at 3.51. The Dodgers pitchers as a team have surrendered 147 base knocks and 68 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 15 home runs this year and they give up 0.8 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Los Angeles as a staff has walked 55 hitters and struck out 150. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.13 while their FIP as a staff is 3.51.
As a team, they are batting .220, good for 30th in the league while putting together a .208 average at home. The Dodgers hold a .336 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .294 which is good for 27th in baseball. They rank 30th in baseball with 7.1 hits per contest. Adrian Gonzalez comes into this matchup batting .347 and he has an OBP of .412. He has 26 hits this year along with 9 runs scored and 15 RBI. He's struck out 16 times and has walked on 9 occasions. Joc Pederson is hitting .278 and he has an OBP of .391. He has collected 15 hits so far while he's scored 12 runs and drove in 10. He has earned a walk 9 times and has punched out 21 times. The Dodgers as a unit have 180 base hits, including 40 doubles and 15 homers. They have 7 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 4 times. Los Angeles as a team has walked 65 times this year and they have struck out 161 times. They've had 147 men left on base and have an OPS of .723. They score 4.8 runs per game and have totaled 96 runs so far this season.
Miami Marlins Betting Trends
The Miami Marlins are 10-8-0 against the over/under so far this season
The Miami Marlins are 8-10-0 against the run line so far this season
Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Trends
The Los Angeles Dodgers are 6-13-1 against the over/under so far this season
The Los Angeles Dodgers are 9-11-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
04/20/16 P Edwin Jackson Tricep 15-day DL (4/18)
04/04/16 P Raudel Lazo Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/03/16 P Carter Capps Arm 60-day DL; out for season
04/03/16 P Mike Dunn Forearm 15-day DL (3/25)
Los Angeles Dodgers
04/23/16 P Scott Kazmir Thumb "?" for next scheduled start
04/23/16 P Yimi Garcia Bicep 15-day DL (4/23)
04/11/16 LF Scott Van Slyke Back 15-day DL (4/10)
04/05/16 P Brandon McCarthy Elbow 60-day DL (2/19)
04/05/16 P Frankie Montas Ribs 60-day DL (2/20)
04/04/16 P Josh Ravin Forearm 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Michael Bolsinge Oblique 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Brett Anderson Back 60-day DL (3/25)
04/03/16 3B Alex Guerrero Knee 15-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Hyun-Jin Ryu Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 LF Andre Ethier Leg 60-day DL (3/25)
Tony's Pick: Take the Marlins
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