Sunday, May 1, 2016
For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here
Probable Pitchers: Tom Koehler vs. Wily Peralta
The Miami Marlins visit Miller Park on Sunday to play the Milwaukee Brewers. The probable starters are Tom Koehler for the Marlins and Wily Peralta for the Brewers. The Marlins have a 13-9-0 over/under record and a 12-10-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 55% of the time. The Brewers are 10-12-0 against the run line and have a 14-7-1 over/under record. They cover the spread 46% of the time.
The Marlins head into this matchup with a 11-11 record, including 9-4 on the road. Starting pitcher Tom Koehler has a 2-2 record with an earned run average of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.65. He has 15 strikeouts over his 20 innings pitched and he has given up 22 hits so far this season. He has allowed 9.9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.18. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.27 and they have given up 69 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .245 against the bullpen while being struck out 68 times and walking 34 times this season. As a team, Miami has allowed 8.13 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.27 batters per nine. They are 17th in the league in team earned run average at 3.93. The Marlins pitchers have collectively given up 178 base hits and 86 earned runs. They have allowed 15 home runs this season and they allow 0.7 homers per nine innings as a staff. Miami as a pitching staff has walked 92 batters and struck out 181. They walk 4.2 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.37 and their FIP as a unit is 3.74.
As a team, Miami is batting .267, good for 8th in the league while putting together a .280 average away from home. The Marlins hold a .399 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .326 which is good for 9th in baseball. They rank 7th in baseball with 9.23 hits per game. Giancarlo Stanton comes into this game hitting .253 and his on-base percentage is at .352. He has 19 hits this season along with 11 runs scored and 18 runs batted in. He's struck out 28 times and has walked 11 times. Christian Yelich is hitting .351 and he has an on-base percentage of .469. He has totaled 27 hits so far while scoring 13 runs and he's driven in 8. He has walked 16 times and has struck out 16 times. The Marlins have 203 hits, including 37 doubles and 17 home runs. They've stolen 10 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 5 times. Miami has walked 63 times this season and they've struck out 172 times as a unit. They've left 160 men on base and have a team OPS of .725. They score 3.86 runs per contest and have scored a total of 85 runs so far this year.
Milwaukee comes into this matchup with a 5-7 home record and a 8-14 overall mark. With an earned run average of 7.40, Wily Peralta has a 1-3 record and a 1.81 WHIP. He has 18 strikeouts over the 24.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 32 hits. He has allowed 11.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.46. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.99 and they have given up 88 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .278 against the Brewers bullpen while being struck out 65 times and walking 42 times this season. As a team, Milwaukee has allowed 10.52 hits per nine innings while striking out 6.95 batters per nine. They are 29th in the league in team earned run average at 5.62. The Brewers pitchers as a team have surrendered 221 base knocks and 118 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 34 home runs this year and they give up 1.6 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Milwaukee as a staff has walked 94 hitters and struck out 146. They give up a walk 4.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.67 while their FIP as a staff is 5.49.
As a team, they are batting .224, good for 29th in the league while putting together a .244 average at home. The Brewers hold a .368 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .309 which is good for 18th in baseball. They rank 30th in baseball with 7.05 hits per contest. Ryan Braun comes into this matchup batting .338 and he has an OBP of .417. He has 25 hits this year along with 12 runs scored and 17 RBI. He's struck out 15 times and has walked on 10 occasions. Domingo Santana is hitting .247 and he has an OBP of .333. He has collected 19 hits so far while he's scored 9 runs and drove in 9. He has earned a walk 10 times and has punched out 25 times. The Brewers as a unit have 155 base hits, including 40 doubles and 20 homers. They have 13 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 5 times. Milwaukee as a team has walked 88 times this year and they have struck out 209 times. They've had 140 men left on base and have an OPS of .677. They score 3.82 runs per game and have totaled 84 runs so far this season.
Miami Marlins Betting Trends
The Miami Marlins are 13-9-0 against the over/under so far this season
The Miami Marlins are 12-10-0 against the run line so far this season
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends
The Milwaukee Brewers are 14-7-1 against the over/under so far this season
The Milwaukee Brewers are 10-12-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
04/29/16 2B Dee Gordon Suspension expected to miss 80 games
04/20/16 P Edwin Jackson Tricep 15-day DL (4/18)
04/04/16 P Raudel Lazo Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/03/16 P Carter Capps Arm 60-day DL; out for season
04/03/16 P Mike Dunn Forearm 15-day DL (3/25)
04/28/16 P Matt Garza Shoulder 60-day DL (4/2)
04/28/16 2B Scooter Gennett Oblique 15-day DL (4/28)
04/04/16 P Corey Knebel Oblique 15-day DL (4/1)
04/04/16 LF Rymer Liriano Facial 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Zach Jones Shoulder 60-day DL (3/31)
04/02/16 P Yhonathan Barrios Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Sean Nolin Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
03/30/16 P Will Smith Knee 15-day DL (3/25)
Guy's Pick: Take the Brewers
Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here
Read more articles by Guy Bruhn
Get all of Today's MLB Picks
Get all of Today's Guaranteed Expert MLB Picks