Wednesday, August 31, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: David Phelps vs. Bartolo Colon
The Miami Marlins head to Citi Field on Wednesday to take on the New York Mets. The probable pitchers are David Phelps for the Marlins and Bartolo Colon for the Mets. The opening line for this game has Miami at +113 and New York at -123. The over/under is 7.5. The Marlins have a 66-63-2 over/under mark and a 65-66-0 run line record, meaning they cover 50% of the time. The Mets are 59-72-0 against the run line and have a 61-67-3 over/under record. They cover the spread 45% of the time.
The Marlins head into this game with a 67-64 record, and they are 34-32 on the road. Starting pitcher David Phelps has a 7-6 record with an ERA of 2.52 and a WHIP of 1.12. He has 101 strikeouts during his 78.2 innings pitched and he has given up 56 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 6.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.87. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 3.53 and they have allowed 376 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .228 against the pen while they've been struck out 460 times and walked 203 times this year. As a unit, Miami has given up 8.35 base hits per nine innings while striking out 8.72 hitters per nine. They are 8th in the Majors in team earned run average at 3.85. The Marlins pitchers have collectively given up 1,085 base hits and 502 earned runs. They have allowed 117 home runs this season and they allow 0.9 homers per nine innings as a staff. Miami as a pitching staff has walked 473 batters and struck out 1,133. They walk 3.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.33 and their FIP as a unit is 3.86.
As a team, Miami is hitting .268, good for 3rd in the league while putting together a .279 average on the road. The Marlins have a .401 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .328 which is good for 8th in the league. They rank 3rd in baseball with 9.29 hits per contest. Christian Yelich comes into this game hitting .304 and his on-base percentage is at .380. He has 143 hits this season along with 66 runs scored and 76 runs batted in. He's struck out 114 times and has walked 56 times. Martin Prado is hitting .320 and he has an on-base percentage of .373. He has totaled 159 hits so far while scoring 59 runs and he's driven in 61. He has walked 42 times and has struck out 54 times. The Marlins have 1,217 hits, including 220 doubles and 106 home runs. They've stolen 48 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 18 times. Miami has walked 374 times this season and they've struck out 985 times as a unit. They've left 972 men on base and have a team OPS of .729. They score 4.14 runs per contest and have scored a total of 542 runs so far this year.
New York comes into this game with a 34-31 home mark and a 67-64 overall record. With an ERA of 3.44, Bartolo Colon has a 12-7 record and a 1.25 WHIP. He has 103 strikeouts over the 151.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 162 hits. He has allowed 9.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.93. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.66 and they have given up 358 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .231 against the Mets bullpen while being struck out 432 times and walking 153 times this season. As a team, New York has allowed 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.66 batters per nine. They are 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 3.65. The Mets pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,125 base knocks and 470 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 122 home runs this year and they give up 0.9 home runs per nine innings as a staff. New York as a staff has walked 350 hitters and struck out 1,121. They give up a walk 2.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.27 while their FIP as a staff is 3.56.
As a team, they are batting .242, good for 28th in the league while putting together a .233 average at home. The Mets hold a .411 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .310 which is good for 26th in baseball. They rank 27th in baseball with 8.08 hits per contest. Yoenis Cespedes comes into this matchup batting .299 and he has an OBP of .370. He has 110 hits this year along with 56 runs scored and 68 RBI. He's struck out 90 times and has walked on 40 occasions. Asdrubal Cabrera is hitting .270 and he has an OBP of .320. He has collected 110 hits so far while he's scored 47 runs and drove in 42. He has earned a walk 24 times and has punched out 87 times. The Mets as a unit have 1,059 base hits, including 190 doubles and 174 homers. They have 32 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 16 times. New York as a team has walked 398 times this year and they have struck out 1,077 times. They've had 885 men left on base and have an OPS of .721. They score 3.9 runs per game and have totaled 511 runs so far this season.
Miami Marlins Betting Trends
The Miami Marlins are 66-63-2 against the over/under so far this season
The Miami Marlins are 65-66-0 against the run line so far this season
New York Mets Betting Trends
The New York Mets are 61-67-3 against the over/under so far this season
The New York Mets are 59-72-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
08/27/16 P Andrew Cashner Finger "?" for next scheduled start
08/23/16 2B Derek Dietrich Knee 15-day DL (8/19)
08/23/16 1B Justin Bour Ankle 60-day DL (7/3)
08/14/16 P Adam Conley Finger 15-day DL (8/14)
08/14/16 RF Giancarlo Stanton Groin 15-day DL (8/14)
07/25/16 P Wei-Yin Chen Elbow 15-day DL (7/21)
07/01/16 P Bryan Morris Back 60-day DL (5/25)
05/15/16 P Kendry Flores Shoulder 15-day DL (5/15)
04/04/16 P Raudel Lazo Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
New York Mets
08/30/16 SS Asdrubal Cabrera Knee is downgraded to not expected to be in the starting lineup Tuesday vs. Miami Marlins
08/29/16 2B Neil Walker Back "?" Tuesday vs. Miami Marlins
08/27/16 RF Justin Ruggiano Shoulder 15-day DL (8/27)
08/23/16 P Steven Matz Shoulder 15-day DL (8/15)
08/23/16 P Jon Niese Knee 15-day DL (8/24)
07/31/16 CF Juan Lagares Thumb 15-day DL (7/29)
07/06/16 P Matt Harvey Shoulder 60-day DL (7/6), out for season
06/03/16 3B David Wright Neck 60-day DL (5/30), out for season
05/24/16 1B Lucas Duda Back 60-day DL (5/21)
04/04/16 P Zack Wheeler Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Tony's Pick: Take the Mets
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