Thursday, September 1, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Jose Urena vs. Jacob deGrom
The Miami Marlins head to Citi Field on Thursday to take on the New York Mets. The probable pitchers are Jose Urena for the Marlins and Jacob deGrom for the Mets. The opening line for this game has Miami at +169 and New York at -179. The over/under is 7.5. The Marlins have a 67-63-2 over/under mark and a 65-67-0 run line record, meaning they cover 49% of the time. The Mets are 60-72-0 against the run line and have a 62-67-3 over/under record. They cover the spread 46% of the time.
The Marlins head into this game with a 67-65 record, and they are 34-33 on the road. Starting pitcher Jose Urena has a 2-5 record with an ERA of 5.83 and a WHIP of 1.44. He has 39 strikeouts during his 54 innings pitched and he has given up 57 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 9.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.53. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 3.57 and they have allowed 379 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .228 against the pen while they've been struck out 461 times and walked 204 times this year. As a unit, Miami has given up 8.39 base hits per nine innings while striking out 8.71 hitters per nine. They are 8th in the Majors in team earned run average at 3.89. The Marlins pitchers have collectively given up 1,098 base hits and 509 earned runs. They have allowed 120 home runs this season and they allow 0.9 homers per nine innings as a staff. Miami as a pitching staff has walked 477 batters and struck out 1,140. They walk 3.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.34 and their FIP as a unit is 3.89.
As a team, Miami is hitting .268, good for 3rd in the league while putting together a .279 average on the road. The Marlins have a .402 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .328 which is good for 8th in the league. They rank 3rd in baseball with 9.29 hits per contest. Christian Yelich comes into this game hitting .304 and his on-base percentage is at .381. He has 144 hits this season along with 67 runs scored and 78 runs batted in. He's struck out 114 times and has walked 57 times. Martin Prado is hitting .319 and he has an on-base percentage of .372. He has totaled 160 hits so far while scoring 60 runs and he's driven in 61. He has walked 42 times and has struck out 54 times. The Marlins have 1,226 hits, including 222 doubles and 108 home runs. They've stolen 48 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 18 times. Miami has walked 376 times this season and they've struck out 992 times as a unit. They've left 979 men on base and have a team OPS of .730. They score 4.14 runs per contest and have scored a total of 546 runs so far this year.
New York comes into this game with a 35-31 home mark and a 68-64 overall record. With an ERA of 2.96, Jacob deGrom has a 7-7 record and a 1.18 WHIP. He has 137 strikeouts over the 143 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 136 hits. He has allowed 8.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.33. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.68 and they have given up 362 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .231 against the Mets bullpen while being struck out 435 times and walking 154 times this season. As a team, New York has allowed 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.64 batters per nine. They are 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 3.65. The Mets pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,134 base knocks and 474 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 124 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. New York as a staff has walked 352 hitters and struck out 1,128. They give up a walk 2.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.27 while their FIP as a staff is 3.57.
As a team, they are batting .243, good for 28th in the league while putting together a .235 average at home. The Mets hold a .413 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .311 which is good for 26th in baseball. They rank 27th in baseball with 8.12 hits per contest. Yoenis Cespedes comes into this matchup batting .295 and he has an OBP of .366. He has 110 hits this year along with 56 runs scored and 68 RBI. He's struck out 91 times and has walked on 40 occasions. Asdrubal Cabrera is hitting .273 and he has an OBP of .324. He has collected 112 hits so far while he's scored 48 runs and drove in 44. He has earned a walk 25 times and has punched out 88 times. The Mets as a unit have 1,072 base hits, including 193 doubles and 177 homers. They have 32 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 16 times. New York as a team has walked 402 times this year and they have struck out 1,084 times. They've had 895 men left on base and have an OPS of .724. They score 3.92 runs per game and have totaled 518 runs so far this season.
Miami Marlins Betting Trends
The Miami Marlins are 67-63-2 against the over/under so far this season
The Miami Marlins are 65-67-0 against the run line so far this season
New York Mets Betting Trends
The New York Mets are 62-67-3 against the over/under so far this season
The New York Mets are 60-72-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
08/27/16 P Andrew Cashner Finger "?" for next scheduled start
08/23/16 2B Derek Dietrich Knee 15-day DL (8/19)
08/23/16 1B Justin Bour Ankle 60-day DL (7/3)
08/14/16 P Adam Conley Finger 15-day DL (8/14)
08/14/16 RF Giancarlo Stanton Groin 15-day DL (8/14)
07/25/16 P Wei-Yin Chen Elbow 15-day DL (7/21)
07/01/16 P Bryan Morris Back 60-day DL (5/25)
05/15/16 P Kendry Flores Shoulder 15-day DL (5/15)
04/04/16 P Raudel Lazo Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
New York Mets
08/31/16 SS Asdrubal Cabrera Knee left last game, "?" Wednesday vs. Miami Marlins
08/30/16 2B Neil Walker Back "?" Wednesday vs. Miami Marlins
08/27/16 RF Justin Ruggiano Shoulder 15-day DL (8/27)
08/23/16 P Steven Matz Shoulder 15-day DL (8/15)
08/23/16 P Jon Niese Knee 15-day DL (8/24)
07/31/16 CF Juan Lagares Thumb 15-day DL (7/29)
07/06/16 P Matt Harvey Shoulder 60-day DL (7/6), out for season
06/03/16 3B David Wright Neck 60-day DL (5/30), out for season
05/24/16 1B Lucas Duda Back 60-day DL (5/21)
04/04/16 P Zack Wheeler Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Josh's Pick: Take the Mets
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