Tuesday, July 19, 2016
Citizens Bank Park
For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here
Probable Pitchers: Jose Urena vs. Vincent Velasquez
The Miami Marlins visit Citizens Bank Park on Tuesday to play the Philadelphia Phillies. The probable starters are Jose Urena for the Marlins and Vincent Velasquez for the Phillies. The opening line for this matchup has Miami at +120 and Philadelphia at -130. The over/under was set at 8. The Marlins have a 48-42-1 over/under record and a 47-44-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 52% of the time. The Phillies are 46-47-0 against the run line and have a 44-47-2 over/under record. They cover the spread 50% of the time.
The Marlins head into this matchup with a 49-42 record, including 25-23 on the road. Starting pitcher Jose Urena has a 1-1 record with an earned run average of 7.52 and a WHIP of 1.77. He has 12 strikeouts over his 20.1 innings pitched and he has given up 26 hits so far this season. He has allowed 11.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.88. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.69 and they have given up 256 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .228 against the bullpen while being struck out 311 times and walking 131 times this season. As a team, Miami has allowed 8.39 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.64 batters per nine. They are 12th in the league in team earned run average at 4.05. The Marlins pitchers have collectively given up 754 base hits and 364 earned runs. They have allowed 90 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Miami as a pitching staff has walked 322 batters and struck out 776. They walk 3.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.33 and their FIP as a unit is 4.03.
As a team, Miami is batting .273, good for 2nd in the league while putting together a .288 average away from home. The Marlins hold a .409 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .332 which is good for 8th in baseball. They rank 2nd in baseball with 9.51 hits per game. Marcell Ozuna comes into this game hitting .305 and his on-base percentage is at .357. He has 101 hits this season along with 54 runs scored and 49 runs batted in. He's struck out 74 times and has walked 27 times. Martin Prado is hitting .322 and he has an on-base percentage of .372. He has totaled 109 hits so far while scoring 39 runs and he's driven in 31. He has walked 27 times and has struck out 41 times. The Marlins have 865 hits, including 152 doubles and 77 home runs. They've stolen 31 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 12 times. Miami has walked 260 times this season and they've struck out 698 times as a unit. They've left 695 men on base and have a team OPS of .741. They score 4.22 runs per contest and have scored a total of 384 runs so far this year.
Philadelphia comes into this matchup with a 22-25 home record and a 43-50 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.32, Vincent Velasquez has a 8-2 record and a 1.27 WHIP. He has 93 strikeouts over the 78.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 74 hits. He has allowed 8.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.31. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.34 and they have given up 292 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .252 against the Phillies bullpen while being struck out 293 times and walking 112 times this season. As a team, Philadelphia has allowed 9.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.53 batters per nine. They are 17th in the league in team earned run average at 4.34. The Phillies pitchers as a team have surrendered 830 base knocks and 396 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 118 home runs this year and they give up 1.3 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Philadelphia as a staff has walked 248 hitters and struck out 778. They give up a walk 2.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.31 while their FIP as a staff is 4.13.
As a team, they are batting .242, good for 26th in the league while putting together a .222 average at home. The Phillies hold a .390 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .294 which is good for 30th in baseball. They rank 28th in baseball with 7.99 hits per contest. Odubel Herrera comes into this matchup batting .287 and he has an OBP of .371. He has 98 hits this year along with 50 runs scored and 33 RBI. He's struck out 73 times and has walked on 45 occasions. Maikel Franco is hitting .263 and he has an OBP of .316. He has collected 86 hits so far while he's scored 37 runs and drove in 54. He has earned a walk 25 times and has punched out 63 times. The Phillies as a unit have 743 base hits, including 138 doubles and 90 homers. They have 39 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 28 times. Philadelphia as a team has walked 214 times this year and they have struck out 726 times. They've had 556 men left on base and have an OPS of .684. They score 3.6 runs per game and have totaled 335 runs so far this season.
Miami Marlins Betting Trends
The Miami Marlins are 48-42-1 against the over/under so far this season
The Miami Marlins are 47-44-0 against the run line so far this season
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends
The Philadelphia Phillies are 44-47-2 against the over/under so far this season
The Philadelphia Phillies are 46-47-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
07/06/16 1B Justin Bour Ankle 15-day DL (7/3)
07/01/16 P Bryan Morris Back 60-day DL (5/25)
05/15/16 P Kendry Flores Shoulder 15-day DL (5/15)
04/29/16 2B Dee Gordon Suspension expected to miss 80 games
04/04/16 P Raudel Lazo Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/03/16 P Carter Capps Arm 60-day DL; out for season
05/01/16 P Dalier Hinojosa Hand 15-day DL (4/29)
04/24/16 P Charlie Morton Hamstring 60-day DL (4/24); out for season
03/31/16 LF Aaron Altherr Wrist 60-day DL (4/2)
03/31/16 P Matt Harrison Back 60-day DL (4/2)
Guy's Pick: Take the Marlins
Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here
Read more articles by Guy Bruhn
Get all of Today's Free MLB Picks
Get all of Today's Expert MLB Picks