Saturday, September 17, 2016
Citizens Bank Park
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Probable Pitchers: Jose Urena vs. Jeremy Hellickson
The Miami Marlins head to Citizens Bank Park on Saturday to take on the Philadelphia Phillies. The probable pitchers are Jose Urena for the Marlins and Jeremy Hellickson for the Phillies. The Marlins have a 74-69-3 over/under mark and a 72-74-0 run line record, meaning they cover 49% of the time. The Phillies are 75-72-0 against the run line and have a 70-71-6 over/under record. They cover the spread 51% of the time.
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The Marlins head into this game with a 73-73 record, and they are 37-38 on the road. Starting pitcher Jose Urena has a 4-6 record with an ERA of 4.89 and a WHIP of 1.30. He has 50 strikeouts during his 73.2 innings pitched and he has given up 72 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 8.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.24. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 3.68 and they have allowed 424 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .230 against the pen while they've been struck out 494 times and walked 231 times this year. As a unit, Miami has given up 8.46 base hits per nine innings while striking out 8.59 hitters per nine. They are 8th in the Majors in team earned run average at 3.97. The Marlins pitchers have collectively given up 1,221 base hits and 573 earned runs. They have allowed 134 home runs this season and they allow 0.9 homers per nine innings as a staff. Miami as a pitching staff has walked 534 batters and struck out 1,241. They walk 3.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.35 and their FIP as a unit is 3.94.
As a team, Miami is hitting .267, good for 3rd in the league while putting together a .278 average on the road. The Marlins have a .398 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .325 which is good for 11th in the league. They rank 4th in baseball with 9.23 hits per contest. Christian Yelich comes into this game hitting .304 and his on-base percentage is at .380. He has 160 hits this season along with 72 runs scored and 91 runs batted in. He's struck out 127 times and has walked 63 times. Martin Prado is hitting .309 and he has an on-base percentage of .363. He has totaled 171 hits so far while scoring 68 runs and he's driven in 69. He has walked 47 times and has struck out 64 times. The Marlins have 1,347 hits, including 241 doubles and 115 home runs. They've stolen 58 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 22 times. Miami has walked 402 times this season and they've struck out 1,101 times as a unit. They've left 1,066 men on base and have a team OPS of .723. They score 4.13 runs per contest and have scored a total of 603 runs so far this year.
Philadelphia comes into this game with a 32-41 home mark and a 65-82 overall record. With an ERA of 3.76, Jeremy Hellickson has a 11-9 record and a 1.18 WHIP. He has 144 strikeouts over the 172.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 162 hits. He has allowed 8.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.08. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.64 and they have given up 484 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .262 against the Phillies bullpen while being struck out 458 times and walking 182 times this season. As a team, Philadelphia has allowed 9.15 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.19 batters per nine. They are 24th in the league in team earned run average at 4.49. The Phillies pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,323 base knocks and 649 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 194 home runs this year and they give up 1.3 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Philadelphia as a staff has walked 411 hitters and struck out 1,185. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.2 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.33 while their FIP as a staff is 4.30.
As a team, they are batting .237, good for 29th in the league while putting together a .225 average at home. The Phillies hold a .382 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .296 which is good for 30th in baseball. They rank 30th in baseball with 7.89 hits per contest. Cesar Hernandez comes into this matchup batting .288 and he has an OBP of .358. He has 141 hits this year along with 59 runs scored and 36 RBI. He's struck out 105 times and has walked on 54 occasions. Odubel Herrera is hitting .280 and he has an OBP of .358. He has collected 146 hits so far while he's scored 74 runs and drove in 42. He has earned a walk 60 times and has punched out 119 times. The Phillies as a unit have 1,160 base hits, including 214 doubles and 145 homers. They have 82 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 41 times. Philadelphia as a team has walked 371 times this year and they have struck out 1,232 times. They've had 923 men left on base and have an OPS of .678. They score 3.65 runs per game and have totaled 537 runs so far this season.
Miami Marlins Betting Trends
The Miami Marlins are 74-69-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Miami Marlins are 72-74-0 against the run line so far this season
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends
The Philadelphia Phillies are 70-71-6 against the over/under so far this season
The Philadelphia Phillies are 75-72-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
08/14/16 P Adam Conley Finger 15-day DL (8/14)
07/25/16 P Wei-Yin Chen Elbow 15-day DL (7/21)
07/01/16 P Bryan Morris Back 60-day DL (5/25)
05/15/16 P Kendry Flores Shoulder 15-day DL (5/15)
04/04/16 P Raudel Lazo Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
09/04/16 P Vincent Velasquez None out for season
08/17/16 P Aaron Nola Elbow 60-day DL (7/29); out for season
08/09/16 P Zach Eflin Knee 60-day DL (8/9); out for season
05/01/16 P Dalier Hinojosa Hand 15-day DL (4/29)
04/24/16 P Charlie Morton Hamstring 60-day DL (4/24); out for season
03/31/16 P Matt Harrison Back 60-day DL (4/2)
Guy's Pick: Take the Phillies
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