Monday, July 18, 2016
Citizens Bank Park
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Probable Pitchers: Jose Fernandez vs. Aaron Nola
The Miami Marlins head to Citizens Bank Park on Monday to take on the Philadelphia Phillies. The probable pitchers are Jose Fernandez for the Marlins and Aaron Nola for the Phillies. The opening line for this game has Miami at -200 and Philadelphia at +185. The over/under is 7. The Marlins have a 47-42-1 over/under mark and a 46-44-0 run line record, meaning they cover 51% of the time. The Phillies are 46-46-0 against the run line and have a 44-46-2 over/under record. They cover the spread 50% of the time.
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The Marlins head into this game with a 48-42 record, and they are 24-23 on the road. Starting pitcher Jose Fernandez has a 11-4 record with an ERA of 2.52 and a WHIP of 1.02. He has 154 strikeouts during his 107.1 innings pitched and he has given up 78 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 6.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.13. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 3.74 and they have allowed 255 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .230 against the pen while they've been struck out 305 times and walked 131 times this year. As a unit, Miami has given up 8.44 base hits per nine innings while striking out 8.56 hitters per nine. They are 12th in the Majors in team earned run average at 4.07. The Marlins pitchers have collectively given up 750 base hits and 362 earned runs. They have allowed 89 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Miami as a pitching staff has walked 319 batters and struck out 761. They walk 3.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.34 and their FIP as a unit is 4.06.
As a team, Miami is hitting .273, good for 2nd in the league while putting together a .287 average on the road. The Marlins have a .409 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .331 which is good for 9th in the league. They rank 2nd in baseball with 9.47 hits per contest. Marcell Ozuna comes into this game hitting .305 and his on-base percentage is at .357. He has 101 hits this season along with 54 runs scored and 49 runs batted in. He's struck out 74 times and has walked 27 times. Martin Prado is hitting .322 and he has an on-base percentage of .372. He has totaled 108 hits so far while scoring 38 runs and he's driven in 31. He has walked 27 times and has struck out 41 times. The Marlins have 852 hits, including 148 doubles and 77 home runs. They've stolen 28 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 12 times. Miami has walked 257 times this season and they've struck out 691 times as a unit. They've left 684 men on base and have a team OPS of .740. They score 4.2 runs per contest and have scored a total of 378 runs so far this year.
Philadelphia comes into this game with a 22-24 home mark and a 43-49 overall record. With an ERA of 4.69, Aaron Nola has a 5-8 record and a 1.28 WHIP. He has 106 strikeouts over the 96 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 100 hits. He has allowed 9.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.19. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.33 and they have given up 289 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .252 against the Phillies bullpen while being struck out 290 times and walking 112 times this season. As a team, Philadelphia has allowed 9.11 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.57 batters per nine. They are 15th in the league in team earned run average at 4.33. The Phillies pitchers as a team have surrendered 822 base knocks and 391 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 116 home runs this year and they give up 1.3 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Philadelphia as a staff has walked 246 hitters and struck out 773. They give up a walk 2.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.32 while their FIP as a staff is 4.12.
As a team, they are batting .243, good for 25th in the league while putting together a .225 average at home. The Phillies hold a .393 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .296 which is good for 30th in baseball. They rank 27th in baseball with 8.07 hits per contest. Odubel Herrera comes into this matchup batting .290 and he has an OBP of .375. He has 98 hits this year along with 50 runs scored and 33 RBI. He's struck out 71 times and has walked on 45 occasions. Maikel Franco is hitting .265 and he has an OBP of .318. He has collected 86 hits so far while he's scored 37 runs and drove in 54. He has earned a walk 25 times and has punched out 63 times. The Phillies as a unit have 742 base hits, including 138 doubles and 90 homers. They have 39 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 28 times. Philadelphia as a team has walked 213 times this year and they have struck out 719 times. They've had 555 men left on base and have an OPS of .689. They score 3.64 runs per game and have totaled 335 runs so far this season.
Miami Marlins Betting Trends
The Miami Marlins are 47-42-1 against the over/under so far this season
The Miami Marlins are 46-44-0 against the run line so far this season
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends
The Philadelphia Phillies are 44-46-2 against the over/under so far this season
The Philadelphia Phillies are 46-46-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
07/06/16 1B Justin Bour Ankle 15-day DL (7/3)
07/01/16 P Bryan Morris Back 60-day DL (5/25)
05/15/16 P Kendry Flores Shoulder 15-day DL (5/15)
04/29/16 2B Dee Gordon Suspension expected to miss 80 games
04/04/16 P Raudel Lazo Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/03/16 P Carter Capps Arm 60-day DL; out for season
05/01/16 P Dalier Hinojosa Hand 15-day DL (4/29)
04/24/16 P Charlie Morton Hamstring 60-day DL (4/24); out for season
03/31/16 LF Aaron Altherr Wrist 60-day DL (4/2)
03/31/16 P Matt Harrison Back 60-day DL (4/2)
Guy's Pick: Take the Phillies
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