Friday, April 29, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Adam Conley vs. Zach Davies
The Miami Marlins visit Miller Park on Friday to play the Milwaukee Brewers. The probable starters are Adam Conley for the Marlins and Zach Davies for the Brewers. The opening line for this matchup has Miami at -108 and Milwaukee at -102. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Marlins have a 11-9-0 over/under record and a 10-10-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 50% of the time. The Brewers are 10-10-0 against the run line and have a 12-7-1 over/under record. They cover the spread 50% of the time.
The Marlins head into this matchup with a 9-11 record, including 7-4 on the road. Starting pitcher Adam Conley has a 0-1 record with an earned run average of 5.12 and a WHIP of 1.50. He has 21 strikeouts over his 19.1 innings pitched and he has given up 21 hits so far this season. He has allowed 9.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.2. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 2.96 and they have given up 62 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .237 against the bullpen while being struck out 62 times and walking 31 times this season. As a team, Miami has allowed 8.35 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.04 batters per nine. They are 17th in the league in team earned run average at 4.02. The Marlins pitchers have collectively given up 166 base hits and 80 earned runs. They have allowed 15 home runs this season and they allow 0.8 homers per nine innings as a staff. Miami as a pitching staff has walked 82 batters and struck out 160. They walk 4.1 men per 9 innings while striking out 8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.39 and their FIP as a unit is 3.89.
As a team, Miami is batting .266, good for 7th in the league while putting together a .280 average away from home. The Marlins hold a .387 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .324 which is good for 8th in baseball. They rank 6th in baseball with 9.2 hits per game. Dee Gordon comes into this game hitting .267 and his on-base percentage is at .283. He has 24 hits this season along with 12 runs scored and 4 runs batted in. He's struck out 17 times and has walked 2 times. Giancarlo Stanton is hitting .254 and he has an on-base percentage of .357. He has totaled 18 hits so far while scoring 10 runs and he's driven in 17. He has walked 11 times and has struck out 27 times. The Marlins have 184 hits, including 33 doubles and 13 home runs. They've stolen 9 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 5 times. Miami has walked 57 times this season and they've struck out 158 times as a unit. They've left 149 men on base and have a team OPS of .711. They score 3.7 runs per contest and have scored a total of 74 runs so far this year.
Milwaukee comes into this matchup with a 5-6 home record and a 8-12 overall mark. With an earned run average of 9.72, Zach Davies has a 0-2 record and a 2.52 WHIP. He has 5 strikeouts over the 8.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 17 hits. He has allowed 18.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.27. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 5.07 and they have given up 82 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .287 against the Brewers bullpen while being struck out 59 times and walking 33 times this season. As a team, Milwaukee has allowed 10.62 hits per nine innings while striking out 6.96 batters per nine. They are 29th in the league in team earned run average at 5.49. The Brewers pitchers as a team have surrendered 203 base knocks and 105 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 31 home runs this year and they give up 1.6 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Milwaukee as a staff has walked 79 hitters and struck out 133. They give up a walk 4.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.64 while their FIP as a staff is 5.37.
As a team, they are batting .230, good for 27th in the league while putting together a .255 average at home. The Brewers hold a .384 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .310 which is good for 20th in baseball. They rank 29th in baseball with 7.25 hits per contest. Ryan Braun comes into this matchup batting .373 and he has an OBP of .440. He has 25 hits this year along with 12 runs scored and 17 RBI. He's struck out 13 times and has walked on 8 occasions. Domingo Santana is hitting .260 and he has an OBP of .341. He has collected 19 hits so far while he's scored 9 runs and drove in 9. He has earned a walk 9 times and has punched out 25 times. The Brewers as a unit have 145 base hits, including 37 doubles and 20 homers. They have 8 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 5 times. Milwaukee as a team has walked 75 times this year and they have struck out 187 times. They've had 122 men left on base and have an OPS of .695. They score 3.95 runs per game and have totaled 79 runs so far this season.
Miami Marlins Betting Trends
The Miami Marlins are 11-9-0 against the over/under so far this season
The Miami Marlins are 10-10-0 against the run line so far this season
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends
The Milwaukee Brewers are 12-7-1 against the over/under so far this season
The Milwaukee Brewers are 10-10-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
04/20/16 P Edwin Jackson Tricep 15-day DL (4/18)
04/04/16 P Raudel Lazo Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/03/16 P Carter Capps Arm 60-day DL; out for season
04/03/16 P Mike Dunn Forearm 15-day DL (3/25)
04/28/16 P Matt Garza Shoulder 60-day DL (4/2)
04/28/16 2B Scooter Gennett Oblique 15-day DL (4/28)
04/04/16 P Corey Knebel Oblique 15-day DL (4/1)
04/04/16 LF Rymer Liriano Facial 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Zach Jones Shoulder 60-day DL (3/31)
04/02/16 P Yhonathan Barrios Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Sean Nolin Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
03/30/16 P Will Smith Knee 15-day DL (3/25)
Tony's Pick: Take the Brewers
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